psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 @Ji Don't worry we can track the next January peak climo perfect track rainstorm now 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:38 PM, psuhoffman said: @Ji Don't worry we can track the next January peak climo perfect track rainstorm now Expand Moving to Watertown or Montreal wouldn't have helped in this storm. I mean, you gotta laugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:38 PM, psuhoffman said: @Ji Don't worry we can track the next January peak climo perfect track rainstorm now Expand Looks more like a Hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:44 PM, Terpeast said: Moving to Watertown or Montreal wouldn't have helped in this storm. I mean, you gotta laugh. Expand Honestly if it wasn't for the fact my 4 year old loves snow and is asking me literally every day with a quivering lip "when's it gonna snow daddy" I probably wouldn't care at all anymore. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 ICON has the 14th Low in Ohio. Maybe a mix of junk to start before heavy rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:49 PM, psuhoffman said: Honestly if it wasn't for the fact my 4 year old loves snow and is asking me literally every day with a quivering lip "when's it gonna snow daddy" I probably wouldn't care at all anymore. Expand Your son might be our spirit animal, lol But man that is sad though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:51 PM, LP08 said: ICON has the 14th Low in Ohio. Maybe a mix of junk to start before heavy rain. Expand ill take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 BTW one thing we should clear up...there is still a 50/50 low on the guidance. Its there...as the system we are watching is in the MS valley getting its act together there is a low over the 50/50 area just like we want...its just not the sub 500 monster polar vortex of doom some guidance was showing before from a convoluted polar jet phase phase with a mid lat system leading to a bomb cyclone. We shouldn't need all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:55 PM, Ji said: ill take it. Expand can we get the ICON antecedent airmass with the GFS track? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:51 PM, LP08 said: ICON has the 14th Low in Ohio. Maybe a mix of junk to start before heavy rain. Expand Kaiser has some bootleg confluence that pushes it south of its 0z solution. Not the pig 50-50 low we need here, but better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:51 PM, LP08 said: ICON has the 14th Low in Ohio. Maybe a mix of junk to start before heavy rain.Wonder if it’s attempting a Miller b’esque transfer to a coastal there . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:53 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Your son might be our spirit animal, lol But man that is sad though... Expand It's Nora actually. My son is 8 now, and yea he likes to play in the snow but he is way more indifferent about it. But Nora's little heart is broken by the fact is hasn't snowed yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:57 PM, WxUSAF said: Kaiser has some bootleg confluence rings pushes it south of its 0z solution. Not the pig 50-50 low we need here, but better. Expand Now...when i was looking through other stuff than just precip, i thought everyting did look better with more NS influence. So colder solution but terrible track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:58 PM, psuhoffman said: It's Nora actually. My son is 8 now, and yea he likes to play in the snow but he is way more indifferent about it. But Nora's little heart is broken by the fact is hasn't snowed yet. Expand Oh shoot I'm sorry--don't know why I was thinking ya had all sons, lol But yeah all the same...we feel ya, Nora! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:58 PM, psuhoffman said: It's Nora actually. My son is 8 now, and yea he likes to play in the snow but he is way more indifferent about it. But Nora's little heart is broken by the fact is hasn't snowed yet. Expand move to Fort Kent Maine..problem solved forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:59 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Oh shoot I'm sorry--don't know why I was thinking ya had all sons, lol But yeah all the same...yeah I feel ya, Nora Expand When you have kids...you should name them Nord and Nora Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:56 PM, psuhoffman said: BTW one thing we should clear up...there is still a 50/50 low on the guidance. Its there...as the system we are watching is in the MS valley getting its act together there is a low over the 50/50 area just like we want...its just not the sub 500 monster polar vortex of doom some guidance was showing before from a convoluted polar jet phase phase with a mid lat system leading to a bomb cyclone. We shouldn't need all that. Expand It seems we do need that now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:59 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Oh shoot I'm sorry--don't know why I was thinking ya had all sons, lol But yeah all the same...yeah I feel ya, Nora Expand MLK weekend I am taking the kids skiing somewhere and it has to be somewhere that has snow OTG also so they can play in it. At this rate I might be driving to Nunavut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 This is still our best shot so far! I really don't see it as a thread the needle type deal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:03 PM, HighStakes said: This is still our best shot so far! I really don't see it as a thread the needle type deal. Expand I don't see has convoluted when it really appears to be one element that determines the whole thing--the 50/50. But of course you could argue that the forming of the 50/50 itself is a bit convoluted and thread the needle, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:49 PM, psuhoffman said: Honestly if it wasn't for the fact my 4 year old loves snow and is asking me literally every day with a quivering lip "when's it gonna snow daddy" I probably wouldn't care at all anymore. Expand Damn, that’s kinda heartbreaking. If it were me, I’d have a lot more angst about this too. My wife was just happy to see a brief squall pass through, and my little girl is not even 2 years old yet. For her, ignorance is bliss. I just gotta be careful not to talk too much about snow in our house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:01 PM, psuhoffman said: MLK weekend I am taking the kids skiing somewhere and it has to be somewhere that has snow OTG also so they can play in it. At this rate I might be driving to Nunavut Expand Verbier, Switzerland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Through 138, I do see some positive changes on the GFS...Better confluence in the NE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:09 PM, LP08 said: Through 138, I do see some positive changes on the GFS...Better confluence in the NE. Expand Best confluence over the NE in several runs actually. Sorta bootleg, but there is a defined 50-50 through 150hrs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:12 PM, WxUSAF said: Best confluence over the NE in several runs actually. Sorta bootleg, but there is a defined 50-50 through 150hrs. Expand That might do the job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:12 PM, WxUSAF said: Best confluence over the NE in several runs actually. Sorta bootleg, but there is a defined 50-50 through 150hrs. Expand Yes, was about to come post. It's definitely a positive change vs 6z or 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:12 PM, WxUSAF said: Best confluence over the NE in several runs actually. Sorta bootleg, but there is a defined 50-50 through 150hrs. Expand Concur, better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 gfs looks better up top-lets see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 I wanna post IT so bad. But I just can't tell where the GFS is going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:14 PM, stormtracker said: I wanna post IT so bad. But I just can't tell where the GFS is going. Expand It's going to be close me thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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