AlexD1990 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Activity running from Calverton, VA up to Manassas is growing nicely. Maybe even rotation on the cell near Nokesville?Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming out until 9pm for much of the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Looks like we have a good chance to get clocked two days in a row, @H2O, @mattie g and @WeatherShak. My home office is currently taking on that same as-dark-as-9pm ambience it had yesterday afternoon... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 Little shower now trying to fire up near Rockville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 19 minutes ago, vastateofmind said: Looks like we have a good chance to get clocked two days in a row, @H2O, @mattie g and @WeatherShak. My home office is currently taking on that same as-dark-as-9pm ambience it had yesterday afternoon... Yup...could well be. It'd be nuts if I got nearly the same amount of rain as yesterday, but that said it's raining moderately right now, with the meat of that cell is still SW of me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Wow...lightning strike less than .25 mile outside the home office window. Big flash over my shoulder and then BOOM! Edit: To say that there's no wind to speak of, but it's now pissing down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 9 minutes ago, mattie g said: Yup...could well be. It'd be nuts if I got nearly the same amount of rain as yesterday, but that said it's raining moderately right now, with the meat of that cell is still SW of me. Indeed. We just had a 15 minute gully washer...but at least it wasn't horizontal rain like yesterday, and no bad lightning (yet). Snapped this a few minutes ago...was trying to capture the mammatus-like effect at far right for @mappy, but I was about two minutes too late to get the best of it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Torrential rain for the 2nd day in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Moderate rain. No wind or thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 11 minutes ago, vastateofmind said: Indeed. We just had a 15 minute gully washer...but at least it wasn't horizontal rain like yesterday, and no bad lightning (yet). Snapped this a few minutes ago...was trying to capture the mammatus-like effect at far right for @mappy, but I was about two minutes too late to get the best of it. still a great picture! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Kmlwx said: And yeah that 16z run of the HRRR is robust. Seems like in this setup there may only be one or two dominant cells but they may be INTENSE ones. Got an image for us mobile folks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Got an image for us mobile folks? It’s posted a page back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 Nice outflow presentation on the LWX radar from the stuff crossing the Potomac. Outflow out to the north and south. The stuff down near Madison/Orange/and CHO looks decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 42 minutes ago, vastateofmind said: Looks like we have a good chance to get clocked two days in a row, @H2O, @mattie g and @WeatherShak. My home office is currently taking on that same as-dark-as-9pm ambience it had yesterday afternoon... Just some light to moderate showers so far. Worst of it split to my W and E. All good. Not sure I need flooding rains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 26 minutes ago, mattie g said: Wow...lightning strike less than .25 mile outside the home office window. Big flash over my shoulder and then BOOM! Edit: To say that there's no wind to speak of, but it's now pissing down. Wild that the main stripe and NW cutoff were in eerily similar positions as yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Nice little thundershower here. On the razors edge to the north of the DC storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 The Gordonsville area storm down in VA looks like the beefy one of the day...maybe some weak rotation on it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 Actually getting bright sun right now in Colesville despite that precip being just a HAIR east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 5 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Actually getting bright sun right now in Colesville despite that precip being just a HAIR east of me. It's over for Montgomery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Sunny here also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: It's over for Montgomery I think you're right for severe. But we may see some showers or thundershowers scrape by as the activity down in VA passes by to our south. Look at the litle showers on the northern end of that stuff. Western MoCo probably done for anything though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Well that was pretty underwhelming lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 Seems like it’s the usual pattern recently with the NC stuff, and the little bit of northern-ish VA stuff leaving a gap around richmond. I’ll wait a bit longer to be sure though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 37 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Wild that the main stripe and NW cutoff were in eerily similar positions as yesterday. I noticed that on the meso runs this morning. The storm yesterday caught me flush just as it blew up (almost split me, but nope) and we ended up on the highest end of the precip totals, while today we just got striped and will likely end up with highest totals again, especially if one of these cells to the SW grows a bit and hits us again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 Interesting boundary collision happened near Travilah it looks like. Didn't result in anything thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 severe storms scattered from Delaware/Maryland to Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 The latest flash flood warning issued for SE FfxCo is personally interesting...they typically mention the areas/neighborhoods AROUND where I live (e.g., Franconia, Lincolnia, Fort Belvoir, Mount Vernon) but this time they actually included our neighborhood, Hayfield. And we are indeed having a "round two" that is rivaling yesterday afternoon...maybe not horizontal rain, but definitely diagonal, and I can fully believe the 1-3" that NWS says is possible within the next hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, vastateofmind said: The latest flash flood warning issued for SE FfxCo is personally interesting...they typically mention the areas/neighborhoods AROUND where I live (e.g., Franconia, Lincolnia, Fort Belvoir, Mount Vernon) but this time they actually included our neighborhood, Hayfield. And we are indeed having a "round two" that is rivaling yesterday afternoon...maybe not horizontal rain, but definitely diagonal, and I can fully believe the 1-3" that NWS says is possible within the next hour. I'm just on the other side of 495 right on the edge. Yesterday was the most difficult drive of my life! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 15, 2023 Share Posted August 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, vastateofmind said: The latest flash flood warning issued for SE FfxCo is personally interesting...they typically mention the areas/neighborhoods AROUND where I live (e.g., Franconia, Lincolnia, Fort Belvoir, Mount Vernon) but this time they actually included our neighborhood, Hayfield. And we are indeed having a "round two" that is rivaling yesterday afternoon...maybe not horizontal rain, but definitely diagonal, and I can fully believe the 1-3" that NWS says is possible within the next hour. I can hear your cell grumbling from the western side of the Beltway. 0.11" today, so a miss, but we have done plenty well over the last two months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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