Great Snow 1717 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 16 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: I'm glad that ray is enjoying the day off! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I enjoyed the 0% chance of tropical cyclone formation. Well it's 0% because they get to make the call on whether it's tropical or not. Strictly speaking I would say it's a decidedly non-zero percent chance that it is subtropical. Right Not to sound like some of the yahoos on the board, but you can bank that some slop early in the 2023 season will get named while this one is quietly sent to the historical trash heap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 How bad in your hood, @Hazey? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah, hence "reasonable compromise" It was too robust with QPF, but it was also better continuity, consistently west of other guidance where that seemed to do okay. So we trade off in disappointing amounts for actually getting something/anything to happen in 2022-2023 Just my take - doesn't have to be the best version. How far off was QPF from the 3 or 4 run average on the EC? Or was it more the 3rd party clown maps that were off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: How bad in your hood, @Hazey? I saw some city was mid upper 30’s and rain most of storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 And yes @Ginx snewx we sled. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 wunderground can be pretty good at times, often cutting or raising accums before the official forecast. Now it says steady snow developing the afternoon and an inch. Looking at radar, its coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Probably somewhere between 1-2”. Might be biggest storm of season so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Light snow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 47 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I don't like to use that word in general around here because it evokes 1998, but coupled with words like major the messaging can get out of control quickly. We'll see how it plays out Downeast, but with a forecast of 0.5-0.75" flat ice I could live with significant ice storm. Major? That's like 1" radial (so more like 1.5" flat). There was a wicked wedge up there around 925. Probably quite a bit of sleet contamination overnight into this morning. Temps also get kinda borderline today to max accretion across Downeast ME. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Noted good snow in my 7:30 pee run. 2.4 total so far. Maybe one more burst later? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Looks really nice outside. I will savor it today and actually shovel for the first tIme this winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Ended up with about 3” in Wakefield. Not bad. Beautiful out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: wunderground can be pretty good at times, often cutting or raising accums before the official forecast. Now it says steady snow developing the afternoon and an inch. Looking at radar, its coming. That forecast gets some hourly high res influence in the short term (IBM Graf), so it can sometimes align with radar trends. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Radar is pretty ragged and banded up here, Never like these types of events and then this one is anomalous as it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Snow was pretty dense so it made good piles. My boys are enjoying it this morning 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Looks like winter in some areas in Southern New England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 How bad in your hood, [mention=168]Hazey[/mention]? Not too bad in my area as I’m close to the ocean and kept temps elevated enough to avoid accretion. Different story northern area of the province and especially New Brunswick. Getting it bad there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 7 minutes ago, wx2fish said: There was a wicked wedge up there around 925. Probably quite a bit of sleet contamination overnight into this morning. Temps also get kinda borderline today to max accretion across Downeast ME. The most difficult thing about forecasting ice is that it's such a narrow variable space to maintain that as the dominant ptype. I typically lean heavy on sleet because of that. The problem I'm having with some of the forecasts I'm seeing is like for BGR: Roughly over the rest of the event there a forecast of 1 inch snow, 1 inch sleet, and 0.33 inches ice - off 1 inch QPF. If you take conservative ratios of 2:1 sleet, 10:1 snow, and 0.7:1 FZRA, that's already over 1" QPF. I just don't think there's enough QPF for all these things to happen, either sleet robs from FZRA or vice versa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Snow was pretty dense so it made good piles. My boys are enjoying it this morning Forget making a snowman, my son's favorite thing to do is shovel the snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Forget making a snowman, my son's favorite thing to do is shovel the snow. Ha, Wait until he gets older, His favorite thing will be watching Dad do it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Can we get this thing designated as Subtropical? It will take the sting out of this dumpster fire of a winter if i can get hit with a landfalling tropical system in fuking January. