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January 8th-9th Snow Threat


DarkSharkWX
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8 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Eh not really..from what Ive seen the GFS has just been trending a bit more accumulated precip which in turn is making the snow maps look a little better over the last 24-48 hrs of runs

Precip and thermals are intimately connected here. Heavier precipitation = more evaporational and dynamical cooling = more snow. Light precip won’t cut it.

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Just now, WxUSAF said:

Precip and thermals are intimately connected here. Heavier precipitation = more evaporational and dynamical cooling = more snow. Light precip won’t cut it.

Right, agreed..I am just saying from an overall standpoint, I dont think the modeling has trended colder. The GFS is just going with a heavier burst and more QPF than most of the other modeling so in turn you get that Evap cooling a bit more and the better snow map looks. Im not really buying it personally but folks along the PA line can maybe squeeze out a slushy inch

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5 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Right, agreed..I am just saying from an overall standpoint, I dont think the modeling has trended colder. The GFS is just going with a heavier burst and more QPF than most of the other modeling so in turn you get that Evap cooling a bit more and the better snow map looks. Im not really buying it personally but folks along the PA line can maybe squeeze out a slushy inch

white, white raiiiiiin

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