WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 GFS would definitely get areas north of DC on the board. I’ll take it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Has this actually been trending cooler each run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Guess I'll just accept it doesn't snow here anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Has this actually been trending cooler each run? Eh not really..from what Ive seen the GFS has just been trending a bit more accumulated precip which in turn is making the snow maps look a little better over the last 24-48 hrs of runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 8 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Eh not really..from what Ive seen the GFS has just been trending a bit more accumulated precip which in turn is making the snow maps look a little better over the last 24-48 hrs of runs Precip and thermals are intimately connected here. Heavier precipitation = more evaporational and dynamical cooling = more snow. Light precip won’t cut it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, WxUSAF said: Precip and thermals are intimately connected here. Heavier precipitation = more evaporational and dynamical cooling = more snow. Light precip won’t cut it. Right, agreed..I am just saying from an overall standpoint, I dont think the modeling has trended colder. The GFS is just going with a heavier burst and more QPF than most of the other modeling so in turn you get that Evap cooling a bit more and the better snow map looks. Im not really buying it personally but folks along the PA line can maybe squeeze out a slushy inch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Right, agreed..I am just saying from an overall standpoint, I dont think the modeling has trended colder. The GFS is just going with a heavier burst and more QPF than most of the other modeling so in turn you get that Evap cooling a bit more and the better snow map looks. Im not really buying it personally but folks along the PA line can maybe squeeze out a slushy inch white, white raiiiiiin 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 WB 12Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GFS Look at the snow depth map. It is all basically white rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Why even bother with a shade of color for 0.1? Or at least make it brown colored for the mud it will make 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, Interstate said: Look at the snow depth map. It is all basically white rain It’s not going to be 10:1 ratios, but the gfs has a solid burst for N/NE MD. It would be a couple inches at least. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Euro remains pretty unenthusiastic. Just less precip so warmer solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Euro remains pretty unenthusiastic. Just less precip so warmer solution. Yeah, not great but it did get a good deal wetter up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FamouslyHot Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 NAM'd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 6, 2023 Author Share Posted January 6, 2023 Namd 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 6 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: Namd This is why I cut my grass extra short. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FamouslyHot Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 3k looked good too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 WB 3K NAM DC Bullseye! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Damn…3k is sexy. I’m staying up late if that’s right so I can measure my max accumulation right before it starts to melt. 3 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 20 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 3K NAM DC Bullseye! Where’s Bristow when we need him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 24 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Damn…3k is sexy. I’m staying up late if that’s right so I can measure my max accumulation right before it starts to melt. North trend? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 for the realists out there... NAM snow depth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, mappy said: for the realists out there... NAM snow depth I'd take it. I made sure to cut my lawn real short in late November so it won't take much to cover it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 11 minutes ago, mappy said: for the realists out there... NAM snow depth Sorry you got greyed. I'll watch my first flakes fall and then watch them melt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 GFS looks like the NAMs... is this the closest we've got to an event in the metro with two models agreeing on snow? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 WB 18Z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 18 minutes ago, mattie g said: Sorry you got greyed. I'll watch my first flakes fall and then watch them melt. snow is snow, being I’ve gotten a T so far this year, I’ll take gray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Won’t be 10:1 friends. Cut it in half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 7 minutes ago, mappy said: Won’t be 10:1 friends. Cut it in half probably not though @high riskusually chimes in at some point to say the snow depth map is wrong too. I'll take Kuchera and roll with the punches when it underdelivers a bit come snow time... if snow time comes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: probably not though @high riskusually chimes in at some point to say the snow depth map is wrong too. I'll take Kuchera and roll with the punches when it underdelivers a bit come snow time... if snow time comes. You do you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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