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January 2023 Banter


George BM
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7 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Division crown and rookie of the year season? He was much different after the injury for sure. 

Truth.

 I do think Kyle Shanahan schemed a perfect offense for RG3 that probably wasn't viable long term. Rg3 struggled as a pocket passer in a more traditional nfl offense. 

Would of been nice to see what would of happened without the significant knee injury.

Probably wouldn't of mattered though. Anything Snyder touches turns to shit

 

 

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THIS, IS VERY, VERY BAD.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&issuedby=EWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

This sort of thing is routine for N. Va. But down here in south central Texas, it could become a catastrophe. We don't use anything for power in our homes except ELECTRICITY. Because of that, many Texans are extremely vulnerable and Power outages will be expected. I am accustomed to 60s/50s weather and even mid 70s with low 60s dewpoints, IN JANUARY. It was 75/63 only 12 hours ago and I was beside myself with pure JOY! Its routine down here and I have come to love it with all my heart. When the power goes out we wont have anything including WATER. Models are trending colder and colder and colder sooner with earlier and earlier onset of freezing precip, in the form of dreaded freezing drizzle and light frzra. There, of course, will be NO latent heat release. Branches will fall, smashing homes and cars and the POWER will fail and many people will be vulnerable to freezing to death. We are NOT accustomed to cold weather down here, and I am not the same winter crazy person I used to be in Northern Virginia. I yearn for March and the onset of steady, moisture-laden Gulf southeasterlies bringing warm, humid upper 60s dewpoints back into Buda. It is the start of the World Famous Growing Season down here! But not this week.

 

000
FXUS64 KEWX 300924
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
324 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

...Significant Ice Storm Today Through Wednesday Across the Hill
Country and into portions of the I-35 corridor...

...Hazardous to Very Hazardous Travel Impacts And Power Outages
Are Expected...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 315 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

Very shallow cold air continues to funnel southward across the
region where temperatures as of 2 AM CST range from the mid 30s
across the Hill Country into the low to mid 60s closer to the Rio
Grande nearest the front. Cold air advection will continue with
moderate northerly winds where the freezing line will continue to
inch southward with time this morning. The Hill Country and the
Southern Edwards Plateau will fall below freezing near or a little
after sunrise with the freezing line continuing to advance south
into and across portions of the I-35 corridor from today into
Tuesday. Some locations, especially within the Hill Country are
possible of remaining below freezing through the duration of this
event into the long term forecast period. Wind chills will also
remain in the 20s for most with some upper teens across the Hill
Country. Temperatures across our Southern Counties will likely
bottom out and hold from the mid 30s into the 40s.

Light precipitation and drizzle will break out across the region
from this morning into today with increasing isentropic lift from
warmer south-southwesterly winds aloft over the aforementioned
shallow cold layer at and near the surface. Icing concerns from
freezing rain/drizzle begins as soon as the mid-morning for areas
that are already sub-freezing. The icing concerns expands today as
the freezing line continues to make additional progress south and
east, including into portions of the I-35 corridor and the Austin
metro area. Activity should not be completely continuous but do
expect several rounds of precipitation during the short term
forecast period. Latest hi-res models show a temporary lull could
develop sometime this evening before ramping back up into early
Tuesday morning. With several rounds of precipitation anticipated
along with continued uptick in the NAM/HRRR/HREF members on ice
accumulations, the Winter Storm Warning was expanded eastward to
include portions of the region east of I-35. A Winter Weather
Advisory has been issued across the next tier of counties as well
where lighter icing up to a tenth of an inch can be expected,
including the San Antonio metro area. Highest ice accumulations
through Wednesday will be expected from the Hill Country into the
Austin metro area where a quarter to half inch of ice will be
possible. Amounts to the east I-35 within the warning area could
receive slightly lower amounts from a tenth to three tenths of an
inch. Travel could become hazardous by as early as midday over
portions of the Hill Country and Southern Edwards Plateau, and by
the afternoon and the evening commute for portions of the I-35
corridor, including Austin. Travel conditions further deteriorate
and non-emergency travel becomes discouraged across the warning
area. Power line and tree branches likely become weighted down by
accumulating ice, resulting to power outages as well across the
Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory areas.

