olafminesaw Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 This looks really good IMO. Expect big swings in the next few days with the fast flow. Give it until Monday or so before becoming attached to any one solution. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 The 00Z EPS continued to look decent with almost half the members showing something for RDU. . GEFS isn't sold yet, with only a couple members showing anything (but at least it isn't blank) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhill Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Here's a trend for you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Man with that look on the 12z GFS, that would normally be an awesome look but it's to warm... rain...Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Same general vibe as the EPS. A ton of spread though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Canadian is trending toward a cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 52 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Man with that look on the 12z GFS, that would normally be an awesome look but it's to warm... rain... Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Regarding the 12Z GFS (which indeed is trending more impressively at H5), a much further south surface low track similar to the last two extended Euro runs would be most helpful to make it much colder at low levels and allow for widespread and significant SE wintry precip prospects. Whereas those two Euro runs had the low go offshore E of Brunswick, GA, on January 13th, and thus produce wintry precip in parts of the SE, the 12Z GFS has it way north of that north of Augusta. Let's see whether or not the GFS sfc low track adjusts southward over the next couple of days. The 12Z CMC is by far the warmest of the last 4 runs due to the surface low being 700 miles further north (IL to OH to VA) vs the prior three runs. Those prior three CMC runs had the surface low go offshore GA and thus produce wintry precip in part of the SE. As a result, the new (12Z) CMC is much warmer with all rain in the SE. So, the key for the best chance for a big deal wintry precip wise in the SE is for the surface low to track much further south than the 12Z CMC/GFS with off of Brunswick being near ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 It is too bad that the UKMET doesn't go out past 168. The 12Z 168 has both the surface and H5 lows well to the south, near Dallas, TX, producing heavy QPF east/SE of there. Then there's the strong (1040 mb) Canadian high already inducing CAD way down into the favored SE region on the backside of very strong (970 mb) low winding up just off SE Canada. At that time, the 0C 850 line is dropping south of Columbia. There's little doubt in my mind that had this run gone to 192 that it would have shown a big wintry mess over a good portion of the SE on 1/13. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Euro looks pretty north so far compared to last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 The 12Z Euro as of 180 looks like it may be headed to something similar to yesterday's 12Z. Edit: wintry mix far N GA to NC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Pretty healthy at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 12Z Euro 198 has wintry mix Atlanta NE to SW NC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Good Ol’ Miller B. Setup ironically looks a lot like the storm preceding it by 365 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 BOOM for WNC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Wake up everyone, we may actually have something to track for the first time in a long time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 This is a weenie run for WNC. Gonna be some crazy clown maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Hard to hate that run if you’re in east Tenn, N Ga, the Upstate or the western 2/3s of NC and VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Not bad for Upstate SC folks either! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 It basically stalls off the coast and somewhere in WNC is gonna get 2 feet verbatim.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Here's a shot of dopamine 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 The backside death band is pure weenie fuel. This is what I mean when I said don't get attached to any one solution... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Here's a shot of dopamine Roxboro with the max totals already tells me I need to believe this will be the solution 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Yep the Euro brought the goods this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 glad its the euro and not the gfs.... if its here Monday i will be all in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, PantherJustin said: glad its the euro and not the gfs.... if its here Monday i will be all in Agreed. Thinking back to the pre-Christmas threat, when GFS and others were showing action in the SE, but the Euro never caved, and proved to be right. So thinking/hoping its gonna lead the way this time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Ohhhh if only the Euro was correct... still to far out to get to zoned in but I an interested at this point.Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5, 2023 Author Share Posted January 5, 2023 Ya'll, I had to post this thing of beauty again 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5, 2023 Author Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5, 2023 Author Share Posted January 5, 2023 Here's the GFS for comparison 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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