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Friday, January 6, 2023 Light snow event


weatherwiz
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  On 1/6/2023 at 1:34 PM, jbenedet said:

Really interesting seeing Albany at 40/39 and North Adam’s MA at 38/35. Incredibly warm for Jan 6.
 

The mesos have this boundary as a quasi stationary front, whereas the globals swing this through the area as a weak warm front associated with the surface low in Ontario. Basically mesos saying the weakening NB surface HP will be enough to hold its ground while globals saying “not a chance” it’s gonna get booted east. Climo matches the mesos; persistence matches the globals. I lean with persistence.

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Considering how wet and warm the ground is it will be interesting to see how much snow can actually accumulate.

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  On 1/6/2023 at 1:52 PM, CoastalWx said:

Just NW of 495 currently reminds me of.....well 12/23/97. :lol:  Wonder if that is all snow. CC looks it.

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It is now… When we first transition it was kind of having trouble but now it looks like a Sno globe type snow …big aggregates.

there’s no more sleet anymore -it’s either small aggregate fragments or bigger cotton balls. mesmerizing actually. 

The comparison to 1997 December 23 is not actually quite accurate though by the way - I’ve heard you reference that a couple of times the last day or so. December 23, 1997 was very cold that was the bigger contributing aspect to the model bust/storm result Then the QPF which was eye-popping enough.  It started snowing it was 20° and it finished snowing at 27. and those were small uniform snow falling at choke rates. I mean there was no contention no mixing and it was way vastly more intense.  

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  On 1/6/2023 at 2:00 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

It is now… When we first transition it was kind of having trouble but now it looks like a Sno globe type snow …big aggregates.

there’s no more sleet anymore -it’s either small aggregate fragments or bigger cotton balls. mesmerizing actually. 

The comparison to 1997 December 23 is not actually quite accurate though by the way - I’ve heard you reference that a couple of times the last day or so. December 23, 1997 was very cold that was the bigger contributing aspect to the model bust/storm result Then the QPF which was eye-popping enough.  It started snowing it was 20° and it finished snowing at 27. and those were small uniform snow falling at choke rates. I mean there was no contention no mixing and it was way vastly more intense.  

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LOL, I was half joking dude. But the s/w, airmass kind of meh near the coast with erly flow near the surface and just aloft.....and cold aloft. Meaning they'll be potent bands like what it out near 495. 

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  On 1/6/2023 at 1:34 PM, jbenedet said:

Really interesting seeing Albany at 40/39 and North Adam’s MA at 38/35. Incredibly warm for Jan 6.
 

The mesos have this boundary as a quasi stationary front, whereas the globals swing this through the area as a weak warm front associated with the surface low in Ontario. Basically mesos saying the weakening NB surface HP will be enough to hold its ground while globals saying “not a chance” it’s gonna get booted east. Climo matches the mesos; persistence matches the globals. I lean with persistence.

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I'm lost.

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  On 1/6/2023 at 2:09 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Precip intensity let up and we are 31 snow/ sleet mix in Nash

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looks like the best action is just south of ASH into central Mass.  GYX talked about a midlevel fronto band which would enhance rates up this way but I don't know if or when that will happen.  If we had a snowpack this would be a nice little refresher.  Instead it feels like the first snow of late Nov/early Dec on top of which we build a winter pack.  Maybe our whole winter starts now, 6-7 weeks late, and we get a back down by the 15th that we can build on.

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