WxUSAF Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 I don’t hate the current radar 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 little cell popping up to my northwest. now i get to watch if mr map gets rained on while he mows the lawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I don’t hate the current radar I do. Scars from splitsville last week are still visible. Too many gappy gappies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 I went from being concerned about not enough southerly trajectory for the Romney cells to now being concerned about too much. Typical. That said - I also do not hate the radar - it's a bit less "gappy" than before but still some gaps in there. @H2O - I swear if you go outside and yell at the cloud again I'm going to be pissed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 29 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I don’t hate the current radar Maybe those blobs can connect and form a line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Maybe those blobs can connect and form a line That’s what I was getting at. The biggest gap is trying to close. Not a solid line yet, but could see it getting there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 12 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: I went from being concerned about not enough southerly trajectory for the Romney cells to now being concerned about too much. Typical. That said - I also do not hate the radar - it's a bit less "gappy" than before but still some gaps in there. @H2O - I swear if you go outside and yell at the cloud again I'm going to be pissed. Venmo me money or Zelle or western union or pony express 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 The cell nearing Gore, VA has the kidney bean look on radar. ETA: It's also looking like it's going to go through my "Kmlwx Box" (my version of the Hebert Boxes) near/just north of Winchester. Let's see if my old wives tale/anecdotes hold up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, H2O said: Venmo me money or Zelle or western union or pony express I only deal in Schrute Bucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 That cell now is nearing 50kft echo tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: That cell now is nearing 50kft echo tops. Warned for ping pong ball size hail now too TVS sig on it per Radarscope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 Reminder if you're using GR2AE to put in the storm motion on the toolbar to get a bit more accurate hail markers and such. That is a heck of a cell as is - guessing with the slow storm motions it may collapse or at least cycle down at times - it may gust out/become outflow dominant before too long. Then we'd be left hoping for more development along the outflow. But we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 1 inch hail LSR from an NWS employee on the Gore cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 I-66 south screw zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 326 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... East central Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... The northern City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia... Southwestern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... South central Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 415 PM EDT. * At 326 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Winchester, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Winchester, Middleway, Stephenson, Brucetown, Wadesville, Greenwood, Cedar Hill, Cedar Grove, Clear Brook, Ridgeway and Albin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 Could be terrain/radar interactions - but they do seem to be pulsing down a bit. Not to say they can't cycle back up as they come off the terrain! Looking at least semi more like a "line" even if broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 The complex is looking kind of blobby. The big blob near Gore has the most lightning with it. Overall seems that each cell has weakened a good bit. Will be interested to see how the entire complex looks when it gets to the Loudoun/MoCo line or thereabouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 Lightning on the increase again it seems like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 Not sure how this is going to unfold from here...but some of those storm motions are SW to NE and some are trying to go NW to SE. We're going to have to see if this "complex" gets taken N of the metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 cell developing just SE of Pooleville, if it holds together it could impact the Germantown/Gaithersburg/Rockville area. this is out ahead of the main area back towards Winchester so it's not "competing" against anything else for the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 I'm starting to feel like my house is Moses when it comes to thunderstorms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 Cell going up near Manassas now as well as Manchester, MD and near Westminster. Conceivable that the original complex well to the west may fizzle or continue to just be a blob while new cells fire in the metro area. Nothing severe yet - but some do seem to be growing upscale pretty nicely initially at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 Quick uptick in lightning now on the developing Montgomery County cell. Probably an indication it may be going to town. Imagine it won't be as intense as the storms to the west were earlier - but I bet at some point it gets a pity warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 Is that a micro/downburst signature forming on the TIAD radar velocity scans for the MoCo cell? Compact for now....but sure looks like it IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 Big warning out now for the "blob" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 yes quite the red/green couplet of sorts spreading out rapidly, that cell sure developed in a hurry, wonder if some sort of boundry triggered it, but I can't see anything leading up to it that would be an obvious cause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 TVS sig on it too for now on RadarScope edit: oops, that's TVS for the cell out near Charles Town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 CIMMS probsevere isn't too enthused about the MoCo cell yet - but it tends to lag just a bit. I'm guessing the MoCo cell is going to get warned soon unless it collapses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 14, 2023 Author Share Posted July 14, 2023 Circular outflow from MoCo cell now showing up on the TIAD radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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