Terpeast Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Haha in all seriousness I’d rather have it on my side than not, but it gave me a few inches on a system late yesterday and I didn’t see a flake today. Didn’t expect much, but still. Thermals fail. Good to know. I didn’t even know that there was a potential event yesterday though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Has the mjo ever saved us when things looked bad? Nope. But I would sure as S like to be in phase 8/1 in January than 4/5. 4/5 is pretty much a death nail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 16 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Nope. But I would sure as S like to be in phase 8/1 in January than 4/5. 4/5 is pretty much a death nail. I've been complaining about it being impossible for it to go into phase 1 . It'll be ironic it if does it in the middle of a torch. At least it's not making it worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 19 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Good to know. I didn’t even know that there was a potential event yesterday though. He's up on Connecticut, reaping NE weenies. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 20 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Good to know. I didn’t even know that there was a potential event yesterday though. The most marginal of things up here in CT. “Winter” 2022-23 in a nutshell. I lived in DC for a while and this was my first subforum so I still post here. I pull hard for you all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 6 minutes ago, cbmclean said: He's up on Connecticut, reaping NE weenies. Retired and enjoying the torch. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 I have been hanging around here for years and have learned a lot. But for the life of me I cannot look at a height field and visually tell what the temperatures anomalies are going to look like. My understanding is that the current NA torch is due to a strong flow of Pacific air. In NH plot below is there a feature or features which I could look at at and instantly say: Paciifc Fire hose? If anyone wants to pull out the John Madden telestrator and diagram a few things that would be even better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I have been hanging around here for years and have learned a lot. But for the life of me I cannot look at a height field and visually tell what the temperatures anomalies are going to look like. My understanding is that the current NA torch is due to a strong flow of Pacific air. In NH plot below is there a feature or features which I could look at at and instantly say: Paciifc Fire hose? If anyone wants to pull out the John Madden telestrator and diagram a few things that would be even better. That is a huge map to try to explain. And I am no teacher. But look at the lines. The closer together they are the faster the flow. Remember HP flows clockwise and LP flows counter clockwise. So for example the LP in the SW is pulling warm air from Mexico up into the CONUS. Then connect the LP's and HP's. LP in the SW to HP on the gulf coast. See where that warm is going? Again. I am no teacher and I am drunk. But that is the best I can do. Many people here will be able to explain it better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 12 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I have been hanging around here for years and have learned a lot. But for the life of me I cannot look at a height field and visually tell what the temperatures anomalies are going to look like. My understanding is that the current NA torch is due to a strong flow of Pacific air. In NH plot below is there a feature or features which I could look at at and instantly say: Paciifc Fire hose? If anyone wants to pull out the John Madden telestrator and diagram a few things that would be even better. You could look at the 250 mb map and see where the strongest jet streams are. Right now we have a screaming pac jet and the airmasses follow that. Also note the trough over the west coast, and that trough also brings warm pacific air from SW of baja and basically floods the whole conus with it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 6 minutes ago, Terpeast said: You could look at the 250 mb map and see where the strongest jet streams are. Yes I can see the jetstream at 250 MB, but I am trying to understand what features (at the surface or at 500 MB) make it strong or weak and make it point this way or that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, Terpeast said: You could look at the 250 mb map and see where the strongest jet streams are. Right now we have a screaming pac jet and the airmasses follow that. Also note the trough over the west coast, and that trough also brings warm pacific air from SW of baja and basically floods the whole conus with it Thats what I get for trying to explain the map he posted. Mets are mets for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Thats what I get for trying to explain the map he posted. Mets are mets for a reason. Your explanation was fine. I’m tipsy too, so I can’t go into more detail than we have already. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 50 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Retired and enjoying the torch. I say! Well hit sir! Ahhh, the games in the old Panic Room! Casinos, slot machines, bars...! And the occasional game of Twister (best played during severe season)! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Me all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1044 HP at 135 better location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Heights lower in the NE at 132 (guessing from more confluence). Though, not sure if this is a thread to talk clowns and skeletons… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 GFS is way stronger with the confluence FWIW. pretty significant difference 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 11th storm is more north closer to phasing this run on GFS lol, we'll see if ensembles pick up on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Just now, nj2va said: Heights lower in the NE at 132 (guessing from more confluence). Though, not sure if this is a thread to talk clowns and skeletons… Saw that too. 540 line SW. not sure what it means Down the line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Saw that too. 540 line SW. not sure what it means Down the line. Through 144, 500H over NE is night/day from 18z. Not sure what it means down the line, but shows you this thing on the OP is far from being decided, even on the Euro which is flipping around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 It’s beautiful..oh wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Might be good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Closed 500 low over central IL not what we want to see. I haven’t looked at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Wow. I misread that one. Extreme cutter. Just wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Just now, Solution Man said: Might be good No I think it’s bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Might be good Good for rain ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 Just now, BristowWx said: No I think it’s bad Maybe a transfer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: No I think it’s bad It is…sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7, 2023 Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Maybe a transfer Ya it does. A nice 991 over northern VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now