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January 15-16 2023 Storm Potential


Baroclinic Zone
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15 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said:

Kept

The snow is really dense…prob a little bit of sleet in there too…makes for good staying power even with temps in the mid 30s. We’ll prob lose most of it though over the next couple days as temps nudge above 40F. 

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19 minutes ago, Hazey said:


90L now. ECCC requested Goes 16 so probably the only reason it got an invest


.

Detached from frontal boundaries

Persistent convection

Well defined low level center

ASCAT confirmed wind field

The SSTs may be marginal at best, but we’ve had persistent convection wrapping around a quasi-warm core low for more than a day. This is textbook subtropical IMO except for the time of year. 

Certainly more of a canonical case than some of the slop that gets named at the edges of hurricane season. 
 

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