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Getting it pretty good now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Eyeballing about 2.5" in Lowell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 24 minutes ago, Hazey said: Can we get this thing designated as Subtropical? It will take the sting out of this dumpster fire of a winter if i can get hit with a landfalling tropical system in fuking January. I mean come on lol. This is legit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 It's going Annular. jk There's been consistent OES in between these pinwheeling bands..but it's only dusting the existing .3 of sleet/snow we got earlier today. Looks like another one might clip EMA again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 I see BOS had 3.4. Pretty good! Sometimes it pays to be on the water. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 000 NOUS41 KBOX 161529 PNSBOX CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-170329- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1029 AM EST Mon Jan 16 2023 ...SNOWFALL REPORTS... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...Hartford County... Suffield Depot 6.0 WNW 0.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 4 N Enfield 0.5 in 0512 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter North Granby 1.3 ENE 0.3 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 1 SSW Vernon 0.2 in 0730 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Bradley AP 0.2 in 0700 AM 01/16 ASOS Enfield 1.5 SE 0.2 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS West Hartford 1.1 NNE 0.1 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS ...Tolland County... Staffordville 0.5 in 0500 AM 01/16 COOP 1 NE Somers 0.4 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Central Somers 0.3 N 0.4 in 0600 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Somersville 0.2 ENE 0.2 in 0745 AM 01/16 COCORAHS ...Massachusetts... ...Barnstable County... East Falmouth 0.7 NW 3.7 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Falmouth 3.1 NNW 3.1 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Waquoit 0.6 SSW 2.0 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Mashpee 4.6 S 1.5 in 0637 AM 01/16 COCORAHS East Sandwich 1.4 in 0830 AM 01/16 COOP 3 ESE Sandwich 1.4 in 0659 PM 01/15 NWS Employee 5 WNW Barnstable 1.2 in 0100 PM 01/15 NWS Employee South Dennis 1.0 NW 0.2 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS ...Bristol County... Acushnet 2.0 in 0600 AM 01/16 Amateur Radio 1 W Taunton AP 1.5 in 1020 PM 01/15 Amateur Radio 2 SSE New Bedford 1.4 in 0630 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Fairhaven 2.2 ESE 0.8 in 0855 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Westport 6.6 SSE 0.5 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Norton 0.8 S 0.5 in 0915 PM 01/15 COCORAHS Dighton 3.3 NNW 0.4 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Dartmouth 2.5 SSW 0.4 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS NWS Boston/Norton 0.3 in 0700 AM 01/16 COOP Somerset 2.3 NNE 0.2 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Norton 0.2 in 0711 PM 01/15 Official NWS Obs ...Dukes County... Vineyard Haven 0.8 WSW 0.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS West Tisbury 0.5 in 0633 AM 01/16 Amateur Radio ...Essex County... North Andover 0.3 NW 3.5 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Newburyport 1.3 WNW 3.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Topsfield 3.4 in 0908 AM 01/16 Public Newbury 3.3 in 0830 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 1 SE Haverhill 3.0 in 0755 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Middleton 1.4 SSW 2.9 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 2 NW Peabody 2.5 in 0855 AM 01/16 Amateur Radio Groveland 1.2 NE 2.5 in 0831 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Nahant 0.4 N 2.5 in 0730 AM 01/16 COCORAHS West Newbury 1.1 ESE 2.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Andover 0.6 E 2.5 in 0500 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Beverly Coop 2.4 in 0830 AM 01/16 COOP Boxford 2.4 S 2.4 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Rowley 2.3 in 0900 AM 01/16 Public 1 N Methuen 2.0 in 0753 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Amesbury 2.6 WSW 2.0 in 0729 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 1 W Gloucester 2.0 in 0620 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Rockport 1.0 E 1.0 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS ...Franklin County... Conway 0.9 SW 3.0 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Greenfield 2.5 in 0600 AM 01/16 COOP Buckland 1.8 ESE 2.0 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Bernardston 1.0 SW 2.0 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Sunderland 1.8 in 0700 AM 01/16 COOP Colrain 3.7 WNW 0.6 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Shutesbury 2.9 SW 0.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS New Salem 3.1 S 0.3 in 0900 AM 01/16 COCORAHS ...Hampden County... Westfield 2.8 SE 0.7 in 0600 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 2 SE West Springfield 0.5 in 0823 AM 01/16 Amateur Radio Hampden 2.0 NW 0.4 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Agawam 1.1 SSW 0.2 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS ...Hampshire County... 1 ESE Plainfield 3.0 in 0810 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Williamsburg 1.2 WSW 3.0 in 0630 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Westhampton 1.8 SW 2.5 in 0805 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Northampton 0.4 S 1.3 in 0850 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Easthampton 1.0 E 1.2 in 0810 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Amherst 0.9 in 0715 AM 01/16 COOP Florence 1.9 SW 0.