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2023 Tropical Tracking Thread


SnowenOutThere
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2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Well for DC yeah lol that area misses everything. Not bad for coastal areas. It’s fantasy anyway, though I think the broader signal for tropical activity is real. 

Any swells from Danny arriving or too far away ?  We need some wave action at the beaches.  

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29 minutes ago, frd said:

Any swells from Danny arriving or too far away ?  We need some wave action at the beaches.  

 

21 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Hmmm I will be at Kitty Hawk NC wonder what that would look like there?

I think it’s too weak and too far away but I don’t really know. 

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2 hours ago, H2O said:

It better get going to hit those numbers. Unless the pattern changes soon it will bust. 

Looks like they're still betting on the warm waters. But what we're, for the most part, seeing is that the myriad of other factors that go into making a tropical system are of equal, if not greater importance.

Definitely don't think we'll be that above average, if at all. We'll see though.

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1 hour ago, Its a Breeze said:

Looks like they're still betting on the warm waters. But what we're, for the most part, seeing is that the myriad of other factors that go into making a tropical system are of equal, if not greater importance.

Definitely don't think we'll be that above average, if at all. We'll see though.

I think the warm water only matters if the storm has somewhat formed to begin with…

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24 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Interesting…

 

14-21 named storms is such a large range IMO.  Since 2010, 77% (10/13) years had between 14-21 named storms.  Easy to be "correct" when you have such a large target.  It tells me that they are unsure of what is actually going to happen.  

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