nwohweather Posted August 16, 2023 Share Posted August 16, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 6:47 PM, Cartier God said: Yesterday’s chase started after leaving a party at my boss’s house around 6:30. Storms began to fire southwest of the warm front around 6:40, looking pretty anemic at first. Still on the fence about chasing, I drove to Staples in Frandor to stop and check mesoanalysis. Soon after I noticed a small cell east of Dewitt that was broadly rotating on radar. I drove north to get a view of the storm at 7:10. Shortly after I caught a glimpse of the distant updraft base. As I approached the storm from the southwest, the RFD clear slot became more apparent, and a broadly rotating wall cloud could be seen. After heading east to get a better view, I witnessed the old updraft base move off to the north and begin to occlude. Off to the south, a new and more vigorous updraft was wrapping up. I cautiously drove east behind the storm. After the trees parted, I was greeted with a closer view of the mesocyclone looking ENE on Bath Rd. The RFD surge was mesmerizing. A tornado looked imminent. I noticed wispy funnels emerging from the mesocyclone about 3 miles west of perry accompanied by rapid upward motion. I continued east as my view of the ground became obscured by trees. I stayed west of I-69 not wanting to risk getting too close or missing out on the storm structure. A weak tornado was visible at this point, lofting small debris. The funnel quickly widened and intensified after crossing I-69. I repositioned and gained sight of the tornado after stopping at the intersection of Bath and Ruess. I watched the now uncondensed funnel cross Ruess Rd, with a brief power power flash and some swirling debris noted. I continued east and witnessed a few more ragged lowerings before calling it a night and heading home at dusk. . Awesome photos. A truly great look at tornadogenesis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted August 18, 2023 Share Posted August 18, 2023 Finally posted full video of the storm from a week ago today with near-constant lightning (including the bolt striking the TV tower) and vigorous gust front winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 21, 2023 Share Posted August 21, 2023 IWX thinking mid week could be MCSville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 21, 2023 Share Posted August 21, 2023 7 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: IWX thinking mid week could be MCSville Bring it on down SE to Columbus I’ll take one on the chin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 Slight risk today for the Eastern MI peeps, MCSville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 4 hours ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Slight risk today for the Eastern MI peeps, MCSville Except no MCS developed as modeled. Pure Michigan!! Only took until 6AM for some storms to even develop in northern lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 1 hour ago, Lightning said: Except no MCS developed as modeled. Pure Michigan!! Only took until 6AM for some storms to even develop in northern lower Still got potential for multiple rounds of storms. Down here I’ll get your table scraps unless a overperformer comes around. The cap is an issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 11 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Still got potential for multiple rounds of storms. Down here I’ll get your table scraps unless a overperformer comes around. The cap is an issue Looking too far east for MBY but I am sure it will find a way to get to Detroit (Wayne county). It just get tiring that something always seems to go wrong when the models are blasting this area. Been in the UP a total of 12 days this summer and have had far better T-storms up there!!! Time to be Bo's neighbor!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, Lightning said: Looking too far east for MBY but I am sure it will find a way to get to Detroit (Wayne county). It just get tiring that something always seems to go wrong when the models are blasting this area. Been in the UP a total of 12 days this summer and have had far better T-storms up there!!! Time to be Bo's neighbor!! Something about storms in the UP is magical. Would love to be on Isle Royale when some come through. I’ll be heading up to the UP end of September. Hopefully a strong low comes through and I can see Superior pissed off. Hopefully no snow showers lol. Still have to visit the porcupine mtns 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 9 minutes ago, Lightning said: Looking too far east for MBY but I am sure it will find a way to get to Detroit (Wayne county). It just get tiring that something always seems to go wrong when the models are blasting this area. Been in the UP a total of 12 days this summer and have had far better T-storms up there!!! Time to be Bo's neighbor!! This continues the trend for here this spring/summer. Not all the models were showing that line, but its frustrating the ridge wins out the one time you don’t want it to. There’s plenty of CAPE, but its just hard to get convection going with +12 at 700hpa. The upper 70s dewpoints are still on the way though. Oh boy. What fun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 @Torchageddon about to get some nice boomers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 3 hours ago, frostfern said: This continues the trend for here this spring/summer. Not all the models were showing that line, but its frustrating the ridge wins out the one time you don’t want it to. There’s plenty of CAPE, but its just hard to get convection going with +12 at 700hpa. The upper 70s dewpoints are still on the way though. Oh boy. What fun. Hey I nailed it => "find a way to get to Detroit (Wayne county)" Storms missed MBY by about 20 miles (or less actually). Oh well. Hopefully something fun happens the next couple days. Lots of potential at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 4 hours ago, SolidIcewx said: Something about storms in the UP is magical. Would love to be on Isle Royale when some come through. I’ll be heading up to the UP end of September. Hopefully a strong low comes through and I can see Superior pissed off. Hopefully no snow showers lol. Still have to visit the porcupine mtns Couple times I was up there with graupel around Sept 28th. I don't think that will be the pattern this year but you never know in the UP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 14 minutes ago, Lightning said: Hey I nailed it => "find a way to get to Detroit (Wayne county)" Storms missed MBY by about 20 miles (or less actually). Oh well. Hopefully something fun happens the next couple days. Lots of potential at least. While nothing severe, lightning tracker and radar does indicate this been a pretty stormy morning / early afternoon for parts of the city proper and the NE suburbs. Selfridge has apparently picked up over 1.5" of rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 21 minutes ago, Lightning said: Hey I nailed it => "find a way to get to Detroit (Wayne county)" Storms missed MBY by about 20 miles (or less actually). Oh well. Hopefully something fun happens the next couple days. Lots of potential at least. I seen that. Wish I was in the thumb would have loved those boomers especially if they were at night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 29 minutes ago, Powerball said: While nothing severe, lightning tracker and radar does indicate this been a pretty stormy morning / early afternoon for parts of the city proper and the NE suburbs. Selfridge has apparently picked up over 1.5" of rain. Flood Advisory National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI Issued by National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 1233 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2023 MIC099-125-163-232230- /O.NEW.KDTX.FA.Y.0018.230823T1633Z-230823T2230Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Macomb MI-Oakland MI-Wayne MI- 1233 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2023 ...