Genug Shoyn Mit warm and brown! Is Jan 19-20 a storm to shift the vibe?

[UnitedWx]

Fatties starting to mix in here, about 2 miles south of the pike. The ground is actually starting to whiten Down to 32.5°

[ORH_wxman]

Absolutely pelting here now....few mangled flakes mixing in

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Let’s get the kitchen sink to fall out the sky by the pike with the heavier precip 

[CoastalWx]

36.8 and sleet. Actually a few areas starting to accumulate.

[dryslot]

8 minutes ago, tunafish said:

Relatively nuanced map from GYX for a type of system that has been reported to be uniform.  Not criticizing, just noting.

 

Some will look at that and go wow 8-12" Were going to get a foot! No your not, You may get 9" lol

[RDRY]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Let’s get the kitchen sink to fall out the sky by the pike with the heavier precip 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

34.3/ 32 

I think that bodes well for anyone north of 90. Enjoy it guys . Post pics for the snow starved 

[TalcottWx]

Very wet snow mix in Simsbury. Surprised. 

[UnitedWx]

Just now, TalcottWx said:

Very wet snow mix in Simsbury. Surprised. 

Likewise here. Pretty pathetic... but its all we got right now 

[Hoth]

Very wet water falling in New Haven. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

If this keeps up I'll be calling the plow guy tomorrow morning.  Snow blower is down and I'm not shoveling this.

[tunafish]

13 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Some will look at that and go wow 8-12" Were going to get a foot! No your not, You may get 9" lol

Yup.  When you go to the point, that's exactly what you see.

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Hopefully can grab a few inches from round one.  33/28 and looks like the bright banding is washing out coming East of the Berkshires so maybe we pound snow for a while.  The cutoff is pretty extreme, friend in Deerfield says it's still a lot of sleet mixing in there and he's only 10mi South of me.

[GCWarrior]

Just drove through Savoy and I’ll say it’s not snowing there.  Hope it changes soon. 

[wxmanmitch]

Safe to say that part 1 is going to bust here. Back to ZR/PL after a brief burst of heavy snow. We had a quick 0.5" with the snow.

The meso models underestimated the extent of the warm layer aloft prior to the onset of precipitation so we wasted 2 hours as ZR/PL instead of snow, and also underestimated the WAA aloft (as they often do with SWFEs). Both factors severely minimized the time it spent snowing.

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

12 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Hopefully can grab a few inches from round one.  33/28 and looks like the bright banding is washing out coming East of the Berkshires so maybe we pound snow for a while.  The cutoff is pretty extreme, friend in Deerfield says it's still a lot of sleet mixing in there and he's only 10mi South of me.

Wishful thinking.

9 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said:

Safe to say that part 1 is going to bust here. Back to ZR/PL after a brief burst of heavy snow. We had a quick 0.5" with the snow.

The meso models underestimated the extent of the warm layer aloft prior to the onset of precipitation so we wasted 2 hours as ZR/PL instead of snow, and also underestimated the WAA aloft (as they often do with SWFEs). Both factors severely minimized the time it spent snowing.

 

Yup, just like that, as soon as the precip lightens up at all it flips back to sleet.  You can already see the back edge of round one racing East.

[BostonWX]

Back to all sleet again, 35.6/34

[MarkO]

Just took another look and it's sleet and and a few mangled flakes. 36.1/30.1. Going to need some better lift/intensity. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, MarkO said:

Just took another look and it's sleet and and a few mangled flakes. 36.1/30.1. Going to need some better lift/intensity. 

I think the best chance up in NE MA prior to the IVT is later tonight...that second round of really intense lift seems to collapse the snow line back south into NE MA after about 03z (10pm).

[DavisStraight]

Rain with fat flakes mixed in, 38 degrees

[tamarack]

44 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Some will look at that and go wow 8-12" Were going to get a foot! No your not, You may get 9" lol

We're in the 8-12 color, too, but P&C adds up to 5-9 and Farmington 90/50/10 percents are 5/8/11.  Lots better than yesterday's estimates.

[wx2fish]

Flipped to mostly snow with a few pellets. 35f

[CoastalWx]

That is some big lift after midnight rolling into SNE.

[metagraphica]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That is some big lift after midnight rolling into SNE.

Great.  More 39 degree rain.

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That is some big lift after midnight rolling into SNE.

34.2/32 . So close but farther.

 

Hoping  we get that norlun or at least a few bands in N CT tomorrow. Some of the Mesos kind of hint at it 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Anyone have a radar w rain/ snow line . I’m at work . Please and thanks 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

39 at the condo. That seems uncomfortably high?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Uhg, 33° rain after less than .5” snow.  
hope folks up north do OK but plenty of bust potential with forecast accumulations. 
Back edge or round one already racing in.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Uhg, 33° rain after less than .5” snow.  
hope folks up north do OK but plenty of bust potential with forecast accumulations. 
Back edge or round one already racing in.

I’m seeing obs from you and other posters to the SW and I feel pretty uncomfortable here.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’m seeing obs from you and other posters to the SW and I feel pretty uncomfortable here.

Did you fall ski’ing ?