IrishRob17 Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Nice rainstorm tonight on the mesoscale models. Quite the sharp warming trend. And anyone who was buying 10:1 ratios even yesterday before the warming trend was going to be disappointed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 46 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: And anyone who was buying 10:1 ratios even yesterday before the warming trend was going to be disappointed. Yes. Snow growth looked good (and still does I guess, irrespective of what happens at the surface), and with aggregation, you can get pretty efficient instantaneous ratios. Outside of the heaviest rates though, you have to assume close to no net depth change. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 So it's gonna rain here? Phew, that means at least (a small) part of my ride back from Brockport Saturday won't be too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Congrats Berks on the opening 12z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Imagine going from that .2 in Massachusetts to 2’ in the matter of not even 50-60 miles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: Imagine going from that .2 in Massachusetts to 2’ in the matter of not even 50-60 miles Not bad for our area as depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Torch today. 46 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 34 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Not bad for our area as depicted. Starting to look like a close shave for me in western Sullivan which has got me feeling somewhat on edge I’ve had my day in the light with these big storms, and also some painful close calls, in a winter like this it would only be fitting for the one of the last big chances to end up in some kind of whiff/missed potential for even deeper inland folks like myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Torch today. 46 already Me at a low elevation, I am not expecting beyond a couple of inches tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 12z euro run. This was posted in the NE forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 18 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: 12z euro run. This was posted in the NE forum Those stormvista maps are soo over done lol. Pivotal maps are prob a bit more realistic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 3 hours ago, crossbowftw3 said: Imagine going from that .2 in Massachusetts to 2’ in the matter of not even 50-60 miles Been there, done that, over a shorter distance. No fun but it is what it is when it does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 10, 2023 Share Posted March 10, 2023 Ryan is still pretty bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 10, 2023 Author Share Posted March 10, 2023 #3 son lives in Milford now at 1350'. He's eyeballing a half inch and it's stopped at the moment. I need to teach him about eyeball measuring... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 @snywx are you flipped over to snow yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 11, 2023 Author Share Posted March 11, 2023 The Google traffic maps are a decent indicator of where its snowing, at least where it's affecting the roads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 hour ago, sn0w said: @snywx are you flipped over to snow yet? 32f w/ Heavy snow here 1.8” otg 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 R/s line In Orange County is goshen. It was a drastic change once I got to legoland on 17 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 11, 2023 Author Share Posted March 11, 2023 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: The Google traffic maps are a decent indicator of where its snowing, at least where it's affecting the roads. Those maps were damn near spot on for the flip to all snow here a little while ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 The OC crew should get smoked tonight. Congrats to them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 11, 2023 Author Share Posted March 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: The OC crew should get smoked tonight. Congrats to them. It is encouraging that I'm all snow now, didn't expect that but we'll see 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 33.4 and all snow. No accumulation yet. Changed about 20 minutes ago when it hit 34.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Flakes mixing in now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 32 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: It is encouraging that I'm all snow now, didn't expect that but we'll see Driving home I was stunned to see how hard it was snowing and how much was already on the ground. This may over perform Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 32.7F and pouring white rain. Need a few more tenths and it's go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 14 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: 32.7F and pouring white rain. Need a few more tenths and it's go time. Was in the town of Newburgh about 30 minutes ago it was mostly a mixed bag and 34 degrees. Here in New Windsor currently 35 degrees with ice pellets mixed in and 0.24” in the tipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 56 minutes ago, sn0w said: Flakes mixing in now Heavy snow now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Silver dollar flakes here in Eastern Poughkeepsie, Pleasant Valley area. Nothing sticking on the ground yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Moderate rain here. Adios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2023 Share Posted March 11, 2023 Ground is white now at 600 ft, 32.4F. NAM thermals ftl. Rates will (re)intensify in the next couple hours as the inverted trough sharpens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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