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SPC: 1/3/2023 Enhanced Severe Risk (AL, GA)


kayman
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Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 149 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023 ALC037-032030- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-230103T2030Z/ Coosa AL- 149 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CST FOR NORTHWESTERN COOSA COUNTY... At 149 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located over Marble Valley, or near Talladega Springs, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Stewartville, Lay Lake, Strickland Crossroads and Marble Valley. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3297 8647 3305 8652 3306 8652 3307 8651 3308 8651 3310 8647 3310 8617 TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 236DEG 25KT 3303 8646 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ 87/Grantham

 

Confirmed tornado on the ground at 1:47 PM Central Standard Time 

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Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

147 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

 

ALC051-032030-

/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-230103T2030Z/

Elmore AL-

147 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CST FOR

NORTHWESTERN ELMORE COUNTY...

 

At 147 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Deatsville, or 9

miles north of Millbrook, moving east at 30 mph.

 

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

 

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without

         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage

         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is

         likely.

 

Locations impacted include...

Deatsville, Jordan Lake, Ten Cedar Estates, Dexter, Titus, Weoka

Mills, Holtville, Speigner, Central and Jordan Dam.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a

basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy

building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in

a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect

yourself from flying debris.

 

&&

 

LAT...LON 3256 8641 3273 8642 3275 8641 3275 8610

      3266 8606

TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 251DEG 26KT 3264 8637

 

TORNADO...OBSERVED

MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

 

$$

 

15

Another confirmed TOG in Elmore County Alabama in the Montgomery metro

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

   Tornado Watch Number 8

   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

   155 PM EST Tue Jan 3 2023

 

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

 

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 

     Eastern Alabama

     Northern and Central Georgia

 

   * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until

     900 PM EST.

 

   * Primary threats include...

     A few tornadoes likely

     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

     Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

 

   SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms over central Alabama will track

   eastward across the watch area this afternoon and early evening. 

   Sufficient instability and winds aloft will pose a risk of damaging

   wind gusts and a few tornadoes.

 

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles

   north and south of a line from 50 miles southwest of Anniston AL to

   50 miles east northeast of Atlanta GA. For a complete depiction of

   the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS

   WOU8).

 

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for

   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch

   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for

   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements

   and possible warnings.

 

   &&

 

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 7...

 

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail

   surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind

   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean

   storm motion vector 24035.

 

   ...Hart

Most of Metro Atlanta and the eastern half of Greater Birmingham is under a tornado watch until 8PM Central, 9PM Eastern 

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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
206 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

ALC051-032030-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-230103T2030Z/
Elmore AL-
206 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL ELMORE COUNTY...

At 206 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Dexter, or near Equality, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
north central Elmore County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3266 8622 3274 8624 3275 8610 3269 8607
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 250DEG 29KT 3271 8617

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

15

This storm is cycling over northern Elmore County. It is tightening up again per the BHM Nexrad

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Tornado Warning
ALC037-051-123-032100-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0009.230103T2022Z-230103T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
222 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northeastern Elmore County in east central Alabama...
  Central Tallapoosa County in east central Alabama...
  Southeastern Coosa County in east central Alabama...

* Until 300 PM CST.

* At 221 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Western Lake Martin, or near Equality, moving east
  at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Dadeville, Camp Hill, Equality, Jacksons` Gap, Eastern Lake Martin,
  Western Lake Martin, Southern Lake Martin, Kowaliga Bridge, Wind
  Creek State Park, Still Waters Resort, Northern Lake Martin,
  Susannah Crossing, Maxwell Gunter Recreation Area, Dare Park and
  Blue Creek Marina.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3268 8607 3281 8612 3296 8565 3278 8559
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 252DEG 26KT 3276 8605

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

15

The SPC has specified this storm in most recent mesoscale discussion in the past few minutes:

Quote
Mesoscale Discussion 0026
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0207 PM CST Tue Jan 03 2023

   Areas affected...central Alabama and vicinity

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 7...8...

