Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 CMC woah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: CMC woah Only moved the low 800 south lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 CMC is the eps from 12z A crushing 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: CMC woah Alright it's official: GFS is on it's own...even against it's own family, lol Eta: Icon...so it's got one holdout hangin' with it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Canadian looking better this round, GFS gonna be on an island alone Gfs and Icon together lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, Chris78 said: Only moved the low 800 south lol An 800 move in the right direction 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 7 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Gfs going to be ugly for next weekend It is a convoluted mess! I do not think it can figure out what does what, when it phases, or how. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, Chris78 said: Gfs and Icon together lol Yep, incoming with Canadian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, Solution Man said: Yep, incoming with Canadian Yep looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, midatlanticweather said: It is a convoluted mess! I do not think it can figure out what does what, when it phases, or how. I mean that whole evolution is just dumbdy-dumb...Man what did they do to it? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 yup CMC is gonna ride up coast and paste us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Boom goes the Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Spoke too soon? Closed off and mids torched with the easterly flow. Still, much improved for an ops at this range. SIGNAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Canadian told GFS…”BYE FELICIA” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Definitely a lot of waffling up top with the gfs. Nice to see the canadian back on board. Biggest takeaway is the models definitely don’t have a handle on this at all yet. Couple more days we’ll have a better idea I’m sure. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Good for 8 days out lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Don't get me wrong, it's a pasting but occluded and sits and spins flipping BUT doesn't matter 7-8 days out. Gonna change. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 hoping euro and eps stay put tonight, the changes on 18z eps weren’t as good for our storm w/ less stream interaction for phasing w the 50/50 low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, Terpeast said: Definitely a lot of waffling up top with the gfs. Nice to see the canadian back on board. Biggest takeaway is the models definitely don’t have a handle on this at all yet. Couple more days we’ll have a better idea I’m sure. Our best shot of the season at something substantial. Don't sleep on Sunday. DC north could see some slushy accumulation Sunday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Definitely a lot of waffling up top with the gfs. Nice to see the canadian back on board. Biggest takeaway is the models definitely don’t have a handle on this at all yet. Couple more days we’ll have a better idea I’m sure. Sunday/Monday is always the line of demarcation for that next weekend system. If it completely falls apart we usually know by 12z Monday, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Definitely a lot of waffling up top with the gfs. Nice to see the canadian back on board. Biggest takeaway is the models definitely don’t have a handle on this at all yet. Couple more days we’ll have a better idea I’m sure. Yeah we'll know in about 2-4 days when the 11th energy moves on shore. It will determine if we phase with the NS trough and then go on the 50/50 benchmark or not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: hoping euro and eps stay put tonight, the changes on 18z eps weren’t as good for our storm w/ less stream interaction for phasing w the 50/50 low I'm seeing that across the board re: the 50/50. Definitely a crucial piece for this to work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Our best shot of the season at something substantial. Don't sleep on Sunday. DC north could see some slushy accumulation Sunday evening For now it seems like a northern MD special. Hope it trends a little colder over my roof and gives me an inch or more. Not invested in that one, but a nice bonus if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, Terpeast said: For now it seems like a northern MD special. Hope it trends a little colder over my roof and gives me an inch or more. Not invested in that one, but a nice bonus if it happens. We got a separate thread for that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Maybe we should treat the next 4 days as one long model run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I'm seeing that across the board re: the 50/50. Definitely a crucial piece for this to work. If it degrades even slightly the crappy air mass will be insurmountable. Eta: Well maybe I'm a bit pessimistic, but truthfully there is not a lot of wiggle room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 I hate the gfs with every fiber I have 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, Ji said: I hate the gfs with every fiber I have Just remember how wrong it was last month and you'll feel better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 .He isn't a real met. The weenie of the century 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2023 Author Share Posted January 6, 2023 Gonna be big is my uneducated take. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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