jlauderdal Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Broyles cant be wrong if he broad brushes the entire countryIts like the hurricane cone of confusion on accu weather, all interests from Brownsville to Nova Scotia are in play. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fluoronium Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 This little cloud has an ongoing high end EF1 tornado in this pic! I've never seen such a tiny little tornadic supercell! Yesterday was a frustrating chase overall, but I'm glad I was able to get a view on this glorified cumulus cloud inside the concrete jungle. I ended up very close to the Elgin tornadoes but I couldn't get a good view due to all the buildings and trees. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 "Full" video, such as it is (all 60 glorious seconds of tornadic bliss) is up: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Yesterday was a very interesting impromptu chase for me. Expectations were very low of course since the last chase I went on I accidentally zero metered, and I had every intention of playing it cool. First I copied our esteemed homie @CheeselandSkiesand drove NW an hour to Davis Junction -to the complex that eventually produced the DuPage county naders. I bailed on it after 45 to head home/see if I could catch one of the southern storms (if more developed). The entire drive back on 88 I was moving parallel to initial target storm, and I kept fighting to ignore the feeling that it looked like it might start doing things soon. Then, just a few miles before my exit the Elgin area got warned. It was impressive how similar the velocity signature on that farther north storm looked to the one that I had been watching so, despite having to pee like a motherfucker, I blasted north on Kirk. I think I had just seen the remnants of the bigger tornado that people had filmed -including @CheeselandSkies- when I realized that a third area of sketchy velocity readings was developing directly NW of me. I pulled over and let it pass ahead and then tried to get behind it. Obviously traffic was dog shit so I couldn't actually keep up per se but I did manage a glimpse at what looked like a wall cloud with a little rotating rope off to the side. Called it after that because I simply couldn't keep up and my bladder was about to explode. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 1 hour ago, CheeselandSkies said: "Full" video, such as it is (all 60 glorious seconds of tornadic bliss) is up: We've got sisters! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 8 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: We've got sisters! Cow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyweather Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Tornado warned cell about to cross the IL/WI state line into Mchenry County. My wife was driving to an event in Lake Geneva and heard the warning on old fashioned FM radio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 13, 2023 Share Posted July 13, 2023 Rotation looks meh on velocity but apparently it has had a funnel for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Here is the southern Michigan EF-1 tornado damage assessment. this isn't too far from where my Mom's home town is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Literally slept through the southern Wisconsin tornado warning...we weren't even in a marginal risk until the 01Z outlook. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Slight risk extended into Illinois now, no tornado probs (yet) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Was not expecting clear blue skies today. Hopefully we can get some action before sunset 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Tornado Warning in the thumb, has a nice couplet and had a very brief cc drop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 So many warnings in Eastern MI, and not a watch to be found... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 What the hell is going on in the thumb?? Hour ago nothing and no watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, Powerball said: So many warnings in Eastern MI, and not a watch to be found... They issued a 20% MD saying they expected coverage to remain low while there was already two tornado warnings and five severe thunderstorm warnings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Rotation in southern Livingston county. Going towards not far from where I live Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Ironically Environment Canada issued a watch out ahead of these storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 230 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 .DISCUSSION... Moderate instability has built up, with 18z SPC mesoscale analysis indicating 1500 J/kg of MLcape and 2500+ J/kg. Jet streak/40+ knots of 0-6 KM bulk shear aligned over/around I-94 corridor, presenting the elevated concern for severe storms, as the Lake Michigan shadow push has begun and some activity is attempting to go up. Will need to be leery of the backed flow near Lake Erie to increase low level shear and lead to potential rotation. Some enhanced low level convergence and enough 0-1 km bulk shear (up to 15 knots) over the Thumb region to allow for rotation and more organized activity as well, with possible tornadoes indicated. Once the scattered strong-severe storms/surface based activity dwindles early this evening, still a muddled forecast for tonight into Saturday, as 12z hires solutions are all over the place with convection, or lack there of if you believe certain solutions. Unfortunately, with the amount of upper level shortwaves seen on the water vapory imagery tracking through northern Plains/Midwest, it is not surprising and difficult to latch on to the main/dominant player as we work through the diurnal cycle. Ultimately, with moderate southwest low level winds and solid negative showalter index values persisting, will lean toward the redevelopment of convection tonight within the backdrop of upper level ridge building into between the Central/Eastern Great Lakes region toward Saturday morning, as shortwave energy/lead PV advection tracks in from the western Ohio Valley. With 700 MB dew pts rising into the low-mid single numbers, excessive/heavy rainfall becomes an increasing concern as we head into Saturday as well. 12z Regional GEM seems to have the general flavor of the forecast for tonight and tomorrow. With the morning shower/thunderstorm activity slow to exit, anticipating afternoon instability to be low, with mlcapes generally under 1000 J/kg, which is a good thing as wind shear appears to be moderate, with 35+ knots of 0-6 km bulk shear to work with. Day 2 out of SPC has dropped the marginal risk of severe storms for bulk of southeast Michigan, which is fine as long as that morning activity verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Cell in Wayne county looking pretty supercellular now. Wish I was home to see it. Hopefully it don’t tighten up anymore or the metro is in some trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 And we're off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Ready for a Friday night banger, don’t get timing like this often in the summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 1 minute ago, King James said: Ready for a Friday night banger, don’t get timing like this often in the summer Its juicy as well. 90/72 here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 DTW area I think dodged a bullet. A little better atmosphere dynamic and those storms would have taken off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Hell of a structure on that cell outside of Monroe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, nwohweather said: Hell of a structure on that cell outside of Monroe If I was not in Lima I’d be going after it. Would have blasted down 275 to get ahead of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: If I was not in Lima I’d be going after it. Would have blasted down 275 to get ahead of it Starting to fizzle as it hits the lake. Definitely gonna see some hail reports Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 Just now, nwohweather said: Starting to fizzle as it hits the lake. Definitely gonna see some hail reports My view of the storm from where I’m at. Hella tall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 14, 2023 Share Posted July 14, 2023 1 minute ago, SolidIcewx said: My view of the storm from where I’m at. Hella tall For sure! I can clearly see it from the river here by Perrysburg, OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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