osfan24 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:26 PM, Ji said: we just need an 11 mile north trend in 7 days Expand Instead it'll be 1100 miles. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 HAHAHA that CMC run is the funniest thing I've ever seen. The real question is how many people will actually raise expectations based on it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:31 PM, anotherman said: HAHAHA that CMC run is the funniest thing I've ever seen. The real question is how many people will actually raise expectations based on it. Expand Considering both the Euro and CMC have offered up weird runs, I think one has to wonder if adjustments are being made. 1 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:30 PM, mdhokie said: gfs Expand You just answered your question 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:31 PM, anotherman said: HAHAHA that CMC run is the funniest thing I've ever seen. The real question is how many people will actually raise expectations based on it. Expand I know one … 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:35 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: I know one … Expand We will see what happens, won't we? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 GGEM has a 4 county wide blizzard and gfs has a January hurricane. Your move, euro! 3 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:36 PM, Blizzard Hunter said: We will see what happens, won't we? Expand Sorry, but that one went right over your head. Keep trying though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:38 PM, WxUSAF said: GGEM has a 4 county wide blizzard and gfs has a January hurricane. Your move, euro! Expand how do i sign up to be one of those counties? 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:39 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Sorry, but that one went right over your head. Keep trying though Expand I apologize if your remark wasn't meant for me. Otherwise, I'm not sure what went over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:39 PM, Ji said: how do i sign up to be one of those counties? Expand https://moversguide.usps.com/mgo/disclaimer?referral=UMOVE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 we abscond? 1 4 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:40 PM, Blizzard Hunter said: I apologize if your remark wasn't meant for me. Otherwise, I'm not sure what went over my head. Expand That it wasn’t meant for you lol. Just joking with you. You’ll learn I’m never serious, just sarcastic. Except I was serious about the one person lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:41 PM, NorthArlington101 said: we abscond? Expand I’ll jump off a bridge if that happens 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 Personally I don’t believe anything until the NAM shows it 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:42 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: That it wasn’t meant for you lol. Just joking with you. You’ll learn I’m never serious, just sarcastic. Except I was serious about the one person lol Expand Gotcha. I definitely have much to learn in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 What is even going on here. 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:41 PM, NorthArlington101 said: we abscond? Expand Well, this comes one day after I said I'll be content with 3" that covers the grass. But not like THIS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:39 PM, Ji said: how do i sign up to be one of those counties? Expand Have to take a number and I already got number 001. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 i hid that meme -- the political-ness of it just opens the door for stupid shit. still wub you @nw baltimore wx 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:41 PM, NorthArlington101 said: we abscond? Expand I'm running out of nuts to get kicked in. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:42 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: I’ll jump off a bridge if that happens Expand It just happened 12 months ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 We may as well be throwing paint at walls with the models at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Would be nice to see a transfer/ redevelopment further south on most models. Primary bringing too much warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:44 PM, olafminesaw said: What is even going on here. Expand I think it’s picking up the same vort lobe as euro and cmc, but while these two phase under us, in the gfs they just miss each other and the secondary low goes OTS. Really fluky solutions all around just when we thought they locked into an ordinary fropa. Don’t get excited though. The simplest answer will most often turn out to be correct. Which in this case is fropa and nothing else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Looks like things are a changing. Into what is anyone's guess 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Need to Euro to drop a Typhoon off the New England coast for 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 4:31 PM, Blizzard Hunter said: Rain is most likely scenario as of now, but "flukey" is not the right word. We are almost in Mid January and I think the latest CMC run only strengthens my belief that models will correct to a colder solution. Expand Nothing is trending towards a colder solution. They are actually all trending even warmer still. This is the storm we were tracking 72 hours ago on that CMC run The primary system is toast. Gone. Forget it. Its going to cut. What guidance is trending towards now is the idea that a secondary piece of energy is going to dive in the back side and develop a new low along the coast after the front from the original system catches up...which would open the door some to a crazy scenario where the mid atlantic COULD get snow if everything went absolutely perfectly. Yea I know that is not how we normally roll but once in a blue moon something like that can happen and why not end this streak that way. But to say its trending colder is a gross misrepresentation of the situation. 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 5:15 PM, Terpeast said: I think it’s picking up the same vort lobe as euro and cmc, but while these two phase under us, in the gfs they just miss each other and the secondary low goes OTS. Really fluky solutions all around just when we thought they locked into an ordinary fropa. Don’t get excited though. The simplest answer will most often turn out to be correct. Which in this case is fropa and nothing else. Expand The strange thing about that GFS run is that the low off the Carolinas has just retrograded like 750 miles from southeast of Bermuda to where it is in that panel due to - and then gets stuck under - that massive Quebec block (for lack of a better term). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 5:08 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: It just happened 12 months ago. Expand I was thinking the same! Jan 3rd painful whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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