snowman19 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 On this date in 2007, 0.3" of snow fell. That was Winter 2006-2007's first measurable snowfall of the season. Winter 2022-2023 will become only the fourth winter in New York City (Central Park) to have no measurable snowfall through January 19th. Records go back to January 1869. There is low ensemble support for some measurable snow during January 23rd. The National Blend of Models shows no snowfall. Most of the operational guidance has moved away from any accumulations in Central Park. Another system could bring at least the possibility of measurable snow during January 25-27. Ensemble support is moderate. Such support has also been higher than it was for the preceding event. The operational guidance generally shows little or no snowfall. In sum, New York City's measurable snow drought will very likely continue into at least early next week. There is some possibility that it could extend through the remainder of the month.The fact that it made it to this point without measurable snow is a very ominous sign for the rest of winter, if you look at history 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 17 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Do you have a chart for the ten worst winters (warmth + lack of snow) for the entire season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 We can dream can't we.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 13 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Thanks. I almost forgot how horrible 19/20 was too. Also despite 72/73 being the lowest snow season it was considerably colder than a lot of other futility years. So that season was more attributed to bad luck than anything 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 insanely stupid far away fantasy land, but maybe, just MAYBE we can pull one off before January closes out. I didn't leave southern california to move back here and not get any snow... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 25 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: We can dream can't we.... The NAM is usually over amped in the long range so while I don’t expect that to verify weirdly that’s interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, vegan_edible said: insanely stupid far away fantasy land, but maybe, just MAYBE we can pull one off before January closes out. I didn't leave southern california to move back here and not get any snow... 1/27 to 2/2 seems to be the window of cold air so hopefully we get a storm, cold and dry would be a waste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 We can dream can't we..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 38F and rain in the Hills of Westchester…what a winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 38F and rain in the Hills of Westchester…what a winter!37 and raining in Sloatsburg. Some winters find every way possible to snow, this one has found every way possible not to snow. Total non winter south of Orange County and even Orange has been hurting real bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 45 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: We can dream can't we.... Probably NAM being terrible in its long range like usual. RGEM at hour 84 is much warmer than this. RGEM has been a much better model than NAM in recent years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 7 minutes ago, snowman19 said: 37 and raining in Sloatsburg. Some winters find every way possible to snow, this one has found every way possible not to snow. Total non winter south of Orange County and even Orange has been hurting real bad It gets worse and worse, that gradient next week is pushing toward western Ulster/Sullivan. Even Orange county looks like mainly all rain with both storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 GFS is basically a cutter now for storm 2 next week, even Buffalo flips to rain. Remember when this was a coastal on two models two days ago lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Hope we get a surprise storm after 1/27, we'll probably have about a five day window with cold air for something to pop up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: GFS is basically a cutter now for storm 2 next week, even Buffalo flips to rain. Remember when this was a coastal on two models two days ago lol. No cold air, no blocking trough axis too far west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: No cold air, no blocking trough axis too far west. Wash. Rinse. Repeat. Until something changes nothing will change. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: No cold air, no blocking trough axis too far west. Rinse and repeat literally. Without significant pattern changes this will just keep happening. We need blocking and a 50-50 low NE of us, and the Pacific to cooperate. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 What a disaster this winter is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 What a disaster this winter isNever underestimate what the Olds here have seen before and see again.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 53 minutes ago, vegan_edible said: insanely stupid far away fantasy land, but maybe, just MAYBE we can pull one off before January closes out. I didn't leave southern california to move back here and not get any snow... Looks like a better pattern with more cold air for that time frame. Before 1/26 was always a thread-the-needle threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: What a disaster this winter is You’re telling me it is. I’ve been a weather buff since 1976, and this is the worse one yet. Heck it’s been so bad you can’t even declare winter over when it hasn’t even started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 37 and raining in Sloatsburg. Some winters find every way possible to snow, this one has found every way possible not to snow. Total non winter south of Orange County and even Orange has been hurting real badThis is one of those years. Strongly resembles some 1990s winters to me. We got spoiled by it finding ways to snow the past 20 or so years.I think a lot of younger posters are living through their first snow droughts.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said: You’re telling me it is. I’ve been a weather buff since 1976, and this is the worse one yet. Heck it’s been so bad you can’t even declare winter over when it hasn’t even started. We usually get snow to rain events or a dusting to an inch events during bad winters. We can't even muster those little events. Pretty sad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I feel like I am living in London or Seattle. Day after day of cloudy, gloomy weather with only a few sunny exceptions with rain every few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We usually get snow to rain events or a dusting to an inch events during bad winters. We can't even muster those little events. Pretty sad This winter is so bad that getting an inch from a clipper would be thrilling at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: This winter is so bad that getting an inch from a clipper would be thrilling at this point. Unless 6+ I'd rather shoot for the CPK shut out. Can do without the nickle and dime stuff that is gone in a day or two. Just my opinion and I realize I am probably in the minority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 35 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: I feel like I am living in London or Seattle. Day after day of cloudy, gloomy weather with only a few sunny exceptions with rain every few days. Seattle is having a snowy winter this season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 The 29th looks like hell now on the gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: The 29th looks like hell now on the gefs Smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Thanks. I almost forgot how horrible 19/20 was too. Also despite 72/73 being the lowest snow season it was considerably colder than a lot of other futility years. So that season was more attributed to bad luck than anything Along those lines, the largely quiet 80s are nowhere to be found, which makes sense. As we know, those winters were largely cold, and the snow wasn't *that* terrible, it just lacked big storms (other than '83) and seemed to have a lot of N&W or changeover storms for us coastal folk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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