Genug Shoyn Mit warm and brown! Is Jan 19-20 a storm to shift the vibe?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/19/2023 at 2:36 AM, powderfreak said:

00z 3km followed that a bit.

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That's pitching a sloppy shutout S of RT 2.   Definitely realistic but hoping we can get more folks an inch or two of snow with this.

[dryslot]

  On 1/19/2023 at 2:36 AM, powderfreak said:

00z 3km followed that a bit.

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Yes.

[dryslot]

  On 1/19/2023 at 2:37 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Yes and dry slot faster too!

They are actually one of my favorite types of storms for my locale and elevation.  Nothing blockbuster but generally reliable.

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I actually thought of you in this as it suits your area good as well generally.

[tunafish]

  On 1/19/2023 at 2:44 AM, dryslot said:

Yes.

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You thinking 10:1 is a good bet on these types of systems?  My average on the coast, regardless of system, is closer to 8 or even 7:1.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/19/2023 at 2:40 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That's pitching a sloppy shutout S of RT 2.   Definitely realistic but hoping we can get more folks an inch or two of snow with this.

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Ya give some folks a sloppy inch of apple sauce for their efforts this year 

[kdxken]

  On 1/19/2023 at 1:47 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

 at some point the parade of storms slows down for us , so we can’t keep swinging and missing and thinking Mother Nature is gonna keep lobbing in meatballs for us to crush later from some gradient fairy 

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Lolz

[dryslot]

  On 1/19/2023 at 2:52 AM, tunafish said:

You thinking 10:1 is a good bet on these types of systems?  My average on the coast, regardless of system, is closer to 8 or even 7:1.

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I think away from you is, But your in the ballpark with those ratios.

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/19/2023 at 2:52 AM, tunafish said:

You thinking 10:1 is a good bet on these types of systems?  My average on the coast, regardless of system, is closer to 8 or even 7:1.

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Those ratios are really only during very wet snow events or with sleet. Your avg ratio most certainly is higher. I’m sure @OceanStWx can confirm.

[OceanStWx]

  On 1/19/2023 at 3:19 AM, CoastalWx said:

Those ratios are really only during very wet snow events or with sleet. Your avg ratio most certainly is higher. I’m sure @OceanStWx can confirm.

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Yeah, long term climo is like 11:1 for our area, 13:1 in the mountains. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Skis loaded. Half day at work tomorrow and heading up 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/19/2023 at 3:29 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Skis loaded. Half day at work tomorrow and heading up 

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Enjoy man !

[mreaves]

  On 1/19/2023 at 3:29 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Skis loaded. Half day at work tomorrow and heading up 

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You have a ski trip planned? I hadn’t heard. Have fun. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/19/2023 at 3:29 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Skis loaded. Half day at work tomorrow and heading up 

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And to think you were gonna cancel.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/19/2023 at 2:40 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That's pitching a sloppy shutout S of RT 2.   Definitely realistic but hoping we can get more folks an inch or two of snow with this.

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Man, do I love that map.

[tunafish]

  On 1/19/2023 at 3:25 AM, OceanStWx said:

Yeah, long term climo is like 11:1 for our area, 13:1 in the mountains. 

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Ha, I'm jaded.  My average is based on the past 3 years of La Nina winters.  Good to know that's not our climo.

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/19/2023 at 3:36 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Man, do I love that map.

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Just another tick north and it would be perfect.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/19/2023 at 3:35 AM, CoastalWx said:

And to think you were gonna cancel.

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It was tiring reading his histrionics but we all helped a brother through.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

[HoarfrostHubb]

Steady as she goes.  BOX map cut back a tiny bit in the Ashburnham area.

 

[dryslot]

 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/19/2023 at 11:13 AM, dryslot said:

 

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This has been a 6-8” lollies to 10 for the last 3-4 days.

[dryslot]

  On 1/19/2023 at 11:45 AM, mahk_webstah said:

This has been a 6-8” lollies to 10 for the last 3-4 days.

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Lot of the times, These are.

[UnitedWx]

  On 1/19/2023 at 11:01 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

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2 to 3 inches... maybe, but I'm not feeling it with this setup. I do still think one of the systems next week could surprise SNE, we'll see

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/19/2023 at 12:27 PM, UnitedWx said:

2 to 3 inches... maybe, but I'm not feeling it with this setup. I do still think one of the systems next week could surprise SNE, we'll see

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The snow near and south of the pike is mostly dependent on Friday. Some runs look really good and others are just a few snow showers. 

[Chris12WX]

Yikes. Hi-res guidance not great here. Guess 1.5" will remain my biggest storm of year. Next.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/19/2023 at 11:06 AM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Steady as she goes.  BOX map cut back a tiny bit in the Ashburnham area.

 

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Box mentioned relatively low confidence in northern zones ..watching short term trends etc . Seems euro / gfs look good . Reggie / Ukie tickled N 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/19/2023 at 12:33 PM, Chris12WX said:

Yikes. Hi-res guidance not great here. Guess 1.5" will remain my biggest storm of year. Next.

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Are you channeling money pit mike 

Just kidding it could be close even at 427’ in Nashua 

[wx2fish]

Nam is definitely the warmest, little warm nose up around 750, and it pushes it up into the NH border region for a couple hours. Northern edge will probably fluctuate with lift, but something to watch on the 12z runs. 

[CoastalWx]

Not sure much of anything pike south even tomorrow. We’ll have to watch for a surprise band or two, but seems like best stuff may be north. Especially with these north ticks. I guess we’ll see.

[bristolri_wx]

Axl lied to me, cold November rain does last forever. Congrats Pike north! Hopefully the coastal plain will get more than an inch of snow at some point the remainder of the season. Gradient blows here…