Across the southern areas of the region that are to remain above
freezing through the duration of the short term period should see
continued cold rain and perhaps an occasional embedded elevated
thunderstorm.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 315 AM CST Mon Jan 30 2023

The short term weather continues into Tuesday night and Wednesday. A
shallow (around 1,000 feet) cold airmass is overrun by a warm moist
airmass above. Weak mid level impulses move along an upper level jet
ahead of an upper level trough. Above seasonal normal moisture
levels with PWs around an inch or so will be in place. Periods of
isentropic to larger scale forcing are expected to produce rounds of
rain showers. Weak elevated instability shown on forecast soundings
makes for only isolated thunderstorms. The main forecast issue
remains precipitation rates and the impact on temperatures and the
extent and duration of freezing rain/freezing drizzle. Should the
precipitation remain lighter, then temperatures will stay colder
allowing for freezing rain/freezing drizzle to persist longer into
Wednesday and perhaps Wednesday night, as seen in the NAM/CMC.
However, should precipitation turn heavier, then latent heat release
warms temperatures leading to all rain. For now, will go cooler on
Wednesday and maintain freezing rain/freezing drizzle for the Hill
Country and adjacent areas south to US 90. Total ice accumulations
of 1/4 to 1/2 inch are expected in the Hill Country and Austin area
with lesser amounts south to near US 90.

The upper level trough moves overhead on Thursday with the showers
and storms ending from southwest to northeast. Fair skies and cool
to cold temperatures are expected Friday through Sunday, Another
cold front and upper level trough move through during the weekend,
however, lack of moisture depth will preclude any precipitation.

 

 

 

 

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3 hours ago, Jebman said:

THIS, IS VERY, VERY BAD.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&issuedby=EWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

Highest ice accumulations

through Wednesday will be expected from the Hill Country into the
Austin metro area where a quarter to half inch of ice will be
possible.

Half inch. That sounds like trouble

DFW already down to 27f and frz dzl.  Hillsboro 28f ; but Buda clinging to 34f on the hour.

It's a large area too.

 

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10 hours ago, Chris78 said:

Truth.

 I do think Kyle Shanahan schemed a perfect offense for RG3 that probably wasn't viable long term. Rg3 struggled as a pocket passer in a more traditional nfl offense. 

Would of been nice to see what would of happened without the significant knee injury.

Probably wouldn't of mattered though. Anything Snyder touches turns to shit

 

 

He probably would have gone another season or two before getting another, if not more devastating injury. 

He refused to slide at the end of the play whenever he scrambled. One of those days, one of those speedy safeties would have homed in on him like a heat seeking missile… boom. Hospital. 

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11 hours ago, mdhokie said:

I heard they are sold out of ice tubs and hyperbaric chambers in KC. Good lord they need every second of the two week break to get healthy. Philly D gonna be hunting that ankle.

But I heard that God so loved Mahomes that He healed Mahomes this week. Can you imagine giving the Almighty two weeks to heal a player?

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I thought it was BAD, here in Texas.

It's even WORSE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I just got the bad news.

There is a very real possibility of as much as THREE FOOKIN' QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE accretion.

This is SO DAMN BAD, that I need about a thousand of Bob Chill's yuge FACES right now.

Its down to 32 degrees. The wind is steady northerly at 12 mph, with gusts to 24. It feels like 17 degrees.

This is not a good day for a jebwalk. Not when you are an OLD MAN like me. I am not 23 any more. I am 59 in Morch. If I dont fall and get killed in this crazy insane storm first, or freeze to death in a power outage. It is a distinct possibility. This isnt intriguing, it is pretty scary.

It has been really nice knowin' you guys. It's been an honor. There is no way out of this and Central Texas is about to be destroyed. I hate ice.

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