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January Mid/Long Range Disco 2


WinterWxLuvr
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  On 1/6/2023 at 4:23 PM, WinterWxLuvr said:

This board is a psychiatrists dream

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You're really not wrong about that--I mean seriously. Any lurkers here that were psych majors? I'd pay to hear a psychoanalysis of this forum, lol I mean I'd legit welcome it, actually--many of us have got to learn to cope better, seriously.

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  On 1/6/2023 at 4:28 PM, Ji said:
ive seen worse...that should still be Cadding us

Sure, I’ve “seen worse” too, but we need the high way SW of where it is given the lack of cold air in Canada to have any shot with a marginal airmass. Just north of NY/CA border would be much better.


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  On 1/6/2023 at 4:29 PM, Maestrobjwa said:

You're really not wrong about that--I mean seriously. Any lurkers here that were psych majors? I'd pay to hear a psychoanalysis of this forum, lol I mean I'd legit welcome it, actually--many of us have got to learn to cope better, seriously.

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This hobby is a more healthy form of gambling

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  On 1/6/2023 at 4:26 PM, jayyy said:


That high pressure in Canada is in a shitty position for starters.


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  On 1/6/2023 at 4:28 PM, Ji said:

ive seen worse...that should still be Cadding us

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Ji is right. The high is actually in a perfect position.  
AAD5E1FD-39C6-41F0-8FCC-9D8379FD1772.thumb.png.bdc00e7c4afbf31e52badee39934ed60.png

Banana over the top!  The other map only showed the center of highest pressure giving the false impression the high was not ideal. Actually this is a great pressure representation. Can we please stop trying to find excuses. The thermal profile over N America is just so warm that it makes it REALLY difficult and even with a perfect High and low track it might still only end up a mostly rain event. What it did this run was at least mean some frozen to start and a snow event for the mountains. But even with a close to perfect synoptic progression it wasn’t enough to save us because the airmass is just so awful. 

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  On 1/6/2023 at 4:42 PM, psuhoffman said:

 

Ji is right. The high is actually in a perfect position.  
AAD5E1FD-39C6-41F0-8FCC-9D8379FD1772.thumb.png.bdc00e7c4afbf31e52badee39934ed60.png

Banana over the top!  The other map only showed the center of highest pressure giving the false impression the high was not ideal. Actually this is a great pressure representation. Can we please stop trying to find excuses. The thermal profile over N America is just so warm that it makes it REALLY difficult and even with a perfect High and low track it might still only end up a mostly rain event. What it did this run was at least mean some frozen to start and a snow event for the mountains. But even with a close to perfect synoptic progression it wasn’t enough to save us because the airmass is just so awful. 

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It’s a modeled airmass, over a week out. That has to factor into the thinking. 

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  On 1/6/2023 at 4:37 PM, mdhokie said:

Lock it up! In-laws just gifted us their barely used monster snowblower, time to gas 'er up!

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GFS will have this thing in Bermuda next run (or Buffalo) so who knows lol.  All I know is Wisp and Canaan really need the snow so a coastal bomb is good for them (and us :)).  

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