sbnwx85 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Thoughts and prayers for a lake effect response as the low pulls away. Global models are picking up on something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 looks like we'll be riding the razors edge of any significant accumulation. Anywhere between T-6" looks possible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 thread evaporation is real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, Baum said: thread evaporation is real Chicago or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 At least we'll have to sensibly hold our tongues about the SE trend next time around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Chicago or bust.and detroit.we need more posters from mn/wi. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Southern Wisco is here but as madwx mentioned we are riding a razors edge with this one. We need to find Daddylonglegs and get that LaCrosse perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 We're too busy watching our thicc snowpack get ruined by a mid-January rain storm here in Minnesota. Not often we have p-type issues around here this time of year... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 The Minny magic is starting to slip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve23guy Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 lol woke up to this morning with a forcast of 3-6 , now "less than an inch" ... wack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2023 Author Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, mnchaserguy said: We're too busy watching our thicc snowpack get ruined by a mid-January rain storm here in Minnesota. Not often we have p-type issues around here this time of year... Not often ORD has less than 5” of snow this time of year… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Not often ORD has less than 5” of snow this time of year…Speaking of that…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 15 minutes ago, mimillman said: Not often ORD has less than 5” of snow this time of year… You know what's also pathetic? There have been several occurrences of less snow between 12/25 and 1/15 than the 0.8" that ORD has this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 16, 2023 Author Share Posted January 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, Hoosier said: You know what's also pathetic? There have been several occurrences of less snow between 12/25 and 1/15 than the 0.8" that ORD has this season. I believe that. 20-day snowless stretches happen, but they’re usually bookended with at least AN event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Yeah as of right now it looks like that the Madison area will be just a bit too far south for this. If I had to guess this is probably going to end up being a La Crosse-Stevens Point-Shawano-Marinette corridor hit. Green Bay will probably end up right on the gradient with a few inches while Pulaski gets slammed, again. The maximum amounts always seem to follow the northern edge of the bay in the slightly higher terrain N and W of the Fox Valley. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 NAM likes Beer Town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Got the lure out. Maybe we’ll reel this one in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, madwx said: Got the lure out. Maybe we’ll reel this one in NAM looked better for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Eastern IA and N western IL do ok as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Long range NAM looks too far SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 The GFS and NAM both wallop us over a short period. From about 9PM to 6AM. Dry air before and after that shut down snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 14 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Long range NAM looks too far SE Looks more like an issue on how Tropical is handling the data. Pivotal and COD are showing a different outcome on the SE extent of the snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 The 3km NAM is further northwest with the rain/snow line compared to the 12km. I'm riding the RGEM, which gives the QC about 99% rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Really liking the R/S line setting up 10 miles NW of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 NAM and GFS bumped NW at 6Z to get more in line with the Euro. Looking likely to be around 2-3" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 I do gotta say as someone who works outside the warm weather is nice. But even a few inches to cover the muck would be enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
st0rmbrkr Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, madwx said: NAM and GFS bumped NW at 6Z to get more in line with the Euro. Looking likely to be around 2-3" here What's it looking like for Milwaukee? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, st0rmbrkr said: What's it looking like for Milwaukee? Looking like a T to 1" right now. Too much warm air advection pushes the rain/snow/mix line northward and then the dry slot moves in and cuts off the precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Time to reel this one in I suppose. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imneversatisfied Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 I've been reluctant to post in this thread hoping not to jinx this storm away from me. Lol Looking like a solid 6" storm with 30 mph winds off Lake Huron which could create some rare lake enhancement here in Alpena. It will also be a rare daytime,heavy accumulation snow event. Hopefully it doesnt get too warm and we get rain or the storm shifts NW and get nothin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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