psuhoffman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, Fozz said: I hope it wasn't 2002-03 (though I think even they got a legit storm in mid January 03). It was Nov to mid Feb 2007 which was fine because I got like 3” there and that was more than up here then I was back for the snow we got in Feb and March that year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 29 minutes ago, Fozz said: I hope it wasn't 2002-03 (though I think even they got a legit storm in mid January 03). Actually 2002 - 2003 was really "good" by NC standards, at least where I was in the Triad. Several minor events and persistent cold. One of my favorites. 2001 - 2002 was awful on the other hand. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 23 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It was Nov to mid Feb 2007 which was fine because I got like 3” there and that was more than up here then I was back for the snow we got in Feb and March that year. Where did you live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 minute ago, cbmclean said: Actually 2002 - 2003 was really "good" by NC standards, at least where I was in the Triad. Several minor events and persistent cold. One of my favorites. 2001 - 2002 was awful on the other hand. Maybe I'm mistaken but I thought 2001-02 was a really good winter in NC, especially because of a major storm in early January. I think Raleigh got like 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Well actually you are correct in that sense. RDU got a big snow on Jan 2 - 3. But that was all she wrote that winter. It was super warm otherwise. Here is a map from Eric Webber's historical website. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 35 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Where did you live? I was mostly at Greenville but spent a week at Asheville and a week at Boone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 41 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Actually 2002 - 2003 was really "good" by NC standards, at least where I was in the Triad. Several minor events and persistent cold. One of my favorites. 2001 - 2002 was awful on the other hand. I was living in Hickory, NC at the time and remember a very nice storm that dropped around a foot sometime in Jan/Feb, plus we had several nice ice storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Just now, psuhoffman said: I was mostly at Greenville but spent a week at Asheville and a week at Boone. As you can see from my profile I live in Wilson which is just 45 minutes or so west of Greeneville. Our snow climatology could best be described as: "We see flakes 2 out of 3 years, and that ain't bad!". Oddly enough I haven't been fully shut-out (no flakes at all) since I have been here. Closet I came was in 2011-12 but I did see a few sleet pellets' that year. I'm afraid this year might be the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Just now, Wxdavis5784 said: I was living in Hickory, NC at the time and remember a very nice storm that dropped around a foot sometime in Jan/Feb, plus we had several nice ice storms. That was probably the same January 2-3 even I mentioned that did well at RDU. I had almost completely forgotten about that storm and my memories of 2001 -2002 were negative based on the overall warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 I know we have all given up on late week But….WB 18Z EPS is a shift…with a few hits. last picture 12Z. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 I think at some point the west will get a dry spell, and that will be our chance for some type of event. Because until there's a ridge out west that actually stays around, I'm not holding any hope for this area. Probably after Jan 20. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 12 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I know we have all given up on late week But….WB 18Z EPS is a shift…with a few hits. last picture 12Z. I personally think P32 looks extra realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 36 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I personally think P32 looks extra realistic. Lol, P39 is how we roll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 54 minutes ago, Fozz said: I think at some point the west will get a dry spell, and that will be our chance for some type of event. Because until there's a ridge out west, I'm not holding any hope for this area. Probably after Jan 20. Kinda feel like IF we're gonna get anything at all this month, that would be around the time something would pop up in the LR for the following weekend...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: I know we have all given up on late week But….WB 18Z EPS is a shift…with a few hits. last picture 12Z. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 The only positive from the MLK weekend storm is the potential for upslope for the mountains/ski resorts which really need the snow (especially after yet another cutter). 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 7 hours ago, clskinsfan said: This hobby sucks. i'd kill to be in Sierras rn. I can't even fathom the quantity of snow they are getting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: i'd kill to be in Sierras rn. I can't even fathom the quantity of snow they are getting. They’re getting rocked right now https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams#tab=palisades 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 10 minutes ago, nj2va said: They’re getting rocked right now https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams#tab=palisades What’s that white stuff in the camera lens? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 53 minutes ago, nj2va said: The only positive from the MLK weekend storm is the potential for upslope for the mountains/ski resorts which really need the snow (especially after yet another cutter). Yup temps stay reasonable, not a deluge of rain, and temps crash as the front comes through. Hopefully a couple inches of natural plus excellent snowmaking for a couple days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 this subforum handles the disappointment remarkably well. the meltdowns I remember from the NYC forum were ridiculous (which is probably why we see some NYC-area posters here). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 I like the boundary depicted here for our parts. Keep the coldest air to our NNW. We get shellacked with temps between 28-32F as multiple waves ride along the boundary ESE of our CWA. Hey, a dude can dream. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 you know it is bad when we are talking about events from 15-20 years ago in the long range thread. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Wow just took a look at the EPS and GEFS. Both are warm warm warm warm all the way through the ends of the runs. Oh well. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Wow just took a look at the EPS and GEFS. Both are warm warm warm warm all the way through the ends of the runs. Oh well. even with a really good h5 look...at hour 342 on GEFS (23 Jan)....its still a crock pot in the east. although I have to wonder if that might looked more muted on future runs if the h5 look holds...just a thought...if not we are cinnamon toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 If the advertised h5 pattern is real the direct blast from the Pac firehose will be cut off and temps will cool. EPS has normal to slightly below temps reaching our region beyond the 20th. GEFS has our source region cooling significantly from what it is this week. CMC ens has an even colder look as usual. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 this is a very cold pattern, it'll just take a few days to scour out the warmth. there's cross polar flow and part of the TPV is getting dislodged into Canada 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Colder anomalies towards the end of the ens means. CFS still honking. Patience will pay off eventually. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 there's actually been a consistent trend to strengthen the NS vort on the backside of the trough near Iowa. we probably want to see more separation between the main trough, as well as a continued increase in strength to get the redevelopment scenario the nice part about this solution is that the baroclinic zone is already dragged south by the first wave, so the airmass is "reset" a bit and it isn't as stagnant the EPS control shows what happens when this NS vort becomes the main player... this is an unlikely solution, but it bears watching to see if that NS vort can save the day here 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 It might cool down by March. Just in time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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