Genug Shoyn Mit warm and brown! Is Jan 19-20 a storm to shift the vibe?

[OceanStWx]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

You’re in a great spot. I really like the CON to PWM corridor in this one for a solid low end warning event. 

I would be more gung ho if forcing weren't kind of going through the meat grinder as it squeezes east southeast. If we're losing the punch behind the WAA, rates will be lower, and accumulation in a marginal environment could struggle. If it was a wall of WAA like a typical SWFE I would be on board for more widespread warning. Right now I'm leaning low end as you say. 

[wx2fish]

A quick glance, but the euro looks a touch colder than 6z. Seems to have a little better lift, which might be helping.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I would be more gung ho if forcing weren't kind of going through the meat grinder as it squeezes east southeast. If we're losing the punch behind the WAA, rates will be lower, and accumulation in a marginal environment could struggle. If it was a wall of WAA like a typical SWFE I would be on board for more widespread warning. Right now I'm leaning low end as you say. 

Agree....at first look, I think a general 3-6" across s NH with maybe a few 6"+ in the higher terrain.

Its getting shredded and attenuating.

[dryslot]

For here it looks like were caught in the middle of the handoff from the primary in NYS to the low forming off of SNE.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Euro likes methuen North 

[40/70 Benchmark]

35 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

That map looks good for now 40/70

Hopefully we get some cold air to hang on / show up...

 

Some are confused by the map

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Euro likes methuen North 

Its about 4" for my locale.

[Great Snow 1717]

14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Euro likes methuen North 

that rarely works out well for methuen...

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Maps for NNE?

[HoarfrostHubb]

45 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its about 4" for my locale.

NARCAN maps out yet?

[Ginx snewx]

That's 30 hrs of snow for some lucky guy raising chickens, Gene Gene the dancing machine and Marko Polo. Tif tif schney

[Ginx snewx]

21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

That's 30 hrs of snow for some lucky guys raising chickens, Gene Gene the dancing machine and Marko Polo. Tif tif schney

Then another 24 break before another 24 of snow. Nice week Congrats Dendy

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Then another 24 break before another 24 of snow. Nice week Congrats Dendy

so we get the burst overnight Thursday but then it continues ivt all day Friday?  Then the next one comes Sunday morn?  Then big daddy for all of us on the 26th?  How we hope.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

so we get the burst overnight Thursday but then it continues ivt all day Friday?  Then the next one comes Sunday morn?  Then big daddy for all of us on the 26th?  How we hope.

Days and days of snow. Storms and rumors of storms.

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Days and days of snow. Storms and rumors of storms.

Actually Wunderground is ramping up just now.  6.1 starting Thurs-Fri, and total of 15+ through 1/26.  Has is snowing 7 or 8 days starting the 19th.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

that rarely works out well for methuen...

Correct ,  I can count the times a met has said looks “pretty good from Ray to xyz” and that has like a 25% success rate . Nobody has really said that specifically .. some have said NH/Ma border north looks decent but not sure if they mean inland w some elevation 

Sunapee looks to get smacked and considering they had maybe 1” in the woods Sunday ..they could use it .

[Supernovice]

In Aruba 21-28th- bank on the best stretch of the winter occurring then.

[Great Snow 1717]

27 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Correct ,  I can count the times a met has said looks “pretty good from Ray to xyz” and that has like a 25% success rate . Nobody has really said that specifically .. some have said NH/Ma border north looks decent but not sure if they mean inland w some elevation 

Sunapee looks to get smacked and considering they had maybe 1” in the woods Sunday ..they could use it .

The percentage is likely lower than that.....either the rain/snow line sets up south and/or east  of Methuen and/or N and NW of Methuen.  

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

The percentage is likely lower than that.....either the rain/snow line sets up south and east  of Methuen or N and NW of Methuen.  

Well..if it sets up SE then that’s a good thing the majority of the time ..for methuen getting the snow 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Euro must have sucked if there wasn’t any snow posts about it. Yuck 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Euro must have sucked if there wasn’t any snow posts about it. Yuck 

Looked great for Cranmore ..add a few more days to your trip lol

it was mostly rain south of route 2 mass , except the day 9-10 system which was a bomb in la la ish land 

[wx2fish]

Nam looks a touch cooler for those on the fringes

[CoastalWx]

NAM looks good from near the MA/NH border on up. Definitely cooler.

[dryslot]

GYX early map.

[tunafish]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

GYX early map.

Looks like the bumped up the ranges for most from the map they had out earlier.

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, tunafish said:

Looks like the bumped up the ranges for most from the map they had out earlier.

Glad to see that has you in the yellow. Might suggest winter storm watches go up in the morning, if this continues and you are probably the eastern extent of that watch  Fingers crossed

[tunafish]

4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Glad to see that has you in the yellow. Might suggest winter storm watches go up in the morning, if this continues and you are probably the eastern extent of that watch  Fingers crossed

I'm in the 4-6" range still.  Skeptical on anything >4" just based on what Chris said at the top of this page, and because it looks like I'll be starting as mixed instead of straight snow.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

14 minutes ago, dryslot said:

GYX early map.

We take 

[jbenedet]

I'm going with a jackpot in the Berks on this one. North Adams area.

[dryslot]

17 minutes ago, tunafish said:

Looks like the bumped up the ranges for most from the map they had out earlier.

I like 4-6".