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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)


Kmlwx
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That is a beefy cell - no competition and I don't see any outflow yet. Pretty atypical for our area. Of course now that I said it the next frame will gust out :lol: 

Lightning production has been a good indicator of path and intensity tendency with this. The lightning has tended to be SE or even S of the radar returns...some of that is likely the radar data lagging behind the radar update - but I'd say areas just south of the Potomac look great right now if it maintains. 

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Just now, George BM said:

 

Yeah. I'm not sure. My NOAA weather radio went off saying there was a watch for local counties (Arlington, Fairfax, etc... *shrugs*)

Expansion of the existing watch to the south. They are sneaky like that sometimes when the area is not big enough for a new watch. 

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
432 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  West central Stafford County in northern Virginia...
  Northeastern Orange County in central Virginia...
  South central Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
  Southeastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia...
  North central Spotsylvania County in central Virginia...

* Until 515 PM EDT.

* At 432 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles south of
  Bealeton, or 13 miles east of Culpeper, moving southeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Flat Run, Chancellorsville, Ramoth, Lignum, Storck, Holly Corner,
  Dunavant, Lake Of The Woods, Richardsville, Glendie, Hartwood,
  Goldvein, Sumerduck and Cookstown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
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2 minutes ago, yoda said:

Is its just because close to radar or is the Loudoun cell hooking?

There was some spin I guess at high levels. Nothing near surface. Just an appendage really I think. And that Loudoun storm is crap now regardless. 

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Confirmed TOR in SE VA right now

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
456 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  The western City of Norfolk in southeastern Virginia...
  The northern City of Portsmouth in southeastern Virginia...
  Northeastern Isle of Wight County in southeastern Virginia...
  The northeastern City of Suffolk in southeastern Virginia...

* Until 530 PM EDT.

* At 455 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Crittenden, or
  near Carrolton, moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* The tornado will be near...
  Crittenden around 500 PM EDT.
  Churchland around 515 PM EDT.
  Portsmouth around 520 PM EDT.
  Old Dominion University and Norfolk NAS around 525 PM EDT.
  Norfolk and Ghent around 530 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Huntersville, Hobson and Carrollton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Please report severe weather by calling 757-899-2415, posting to the
NWS Wakefield Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSWAKEFIELDVA.

&&

LAT...LON 3683 7632 3685 7639 3687 7640 3687 7642
      3686 7643 3690 7657 3699 7656 3698 7647
      3695 7643 3697 7639 3696 7628 3688 7628
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 285DEG 22KT 3694 7653

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
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28 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I'm actually happyO with that. It's a great way to understand the thinking behind SPC's outlook and watch decision making.

Oh I have no problem with it at all, I find them informative reading too. It just struck me as unusual. But maybe it happens more than I think. 

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21 minutes ago, yoda said:

Confirmed TOR in SE VA right now

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
456 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  The western City of Norfolk in southeastern Virginia...
  The northern City of Portsmouth in southeastern Virginia...
  Northeastern Isle of Wight County in southeastern Virginia...
  The northeastern City of Suffolk in southeastern Virginia...

* Until 530 PM EDT.

* At 455 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Crittenden, or
  near Carrolton, moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* The tornado will be near...
  Crittenden around 500 PM EDT.
  Churchland around 515 PM EDT.
  Portsmouth around 520 PM EDT.
  Old Dominion University and Norfolk NAS around 525 PM EDT.
  Norfolk and Ghent around 530 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Huntersville, Hobson and Carrollton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Please report severe weather by calling 757-899-2415, posting to the
NWS Wakefield Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSWAKEFIELDVA.

&&

LAT...LON 3683 7632 3685 7639 3687 7640 3687 7642
      3686 7643 3690 7657 3699 7656 3698 7647
      3695 7643 3697 7639 3696 7628 3688 7628
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 285DEG 22KT 3694 7653

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

Not good, right into the urban area. And during rush hour and holiday weekend traffic. 

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2 minutes ago, 09-10 analogy said:

Not good, right into the urban area. And during rush hour and holiday weekend traffic. 

Was rainwrapped as well

000
NWUS51 KAKQ 162056
LSRAKQ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
456 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     Tornado          3 ENE Carrollton        36.97N 76.52W
06/16/2023                   Isle of Wight      VA   Public

            Public reports rain wrapped tornado in
            Carrolton.
 
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Numerous reports of funnel clouds in downtown Norfolk as well

000
NWUS51 KAKQ 162120
LSRAKQ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
520 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     Funnel Cloud     1 S Downtown Norfolk    36.84N 76.29W
06/16/2023                   City of Norfolk    VA   Public

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