Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2023 Author Share Posted June 16, 2023 That is a beefy cell - no competition and I don't see any outflow yet. Pretty atypical for our area. Of course now that I said it the next frame will gust out Lightning production has been a good indicator of path and intensity tendency with this. The lightning has tended to be SE or even S of the radar returns...some of that is likely the radar data lagging behind the radar update - but I'd say areas just south of the Potomac look great right now if it maintains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2023 Author Share Posted June 16, 2023 MCD coming out - https://t.co/duty3P6Iy9 - Link may not be working yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: MCD coming out - https://t.co/duty3P6Iy9 - Link may not be working yet. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1111.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming out for parts of our area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2023 Author Share Posted June 16, 2023 1 minute ago, George BM said: Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming out for parts of our area. After the SPC issuing a MCD for 20% chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 1 minute ago, George BM said: Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming out for parts of our area? I don't think so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2023 Author Share Posted June 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, George BM said: Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming out for parts of our area? I see you sneakily added the question mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2023 Author Share Posted June 16, 2023 It looks like LWX/SPC coordinated a local expansion of the watch to the south. I'm still left out seemingly. Oh well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 New storms with lightning firing back in W MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: I see you sneakily added the question mark Yeah. I'm not sure. My NOAA weather radio went off saying there was a watch for local counties (Arlington, Fairfax, etc... *shrugs*) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2023 Author Share Posted June 16, 2023 Just now, George BM said: Yeah. I'm not sure. My NOAA weather radio went off saying there was a watch for local counties (Arlington, Fairfax, etc... *shrugs*) Expansion of the existing watch to the south. They are sneaky like that sometimes when the area is not big enough for a new watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 There seems to be an awful lot of MDs out given there's no widespread severe outbreak going on. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 432 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Stafford County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Orange County in central Virginia... South central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... North central Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 515 PM EDT. * At 432 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles south of Bealeton, or 13 miles east of Culpeper, moving southeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Flat Run, Chancellorsville, Ramoth, Lignum, Storck, Holly Corner, Dunavant, Lake Of The Woods, Richardsville, Glendie, Hartwood, Goldvein, Sumerduck and Cookstown. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2023 Author Share Posted June 16, 2023 Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 ^ 2.50" hail tag on thar cell on Radarscope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Is its just because close to radar or is the Loudoun cell hooking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 4 minutes ago, yoda said: ^ 2.50" hail tag on thar cell on Radarscope Ping pong ball sized hail in the new SWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 16, 2023 Author Share Posted June 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Is its just because close to radar or is the Loudoun cell hooking? There was some spin I guess at high levels. Nothing near surface. Just an appendage really I think. And that Loudoun storm is crap now regardless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 22 minutes ago, 09-10 analogy said: There seems to be an awful lot of MDs out given there's no widespread severe outbreak going on. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/ I'm actually happy with that. It's a great way to understand the thinking behind SPC's outlook and watch decision making. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 That cell down near Fredericksburg looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Confirmed TOR in SE VA right now BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Wakefield VA 456 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023 The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Tornado Warning for... The western City of Norfolk in southeastern Virginia... The northern City of Portsmouth in southeastern Virginia... Northeastern Isle of Wight County in southeastern Virginia... The northeastern City of Suffolk in southeastern Virginia... * Until 530 PM EDT. * At 455 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Crittenden, or near Carrolton, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * The tornado will be near... Crittenden around 500 PM EDT. Churchland around 515 PM EDT. Portsmouth around 520 PM EDT. Old Dominion University and Norfolk NAS around 525 PM EDT. Norfolk and Ghent around 530 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Huntersville, Hobson and Carrollton. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Please report severe weather by calling 757-899-2415, posting to the NWS Wakefield Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSWAKEFIELDVA. && LAT...LON 3683 7632 3685 7639 3687 7640 3687 7642 3686 7643 3690 7657 3699 7656 3698 7647 3695 7643 3697 7639 3696 7628 3688 7628 TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 285DEG 22KT 3694 7653 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 this was a tornado report at Newport News/Carrollton, west side of the James River at US17 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Centreville storm looks nice and STW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Warrenton cell should get a warning soon IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 28 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I'm actually happyO with that. It's a great way to understand the thinking behind SPC's outlook and watch decision making. Oh I have no problem with it at all, I find them informative reading too. It just struck me as unusual. But maybe it happens more than I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 21 minutes ago, yoda said: Confirmed TOR in SE VA right now BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Wakefield VA 456 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023 The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Tornado Warning for... The western City of Norfolk in southeastern Virginia... The northern City of Portsmouth in southeastern Virginia... Northeastern Isle of Wight County in southeastern Virginia... The northeastern City of Suffolk in southeastern Virginia... * Until 530 PM EDT. * At 455 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Crittenden, or near Carrolton, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * The tornado will be near... Crittenden around 500 PM EDT. Churchland around 515 PM EDT. Portsmouth around 520 PM EDT. Old Dominion University and Norfolk NAS around 525 PM EDT. Norfolk and Ghent around 530 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Huntersville, Hobson and Carrollton. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Please report severe weather by calling 757-899-2415, posting to the NWS Wakefield Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSWAKEFIELDVA. && LAT...LON 3683 7632 3685 7639 3687 7640 3687 7642 3686 7643 3690 7657 3699 7656 3698 7647 3695 7643 3697 7639 3696 7628 3688 7628 TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 285DEG 22KT 3694 7653 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN Not good, right into the urban area. And during rush hour and holiday weekend traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, 09-10 analogy said: Not good, right into the urban area. And during rush hour and holiday weekend traffic. Was rainwrapped as well 000 NWUS51 KAKQ 162056 LSRAKQ Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Wakefield VA 456 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0455 PM Tornado 3 ENE Carrollton 36.97N 76.52W 06/16/2023 Isle of Wight VA Public Public reports rain wrapped tornado in Carrolton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Numerous reports of funnel clouds in downtown Norfolk as well 000 NWUS51 KAKQ 162120 LSRAKQ Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Wakefield VA 520 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0515 PM Funnel Cloud 1 S Downtown Norfolk 36.84N 76.29W 06/16/2023 City of Norfolk VA Public Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 Nickel sized hail reported in Clifton, VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 16, 2023 Share Posted June 16, 2023 notable storm reports. The tornado report is hiding behind the 80mph wind indicator 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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