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS ...Middlesex County... Littleton 2.8 NNW 3.0 in 0735 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 2 SSE Dunstable 2.7 in 1200 AM 01/16 Public Billerica 2.3 NNW 2.5 in 0830 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 2 SSW Reading 2.5 in 0805 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter 1 WNW Pepperell 2.5 in 0745 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter 2 SW Tewksbury 2.5 in 0730 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Ayer 2.5 in 0610 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 2 SE Carlisle 2.2 in 0630 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Winchester 0.7 SE 2.1 in 0750 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 2 E Acton 2.1 in 0700 AM 01/16 Amateur Radio Westford 2.0 in 0800 AM 01/16 Amateur Radio Maynard 0.7 ESE 1.9 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Acton 1.3 SW 1.8 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Lexington 0.6 SW 1.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Framingham 2.0 NNE 1.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Sudbury 3.6 W 1.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Reading 1.2 N 1.5 in 0600 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Natick 1.9 NNE 1.3 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Melrose 0.5 NE 1.2 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Hudson 0.5 SSE 1.2 in 0615 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Melrose 1.0 in 0815 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Sherborn 1.1 NW 1.0 in 0705 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Medford 1.2 W 1.0 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Hopkinton 0.9 in 0855 AM 01/16 Public Stow 0.8 in 0905 AM 01/16 Broadcast Media ...Norfolk County... 1 SSW Walpole 2.1 in 0930 AM 01/16 Public 2 SSW Norwood 1.2 in 0840 AM 01/16 Amateur Radio 1 ESE Randolph 1.2 in 0558 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Blue Hill Coop 1.1 in 0700 AM 01/16 COOP Braintree 1.5 SE 0.8 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Foxborough 3.1 E 0.2 in 0710 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Norwood 1.3 NW 0.2 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS ...Plymouth County... Kingston 3.3 WNW 3.7 in 0600 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 3 NNW Wareham 3.0 in 0830 AM 01/16 Public Whitman 2.6 in 0951 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Hingham 0.8 ESE 2.6 in 0804 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Carver 2.3 E 2.5 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS East Bridgewater 2.5 in 0955 PM 01/15 Trained Spotter Marshfield 1.5 NNW 2.3 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Wareham 5.6 NE 2.2 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Bridgewater 1.0 in 0720 AM 01/16 COOP Rochester 1.0 in 0700 AM 01/16 COOP ...Suffolk County... Logan AP 3.4 in 0936 AM 01/16 ASOS Chelsea 0.8 N 3.0 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Jamacia Plain 0.9 in 0800 AM 01/16 COOP ...Worcester County... Ashburnham 2.7 in 0700 AM 01/16 COOP 1 SE Hubbardston 2.3 in 0710 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter 1 NE Lunenburg 2.0 in 0935 AM 01/16 Amateur Radio Fitchburg 1.6 SSW 2.0 in 0715 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 1 ESE Fitchburg 2.0 in 0715 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Ashburnham North 2.0 in 0700 AM 01/16 COOP Westminster 0.6 WSW 1.9 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Sterling 1.8 in 0700 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Northborough 2.3 N 1.5 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Berlin 1.3 WSW 1.4 in 0736 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Barre 1.4 NNE 1.2 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Warren 2.4 WSW 1.1 in 0715 AM 01/16 COCORAHS 1 ENE Oakham 1.0 in 0757 AM 01/16 Trained Spotter Milford 1.0 in 0700 AM 01/16 COOP Worcester 1.6 SE 0.7 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Auburn 2.6 SW 0.5 in 0800 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Holden 0.9 SSE 0.5 in 0630 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Athol 2.8 NNE 0.3 in 0741 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Douglas 1.9 NNE 0.3 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Worcester AP 0.3 in 1150 PM 01/15 ASOS Southbridge 0.1 in 0700 AM 01/16 COOP ...Rhode Island... ...Newport County... Little Compton 1.7 NW 0.3 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS Tiverton 4.4 SSE 0.1 in 0632 AM 01/16 COCORAHS ...Providence County... Greenville 0.7 NNW 0.1 in 0700 AM 01/16 COCORAHS && 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said: The most difficult thing about forecasting ice is that it's such a narrow variable space to maintain that as the dominant ptype. I typically lean heavy on sleet because of that. The problem I'm having with some of the forecasts I'm seeing is like for BGR: Roughly over the rest of the event there a forecast of 1 inch snow, 1 inch sleet, and 0.33 inches ice - off 1 inch QPF. If you take conservative ratios of 2:1 sleet, 10:1 snow, and 0.7:1 FZRA, that's already over 1" QPF. I just don't think there's enough QPF for all these things to happen, either sleet robs from FZRA or vice versa. Every time I've taken LE from a purely sleet event, the ratio has been ~3:1. Reported 0.03" to cocorahs with trace accretion and a few pingers. Since then we've probably had twice the LE in ZR/IP with 0.1-0.2" of the pellets. Western edge effect. (Though some bright echoes are moving our way.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Just got done shoveling glad to see winter came back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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