   Valid 032007Z - 032200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 7, 8 continues.

   SUMMARY...A zone of enhanced tornado risk continues, stretching from
   southwest to northeast across central Alabama.

   DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic loop continues to show several small --
   and for the most part transient -- rotating updrafts shifting
   northeastward across central Alabama at this time (across southern
   portions of Tornado Watch 007, and spreading into western portions
   of Tornado Watch 008).

   The storms are continuing within the gradient on the northeastern
   fringe of the instability maximum centered over the western Gulf of
   Mexico, where mid 60s to near 70 surface dewpoints reside.  Given
   the persistence of favorable shear across the area (flow
   veering/increasing with height), and modest additional
   heating/destabilization over the next hour or two, expect this
   convective evolution to continue.

   Of note, one supercell storm that has persisted, relative to other,
   more transient storms, is now crossing northern Elmore County in
   Alabama.  This storm exhibited radar indications of a tornado
   recently, and potential remains that a couple of additional, more
   persistently rotating updrafts may occur as the overall cluster of
   storms spreads northeastward across Alabama toward western Georgia.

   ..Goss.. 01/03/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...

It's continuing to cycle over relatively rural areas.

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Tornado Warning
ALC027-032130-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0010.230103T2038Z-230103T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
238 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northern Clay County in east central Alabama...

* Until 330 PM CST.

* At 238 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 9 miles south of Waldo, or 10 miles west of Ashland,
  moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Lineville, Ashland, Delta and Barfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3330 8565 3328 8565 3320 8605 3328 8608
      3330 8604 3330 8598 3332 8598 3347 8565
      3333 8565 3332 8564 3332 8565 3331 8564
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 244DEG 26KT 3326 8601

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

87/Grantham

This is a rapidly developing storm embedded within a bow echo showing some stronger low level rotation on the BHM Nexrad as it heads towards Lineville and Ashland in Clay County, Alabama.

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Tornado Warning
FLC091-113-032115-
/O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0002.230103T2032Z-230103T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
232 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Okaloosa County in northwestern Florida...
  Northeastern Santa Rosa County in northwestern Florida...

* Until 315 PM CST.

* At 232 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Point Baker, or 4 miles north of Milton, moving
  northeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  northwestern Okaloosa and northeastern Santa Rosa Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3096 8654 3064 8705 3069 8714 3100 8686
      3099 8668
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 223DEG 33KT 3069 8706

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Discrete supercell rotating in northwestern Okaloosa and northeastern Santa Rosa County, Florida.  However it's headed towards Covington County, Alabama shortly 

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Tornado Warning
ALC011-087-032145-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0011.230103T2054Z-230103T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
254 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  North central Bullock County in southeastern Alabama...
  Southeastern Macon County in southeastern Alabama...

* Until 345 PM CST.

* At 254 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Franklin Field, or 7 miles northwest of Union
  Springs, moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Davisville, Society Hill, Creek Stand, Warriorstand and Fort Davis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8580 3226 8588 3250 8544 3228 8544
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 241DEG 25KT 3223 8579

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$
15

 

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WW0011 Radar

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Low
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Moderate Low
   SEL1

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 11
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1005 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Much of western and central Alabama

   * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1005 PM
     until 400 AM CST.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Broken bands of supercells in Mississippi will spread
   northeastward into Alabama through the overnight hours, with some
   increase in storm coverage expected.  The storm environment will
   support the potential for a few tornadoes, as well as damaging winds
   of 60-70 mph and isolated large hail near 1 inch in diameter.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 55 miles north northwest of Birmingham
   AL to 25 miles west southwest of Evergreen AL. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 10...

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
   storm motion vector 24035.

   ...Thompson

Another Tornado Watch has been issued for western and Central Alabama until 4AM. The second wave of storms are coming out of Mississippi 

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