Genug Shoyn Mit warm and brown! Is Jan 19-20 a storm to shift the vibe?

[mahk_webstah]

Maybe the people of the book can help us with a pattern change?  Which model do you believe?  Can we keep hope alive?  

 GYX says maybe a chance to +PNA, and a -NAO.  But maybe not.

Will Thursday be the start of something good?  I say yes , trolls say NOPE, I say NOP.  What say you?

Will this thread curse us?  Will it even get one reply?  Oy!

[SJonesWX]

i have a flight out of MHT with a tight layover at DCA on friday, so yeah. it's coming. Mazel tov!

[dryslot]

That thread title...............

[mahk_webstah]

15 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That thread title...............

Embrace the diversity of America.  Zaln mir ale zeyn tsufridn!

And enjoy the thread while it lasts, because I think it might have a short shelf life, but hopefully not the storm.

[mreaves]

15 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That thread title...............

Hebrew? Yiddish?  Mit is German.  I plugged it into google and its seems to mean "Enough with the warm and brown already"

[dryslot]

42 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Embrace the diversity of America.  Zaln mir ale zeyn tsufridn!

And enjoy the thread while it lasts, because I think it might have a short shelf life, but hopefully not the storm.

All i want to embrace is snow, Make it happen.

[dryslot]

42 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Hebrew? Yiddish?  Mit is German.  I plugged it into google and its seems to mean "Enough with the warm and brown already"

Jibberish?

[ORH_wxman]

RGEM is pretty cold. Lot of snow for the pike region. 
 

Not changing my thought based off of that run, but something to note in case other guidance comes in colder too. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Smh

peak climo and a more zonal flow may save CNE/ NNE 

I don’t think we want to see anything very strong bc it very well may cut to buffalo unless we have and Greenland blocking or 50/50 low 

[mahk_webstah]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Jibberish?

I am in the process of making that happen.  Yiddish is definitely NOT jibberish, and let's hope this storm isn't either.  We might get a pack going and that will help us all, if indeed the next storm is the inflection point.  Or maybe this one is.  

The guidance from both GYX, WPC, and my Wunderground (lol), has been solid for a moderate snowfall for at least 5 days.  We have had the sudden swing to bad news that we have been getting on storms up to this point.  That in itself would be an inflection.  

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I am in the process of making that happen.  Yiddish is definitely NOT jibberish, and let's hope this storm isn't either.  We might get a pack going and that will help us all, if indeed the next storm is the inflection point.  Or maybe this one is.  

The guidance from both GYX, WPC, and my Wunderground (lol), has been solid for a moderate snowfall for at least 5 days.  We have had the sudden swing to bad news that we have been getting on storms up to this point.  That in itself would be an inflection.  

You’re in a great spot. I really like the CON to PWM corridor in this one for a solid low end warning event. 

[Damage In Tolland]

What in the sam hell?

[HoarfrostHubb]

2-4" for my area seems reasonable.    The rain won't make it as fun though

[mahk_webstah]

19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

You’re in a great spot. I really like the CON to PWM corridor in this one for a solid low end warning event. 

Hmmm, I was thinking 4-8 so that might get to the warning criteria of 7.  There are still caution flags, but that just might be me being gun-shy from this year.  Glad to hear your enthusiasm, because one of my caution flags was the comment you made a few days ago as to how this could suddenly go far north.  Looks like that isn't happening, so the question is advisory and warning, and how Ray does, and how Kevin feels about the whole thing given that he's SOP

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, mreaves said:

Hebrew? Yiddish?  Mit is German.  I plugged it into google and its seems to mean "Enough with the warm and brown already"

Love the thread title, ha.  Let’s spice it up in the melting pot.

I’m thinking 3-6” our way to start.  Synoptic density and probably falls over a 24 hour period.  Could get a few lollipops higher to 4-8”?

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Love the thread title, ha.  Let’s spice it up in the melting pot.

I’m thinking 3-6” our way to start.  Synoptic density and probably falls over a 24 hour period.  Could get a few lollipops higher to 4-8”?

 

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Love the thread title, ha.  Let’s spice it up in the melting pot.

I’m thinking 3-6” our way to start.  Synoptic density and probably falls over a 24 hour period.  Could get a few lollipops higher to 4-8”?

but then you have upslope, nu?

[ORH_wxman]

GFS really hitting the IVT with the upper level energy hanging back. Always tough to buy into that but when you see good upper level support, you don’t want to ignore it either. 

[DJln491]

Pulling for the CNE/NNE crowd to cash in.  Hopefully help out the ski resorts.  

[powderfreak]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS really hitting the IVT with the upper level energy hanging back. Always tough to buy into that but when you see good upper level support, you don’t want to ignore it either. 

Agreed.  Tough to bank on that.  But it’s also on most models to some extent.

If anything changes the most in the next 48 hours it’s definitely the handling of that.

[powderfreak]

GFS gets some snows to the Pike with the IVT lingering.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, powderfreak said:

GFS gets some snows to the Pike with the IVT lingering.

Nice look for ski country of NH and VT

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

CMC kind of paltry 

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

CMC kind of paltry 

warning snows here ill take it

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

warning snows here ill take it

I’m tossing the Canadian guidance on this. Cold/southern outliers. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’m tossing the Canadian guidance on this. Cold/southern outliers. 

Only gives a couple to ski areas, tossed

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Only gives a couple to ski areas, tossed

There are ski areas south of NH as well

[40/70 Benchmark]

21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/01/mainly-rain-likely-thursday-into-early.html

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

That map looks good for now 40/70

Hopefully we get some cold air to hang on / show up...

 

[TheSnowman]

I’ll be home Thursday.  So I’ll get Rain.  
 

i just landed back in RI after that Debacle of a game.  People got 3”-5”, There is NOTHING on the ground here in RI.  
 

Saturday I leave until at Least the 7th, so Mark It: Winter will start Sunday until the 6th.  

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

GFS gets some snows to the Pike with the IVT lingering.

Puzzling over the track that would produce that distribution.  Upper GOM hard left like post-Christmas 1969?  That's when many Maine stations had 12-20" SN followed by 3-6" RA while BTV had 30" and most of SNH had an ice storm.