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...A portion of southeast Michigan, including the following counties, Macomb, Oakland and Wayne. * WHEN...Until 630 PM EDT. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 1233 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. Minor flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the advisory area. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Warren, Troy, Southfield, St. Clair Shores, Mount Clemens, New Baltimore, Grosse Pointe, Sterling Heights, Royal Oak, Birmingham, Clinton, Macomb Township, Detroit Zoo, Rochester Hills, Roseville, Eastpointe, Madison Heights, Oak Park, Hamtramck and Ferndale. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. && LAT...LON 4245 8319 4259 8326 4274 8280 4273 8276 4273 8274 4272 8273 4271 8273 4263 8276 4263 8277 4262 8277 4254 8281 4254 8282 4252 8284 4248 8284 4239 8288 4234 8296 4234 8297 $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 1 hour ago, Powerball said: While nothing severe, lightning tracker and radar does indicate this been a pretty stormy morning / early afternoon for parts of the city proper and the NE suburbs. Selfridge has apparently picked up over 1.5" of rain. Yeah, the Tigers/Cubs are in a rain delay. It looks like the NE suburbs are getting a second round of lighter rain, but may miss downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 2 hours ago, Powerball said: While nothing severe, lightning tracker and radar does indicate this been a pretty stormy morning / early afternoon for parts of the city proper and the NE suburbs. Selfridge has apparently picked up over 1.5" of rain. Wow 2.75 at Selfridge: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 The intensity of the heat seems to be surprising the NWS. Heat index of 108F at Hillsdale, Michigan, 103F at Adrian, Michigan, and 107F at Wauseon, Ohio. None of those places are even under a heat advisory today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 Maybe I'm confused about criterias over there. The forecast for Allen County, Indiana calls for heat index values up to 106, even though there are no alerts in effect. For clarification, alerts currently in effect. There is an excessive heat warning for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 Just now, TheClimateChanger said: Maybe I'm confused about criterias over there. The forecast for Allen County, Indiana calls for heat index values up to 106, even though there are no alerts in effect. It’s a bit late now. I thought some of the models were bullish but apparently not. Up to 90/72/100 now where I am. Started the day at 64/56/64 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 They were originally expecting more storms over SE MI than what occurred. Most of SC/SE MI would have remained much cooler if the storms/clouds over Lake Erie/Huron were further west like was forecasted/modeled (by most models). The models that were furthest east were correct and these areas have remained mostly sunny and the push of warmth made if further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 Me wondering what the hell ILN is talking about when it comes to a MCS diving out of Michigan 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 1 hour ago, SolidIcewx said: Me wondering what the hell ILN is talking about when it comes to a MCS diving out of Michigan Drinking the NAM 3km cool-aid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Lightning said: Drinking the NAM 3km cool-aid Honolulu Blue for me.. wasn’t expecting anything this morning but the nws office for Columbus is like club tease level. Just want that nice thunder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 24, 2023 Share Posted August 24, 2023 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Cleveland OH 824 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2023 The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Erie County in north central Ohio... West central Cuyahoga County in northeastern Ohio... Northern Lorain County in north central Ohio... * Until 930 PM EDT. * At 824 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 13 miles northwest of Lorain to 8 miles northeast of Avon Lake, moving southwest at 30 mph. HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect damage to trees and power lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted August 24, 2023 Share Posted August 24, 2023 Crazy southwest moving MCS. Can anyone explain why? Based off outflow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 24, 2023 Share Posted August 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Crazy southwest moving MCS. Can anyone explain why? Based off outflow? Interesting. Can't say I trust it. But might be driving to the best instability??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 24, 2023 Share Posted August 24, 2023 High water rescues on I-90 in Lakewood, as slow moving thunderstorms have dumped up to 4 inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted August 24, 2023 Share Posted August 24, 2023 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1055 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2023 OHC043-077-093-123-143-240315- /O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-230824T0315Z/ Huron OH-Ottawa OH-Erie OH-Sandusky OH-Lorain OH- 1055 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2023 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN HURON...OTTAWA...ERIE...NORTHEASTERN SANDUSKY AND SOUTHWESTERN LORAIN COUNTIES... At 1054 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Sandusky to near Wakeman, moving southwest at 20 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Emergency management. There have been several reports of tree damage in Sandusky. IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. Locations impacted include... Sandusky, Norwalk, Western Vermilion, Vermilion, Port Clinton, Kelleys Island, Put-In-Bay, Bellevue, Wellington, Northern Milan, Milan, Wakeman, Castalia, Oberlin, Catawba Island, Pittsfield, Monroeville, Marblehead, Berlin Heights and Bay View. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 4159 8262 4155 8265 4153 8265 4142 8249 4147 8238 4118 8211 4111 8220 4110 8240 4133 8297 4148 8298 4155 8288 4165 8283 TIME...MOT...LOC 0254Z 032DEG 16KT 4144 8270 4119 8247 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN WIND THREAT...OBSERVED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH $$ Sullivan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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