SchaumburgStormer Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 11 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The outcome of this one will be very dependent on phasing and wave interaction. . I.E. - Don't hug a solution until about 3 hours out. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Current mood: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 28 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The outcome of this one will be very dependent on phasing and wave interaction. . Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just gotta hope it stays primary long enough before it starts to transfer to a secondary. Euro transfers earlier. That's why it's so hard to get a big dog for dtw. When lows do rarely track favorably, a coastal low steals the energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 31 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Yikes I'm about 1000 times more afraid of a miss south than a miss north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Definitely. Weaker less phased outcome seems likely given our trends with slide SE. Unless it's targeting MSP this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Looks good at this lead time. But still an eternity to get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamarsden8 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 So...you're saying there's a chance this thing smacks Cincy? COME ONNNN let me have one real snowstorm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: Looks good at this lead time. But still an eternity to get there. I think the ensembles are SE of the OP runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: I'm about 1000 times more afraid of a miss south than a miss north. but are you though? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Probably another rainer for me. Ride the trend. Zzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 14 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: but are you though? He's lying Fer sure. Gfs says he should be scared of north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I think the ensembles are SE of the OP runs You would be incorrect for the EPS mean. I was actually surprised at how excited the Euro members are. A lot of spread, but less than the GEFS and GEPS. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Hmm..must have saw that wrong. Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 38 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Hmm..must have saw that wrong. Thx Gfs ensembles seem SE of their op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Stevo6899 said: He's lying Fer sure. Gfs says he should be scared of north. It's only going so far North though. Still far out let's just keep this storm alive lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Looking at the 12z Euro gave me flashbacks of GHD3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: but are you though? No, more like 10 times. Overall though I think I/we sit in a decent spot at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Looking at the 12z Euro gave me flashbacks of GHD3. Where did that one end up? I lost track after so many GHD storms. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 27 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Where did that one end up? I lost track after so many GHD storms. Lol SE and weak. There were a couple of doomsday runs (similar to the pre Christmas storm iirc) before it quickly went back to being a decent -but not insanely historic- snowstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goon Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: Gfs ensembles seem SE of their op They are. 12z hi res euro is pretty much in line with its ensembles. Gfs ensembles are south of its control run and the Canadian is also south of its control run. Central Indiana and Northern Indiana look good right now in this point in the game for a nice hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 13 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: Like I stated in the banter thread, I'd like where I'm sitting if I was in Chicago, west Michigan. Buffer for intensification. I hate where I'm sitting. In a JAN that's acting more like a NOV, fears of UHI screwing me are legit. This thing surges too strong and it's going to push a ton of warmth up with it. I can see most of my qpf wasted on liquid yet again. Talk me out it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Hoping that the "split the difference" GEM is smoking the good crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 27 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: SE and weak. There were a couple of doomsday runs (similar to the pre Christmas storm iirc) before it quickly went back to being a decent -but not insanely historic- snowstorm. Hey that’s my biggest storm in the last 10 years you are talking about! Now apologize 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, StormChaser4Life said: Where did that one end up? I lost track after so many GHD storms. Lol Was a heartbreaker for here/QC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, Chambana said: Hey that’s my biggest storm in the last 10 years you are talking about! Now apologize How bout you call up GHD 3 and ask it to apologize for dropping jack shit in my back yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, StormChaser4Life said: Where did that one end up? I lost track after so many GHD storms. Lol The guy that always complains that PIA is getting missed forgets a top 5 snowstorm in PIA over the last 10 years. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 20, 2023 Author Share Posted January 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: How bout you call up GHD 3 and ask it to apologize for dropping jack shit in my back yard just looking those amounts it should have been called "GHD Mini Me"...if you were in the original ..you know. Even GHD ll was not close IMO as far as a snowstorm event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, Baum said: just looking those amounts it should have been called "GHD Mini Me"...if you were in the original ..you know. Even GHD ll was not close IMO as far as a snowstorm event. Factual, I think around here GHD II came very close in terms of total snowfall but the duration was longer and the winds were much less extreme. I remember parts of GHD vividly -true core memories- like no other snowstorm despite it being the earliest big storm I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 14 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The guy that always complains that PIA is getting missed forgets a top 5 snowstorm in PIA over the last 10 years. Haha. Cuz I'm more use to disappointment than snowstorms panning out. PTSD. Also there's too many damn GHD day storms to remember. Lol. As much as I want to hope it ends up as nw as gem and gfs I'm not getting my hopes up because a more se like euro also is just as plausible. All comes down to the phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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