SolidIcewx Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 Siche event in coming on Lake Erie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 Potential Derecho underway in SW Ontario, 117 km/h gust reported in Sarnia: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 1 hour ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Jinxed me lol, the storm moving into my county imploded I was shocked. I know large-scale ascent is better towards Ontario but dang with the ingredients in place I'm a bit shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I was shocked. I know large-scale ascent is better towards Ontario but dang with the ingredients in place I'm a bit shocked Starting to look fun to the NW. clouds getting real dark here way ahead of the storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 hey, large 1.75" hail in Canada 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 This is hilarious, there is a dry gap in this mega squall with record winds in far sw on and then in Georgian Bay area they typically get these large cells that are tornado warned like this afternoon...guess which of those 3 zones I'm in? Every time, the cells form just to my east! If I had a nickel for the number of times this has happened in 2023! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 10 minutes ago, Torchageddon said: This is hilarious, there is a dry gap in this mega squall with record winds in far sw on and then in Georgian Bay area they typically get these large cells that are tornado warned like this afternoon...guess which of those 3 zones I'm in? Every time, the cells form just to my east! If I had a nickel for the number of times this has happened in 2023! If it was a loonie every time you would be rich 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 Might be getting into a nice storm sandwich here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 just waiting for storms to fire farther south... hopefully the line out in Indiana sticks together for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 20, 2023 Share Posted July 20, 2023 Not often you get a view behind the shelf cloud and also get a hail core. Strong 50mph gusts just from the outflow 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 2 hours ago, Torchageddon said: This is hilarious, there is a dry gap in this mega squall with record winds in far sw on and then in Georgian Bay area they typically get these large cells that are tornado warned like this afternoon...guess which of those 3 zones I'm in? Every time, the cells form just to my east! If I had a nickel for the number of times this has happened in 2023! Lake Huron shadow. But you deserve a weenie tag from Texas Man for complaining about climatology. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 1 minute ago, frostfern said: Lake Huron shadow. But you deserve a weenie tag from Texas Man for complaining about climatology. I know I'm in a particular screw zone in general but this year I've noticed many setups where the broad line either falls apart or doesn't exist then cells form to the SE of me just a few miles. I heard one good thunder then nothing, the heavy rains at 5pm - 8 I ended up not getting any at all! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 This was south of Sarnia Ontario a few hours ago. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 49 minutes ago, Stebo said: This was south of Sarnia Ontario a few hours ago. How common is it for hail of this magnitude to fall in the Great Lakes area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: How common is it for hail of this magnitude to fall in the Great Lakes area? Not very at all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 1 hour ago, Torchageddon said: I know I'm in a particular screw zone in general but this year I've noticed many setups where the broad line either falls apart or doesn't exist then cells form to the SE of me just a few miles. I heard one good thunder then nothing, the heavy rains at 5pm - 8 I ended up not getting any at all! Yea. It’s hard to know the exact cause. I notice in Michigan just 300 feet of elevation will favor one area over another, but those microclimate effects are not as noticeable during organized severe outbreaks as they are with garden variety stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, frostfern said: Yea. It’s hard to know the exact cause. I notice in Michigan just 300 feet of elevation will favor one area over another, but those microclimate effects are not as noticeable during organized severe outbreaks as they are with garden variety stuff. I have found certain set ups are needed due to the 300'+ elevation changes. Today's storm movement was much better for MBY. Once the line got through Lansing I was very confident it was going hold for MBY based on the trajectory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted July 21, 2023 Share Posted July 21, 2023 I finally got my storm it was from those cells off Huron that bubbled post-front. On radar its basically filling in everything the first round missed. Its a solid storm, 2nd best of 2023 here. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted July 22, 2023 Share Posted July 22, 2023 A bit late to the party but I took this picture in the evening of July 12 after the tornado-warned storms passed the city, as I was heading downtown. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Yes it's the tail end of its range but the latest NAM for Thursday evening is...interesting. GFS has hints of the same general system for at least the last couple of runs. Of course the crucial details of the convective environment are gonna be all over the place at this range/at this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Still waiting for one electrically active storm this summer up here. SE side has done better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mhou Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 34 minutes ago, frostfern said: Still waiting for one electrically active storm this summer up here. SE side has done better. We had like one crazy thunderstorm with lots of lightning and some small hail, but other than that, it feels like a pretty quiet summer so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Very curious to see how Wednesday will unfold.. very good directional shear. DTX and KIWX had some nice updates 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 hour ago, SolidIcewx said: Very curious to see how Wednesday will unfold.. very good directional shear. DTX and KIWX had some nice updates Need that system to either slow down or speed up by 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 That *is* a pretty powerhouse system being depicted on the NAM. Not too often you see tornado-favorable soundings valid for 15Z (10 AM) in this neck of the woods. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 hour ago, SolidIcewx said: Very curious to see how Wednesday will unfold.. very good directional shear. DTX and KIWX had some nice updates If it starts looking anything like 6-13 last year I might drive south to watch. It looks really juicy, which can lead to a good light show. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Enhanced introduced 5 TOR, 30 wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 I-94 south year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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