ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM slugs a big area of QPF west too. Yeah on Monday night....lol. This whole setup is kind of a clown show. I don't expect model guidance to be consistent on this, so we're kind of going old school with each model cycle....back to the 1990s and early 2000s when you'd have 100 mile shifts inside of 48 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 3k was trying to get some precip into eastern areas overnight tonight too...not the full blown advisory snow event that the HRRR had, but maybe some light sleet/snow for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Have to treat it like a norlun even though it isn't and wait until your inside 24hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 How far west did HRRR sling snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: How far west did HRRR sling snow? Like it brought an inch from ORH to maybe Windham county near Garth...you get a little less, like maybe a half inch verbatim. Gvies Scooter to N RI like 3 inches though, lol. It's prob on crack, but might as well keep an eye out. 3k had a little bit in eastern areas but not like the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 18z RAP had a little snow too....but again, nothing like the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 I could buy some of that lighter precip. Not sure about the HRRR..but It wouldn't shock me of spots had C-1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 It does have that nowcast feel which in these days is kind of cool. Usually guidance is good enough to not have those old school shifts like Will mentioned, but they'll be some surprises...I just hope for they're on the good side. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Reggie doesn't have the tomorrow stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Reggie is a pretty good event for PYM county to the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I could buy some of that lighter precip. Not sure about the HRRR..but It wouldn't shock me of spots had C-1". Would it even accumulate with marginal temps though? I suppose 1” on grassy knolls is a town wide shutdown this season… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Reggie is a pretty good event for PYM county to the Cape. It has the Monday round 2 snows too that are more widespread...kind of like at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How far west did HRRR sling snow? Your boy Reginal throws some back down by the river fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Would it even accumulate with marginal temps though? I suppose 1” on grassy knolls is a town wide shutdown this season… Lower levels should cool quite quickly tonight...I'd expect most everyone is at or below freezing by 09z outside of the coastal spots. So any snow that is in the 09z-15z time range early tomorrow should stick. I don't really expect much of anything in that time range, but should it materialize, it should be cold enough for something better than white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Your boy Reginal throws some back down by the river fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Would it even accumulate with marginal temps though? I suppose 1” on grassy knolls is a town wide shutdown this season… I think here it may be more of a mix issue with sleet vs lower level temps. I think we'll get to 32 fairly easily. Further west like where you are would certainly be snow should any moisture be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Finally, some actual drama around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Let’s turn this into Sub tropical storm Arlene. At least make this shit winter somewhat memorable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Finally, some actual drama around here. Storms and rumors of storms…as Steve would say. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Gfs has light snow inside 495 most of Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Gfs has light snow inside 495 most of Saturday night. Coming west with the bigger band on Sunday too. Though again, it remained the eastern outlier at 12z so it had to come west…hitting the cape by 48h. Not sure if it will reach BOS this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Coming west with the bigger band on Sunday too. Though again, it remained the eastern outlier at 12z so it had to come west…hitting the cape by 48h. Not sure if it will reach BOS this run. Gets back to central MA with light stuff and more widespread light snow in much of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 That quasi warm core has been consistent the past few cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 That was a good push west there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Keef Carson just said potential 'sleet bomb' up here. Is there that much mid-level warmth modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Might get an inch or two and I feel like a KU is on tap… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, tunafish said: Keef Carson just said potential 'sleet bomb' up here. Is there that much mid-level warmth modeled? By Monday in Maine,ya 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I think here it may be more of a mix issue with sleet vs lower level temps. I think we'll get to 32 fairly easily. Further west like where you are would certainly be snow should any moisture be there. Oh I’m not thinking about here. We’ll be lucky to see a stray flake. For you guys there, hopefully what falls accumulates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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