WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2023 Author Share Posted January 6, 2023 The Euro makes small, graceful moves. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Onto the EPS, let's see what it does. If it improves the main takeaway from this suite should be that all ensembles improved and ignoring the op runs(at this range anyways). The op runs are possible outcomes to what will happen tho fs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 What a trainwreck. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 is this the part where everyone freaks out over one op run? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2023 Author Share Posted January 6, 2023 Bad data, toss it 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: We don't know that...every model is jumping all over the place atm...no model has been stubbornly in one camp or the other, imo This will prob continue until 11th data/energy gets sampled... until then lets hope things trend more favorable in general 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 WB 12Z EURO has it figured out all right….what is bad about the EURO is its complete lack of cold air/confluence. If that is correct, the track does not matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Check back in an hour or so for the EPS control. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: is this the part where everyone freaks out over one op run? that swing is too wild to take seriously from 0z to 12z. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Bad data, toss it I’m tossing it into the sun. Euro went from the most confluence to the least in a day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 You know this nina ain't actin' like a nina when now we WANT more NS interaction and may have trouble getting it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Disregard. I am an idiot and was looking at the wrong thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Thunderstorms to Montreal in mid January would be something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: There is no closed 500 low on the Euro at all this run. Possibly one of the biggest shifts I have ever seen from that model at that timeframe. the solution it gets to however at hr198 is not that much different from CMC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 WB 12Z EURO 1am Friday, compared to 12Z yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 JMA is in the GFS camp wrt more NS interaction this run. Also a tucked or inside runner look at the surface. Lack of cold air still a problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Bad data, toss it gotta wait for better sampling over land 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO has it figured out all right….what is bad about the EURO is its complete lack of cold air/confluence. If that is correct, the track does not matter. Can I cash out now on the inside runner looks and take my little bit of winnings I made? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 12 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: We don't know that...every model is jumping all over the place atm...no model has been stubbornly in one camp or the other, imo Gfs is a day behind the other model trends Wait for it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Bad data Did the Euro not do this yesterday? Swing from positive 0z to negative 12z runs and back again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Gfs is a day behind the other model trends Wait for it lol What trend? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, Chris78 said: Gfs is a day behind the other model trends Wait for it lol I mean, if ya wanna play that game...GFS showed today's euro outcome like 12z yesterday didn't it? So like...it was ahead now behind? Lol Nah the models are still trying to figure this out. Euro wasn't a trend that was a frickin jump--when even that model does ya know they don't know! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2023 Author Share Posted January 6, 2023 4 minutes ago, Its a Breeze said: What trend? EKG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 12 minutes ago, LP08 said: Even Houdini would be proud of this 50-50 low disappearance act. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Nearly a 15 degree swing in 850 temps on the Euro compared to 12z yesterday. However this shakes out, we shouldn't expect them to converge onto a solution until Monday, maybe Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I mean, if ya wanna play that game...GFS showed today's euro outcome like 12z yesterday didn't it? So like...it was ahead now behind? Lol Nah the models are still trying to figure this out. Euro wasn't a trend that was a frickin jump--when even that model does ya know they don't know! It was a little sarcasm but basically the Gfs had switched spots with the Euro and cmc from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, MDstorm said: Even Houdini would be proud of this 50-50 low disappearance act. Note very small shifts in the pacific, but the atlantic is totally different from run to run. It has no idea how to handle the atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2023 Author Share Posted January 6, 2023 4 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Note very small shifts in the pacific, but the atlantic is totally different from run to run. It has no idea how to handle the atlantic. Upstream vs downstream maybe? Can see what’s coming easier than it can predict the effects? Just hypothesizing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 19 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: JMA is in the GFS camp wrt more NS interaction this run. Also a tucked or inside runner look at the surface. Lack of cold air still a problem How many times will variations of "lack of cold air is the problem" need to be said before the reality finally sets in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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