LeesburgWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 7:49 PM, DarkSharkWX said: Expand A good cluster of those Lows take a gorgeous track off Norfolk/DelMarVa 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 That would extend my winter break a bit. Wish it weren’t the 5th of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 7:39 PM, AtlanticWx said: just for fun, please don’t believe this !!That’d be quite the NYC screw job - hypothetically speaking. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 I’d be ok with that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 This is obviously still a D9 event with all associated caveats, but as we’ve seen today, what happens around the 10-12th is critical to setting up confluence and any semblance of a workable airmass. That shortwave actually enters the CONUS over California in 72 hours! Here it is north of San Francisco. 24 hours later it’s out over the Plains. At the same time, the piece of the PV it merges with is swinging south on the west edge of Hudson Bay. So the table setters, so to speak, are not far off. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 7:17 PM, osfan24 said: As long as we aren't riding like Russell Wilson. Expand Let the Euro cook. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 7:26 PM, BristowWx said: Gotta admit that one made me stand at attention. Not bad. Few days to go. Expand We don’t need to hear about your erections. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 7:52 PM, jayyy said: That’d be quite the NYC screw job - hypothetically speaking. .Bristow bullseye Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:09 PM, TSSN+ said: We don’t need to hear about your erections. Expand I am trying not to get too excited and remain pretty firm on getting inside 5 days before erupting with enthusiasm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:15 PM, Solution Man said: Bristow bullseye Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Expand yes that is often the case with many events. looks like you in that circle of joy as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:18 PM, BristowWx said: yes that is often the case with many events. looks like you in that circle of joy as well. Could be a bar event, bring the wunderdogSent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:20 PM, Solution Man said: Could be a bar event, bring the wunderdog Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Expand yup. anyone in that 10 day away Euro ENS total snowfall bullseye is welcome. I'm buying....Wonderdog is paying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 4:01 AM, Terpeast said: Fun prediction: both Euro and Gfs lose the storm tomorrow.. only to bring it back somewhere along the EC at day 6-7. Forum’s servers have a meltdown meanwhile. Expand replace euro with cmc and spot on for what happened today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 When was the last time we saw both the Euro/GFS agree on a snowstorm for our area? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:37 PM, Ji said: When was the last time we saw both the Euro/GFS agree on a snowstorm for our area? Expand Checking the history books here…outside 72hrs seems to be never. Inside 72hrs then more frequently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:37 PM, Ji said: When was the last time we saw both the Euro/GFS agree on a snowstorm for our area? Expand Jan 2016 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:37 PM, Ji said: When was the last time we saw both the Euro/GFS agree on a snowstorm for our area? Expand GEFS/EPS/Euro combo is a pretty solid team. Just need it to hold for awhile. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:51 PM, WxUSAF said: GEFS/EPS/Euro combo is a pretty solid team. Just need it to hold for awhile. Expand Some may call it “The Big 3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:51 PM, WxUSAF said: GEFS/EPS/Euro combo is a pretty solid team. Just need it to hold for awhile. Expand I think the most important thing is to see the 50/50 signal strengthen. if we have that, then this threat is legit. if not, it becomes a lot harder to pull off hopefully we have more clarity by the end of the weekend. I do like this event more than the late December one, though. the ridge axis is much more ideal for a coastal storm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:53 PM, brooklynwx99 said: I think the most important thing is to see the 50/50 signal strengthen. if we have that, then this threat is legit. if not, it becomes a lot harder to pull off hopefully we have more clarity by the end of the weekend. I do like this event more than the late December one, though. the ridge axis is much more ideal for a coastal storm Expand so really, we're probably gonna know how this storm pans out with the energy around the 12th given its our table setter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Every time a day 7+ threat shows up and people get excited. 3 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:16 PM, BristowWx said: I am trying not to get too excited and remain pretty firm on getting inside 5 days before erupting with enthusiasm. Expand Well put brother. Let me know when I need to get to the Giant for supplies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 9:00 PM, TSSN+ said: Every time a day 7+ threat shows up and people get excited. Expand Alright be honest...you don't not even the slightest bit deep in your weenie soul? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:53 PM, brooklynwx99 said: I think the most important thing is to see the 50/50 signal strengthen. if we have that, then this threat is legit. if not, it becomes a lot harder to pull off hopefully we have more clarity by the end of the weekend. I do like this event more than the late December one, though. the ridge axis is much more ideal for a coastal storm Expand There's a cap on how strong we want the 50/50 though, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 8:48 PM, TSSN+ said: Checking the history books here…outside 72hrs seems to be never. Inside 72hrs then more frequently. Expand As someone else said...ya forgot about Jan 2016, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Latest GEFSX and Euro weeklies have a similar pattern progression beyond mid month, with the deep trough along the west coast splitting off from the negative anomalies over AK as a ridge develops. This causes the trough to progress eastward into the western/central US as the lower heights near AK retrograde into a more favorable position near the Aleutians. Pretty good agreement and a decent h5 look for the east coast. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 9:43 PM, CAPE said: Latest GEFSX and Euro weeklies have a similar pattern progression beyond mid month, with the deep trough along the west coast splitting off from the negative anomalies over AK as a ridge develops. This causes the trough to progress eastward into the western/central US as the lower heights near AK retrograde into a more favorable position near the Aleutians. Pretty good agreement and a decent h5 look for the east coast. Expand If this lines up with the MJO 8-1 as depicted for this time frame, we could probably get another wave with the right pieces in place, including cold air. Maybe the first week of February. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 So... who's staying up for the 00z Euro tonight? 8 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Where is Will with his % maps. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 On 1/5/2023 at 9:53 PM, yoda said: So... who's staying up for the 00z Euro tonight? Expand I am! But only by default since I'm almost always up that time of night, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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