EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 minute ago, the_other_guy said: this endless warmth is nothing like the 80s. Just this one period. This endless warmth resembles the 90s outside of 93/94, 96/96 and 92/93 (also 01/02). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 10 hours ago, Nibor said: Plumbers 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 10 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Three of the best plumbers that ever plumbed a plum! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Just now, matt8204 said: Three of the best plumbers that ever plumbed a plum! Greatest handymen of all time! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, matt8204 said: Three of the best plumbers that ever plumbed a plum! Curly should do this to the current weather pattern.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 15 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: JFK and Central Park share the 332-day record. Don I think temps will exceed expectations today. It was 47 when I woke up at 7 am and it's fully sunny already, it could get to mid 50s today 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 15 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Greatest handymen of all time! Also the greatest cooks ;-) They made chicken soup by pouring water on chicken! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Just now, LibertyBell said: Also the greatest cooks ;-) They made chicken soup by pouring water on chicken! Wait, are you saying that isn't how chicken soup is made??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 2 hours ago, the_other_guy said: Of course we broke the record for warmest January! It is simple math and was obvious for a while now. like a suspenseful drum roll over last week! It is already 44F in CPK. Next record will be the 0.0. That will happen too! My thermometer says it's almost 60 lmao but it shows how strong the sun is right now, I have it on the north side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Just now, LibertyBell said: My thermometer says it's almost 60 lmao but it shows how strong the sun is right now, I have it on the north side. Next winter sign me up for a La/EL Nothing....I'll take my chances... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: With the overnight guidance showing a slightly slower arrival of the cooler air tomorrow, the probability that NYC will see its warmest January on record has increased. YES!!!! and today will be warmer than forecast with all this sunshine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 15 hours ago, Roger Smith said: Liberty Bell and anyone else interested in pre-1869 NYC weather, some indication of weather patterns could be gained from reading the daily meteorological journal of Alexis Caswell in Providence RI (it extends from about 1831 to 1860). He was more or less one of the main founders of American meteorology through the Smithsonian Institution who have preserved his journals. You can read a bit about him at wikipedia, I noted that he was born on today's date in 1799 and died in January of 1877. I attempted to post a link to the weather journal. For some reason the software here will not accept the link (possibly because there's a google.ca domain?) ... anyway, try going through the wikipedia article as the link there works for me (it's at the bottom of the text identified as Smithsonian blah blah ...) I intended to set it at Jan 1857 because that month had some severe cold that was accompanied by strong northwest winds, Toronto fell a bit lower than his -14 F reading (to -22 F) but I would imagine NYC was in that ball park too. Also his three daily readings do not necessarily capture extremes and sometimes he made notes of those in the marginal comments. This is the link I have, perhaps if you block copy it and try it directly, it might work. http://www.books.google.ca/books?id=oYY_AAAAcAAJ&pg=PA143&source=gbs_toc_r&cad=3#v=onepage&q&f=false Possibly a U.S. based wikipedia user will get a different link to the journal. If anyone succeeds in opening it could you post the link that works? This link works for me as supplied but not as copied. Thanks I'll look into this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: I don't have the actual stats but Don might. New York City's February snowfall data by MJO Phase. Underrepresented means that the percentage of days for an MJO phase is less than 80% of climatology; overrepresented means that the percentage of days for an MJO phase is more than 120% of climatology. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Where Is the Snow? New York City Shatters 50-Year Record for Snowless Winter - WSJ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Hot damn finally a gif that fully explains our perfect MJO model this year if ever I have seen it - dancing around the COD with pouring rain perfect explanation LMAO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, Albedoman said: Hot damn finally a gif that fully explains our perfect MJO model this year if ever I have seen it - dancing around the COD with pouring rain perfect explanation LMAO MJO-Mostly Just Often(wrong).....MJOW is more like it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 There is going to be a 30 degree swing for my drive home today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Wave 1 seems done, now we track wave 2 to see if it trends north. If not the chances of a snowless winter increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 The GEFS has trended north, with most ensembles showing a period of snow on Wednesday. Temperatures would likely be cool enough to break our snowless streak in Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 The GEFS has trended north, with most ensembles showing a period of snow on Wednesday. Temperatures would likely be cool enough to break our snowless streak in Central Park. Provided Central Park decides to measure. Something they are notoriously horrible at. During significant snowfalls they usually come in low, and under one inch events which they sometimes don’t even bother with. Because of the Significance of getting a 10th of an inch of snow to end the streak I would hope they would be more conscious Wednesday should anything fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 8 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Provided Central Park decides to measure. Something they are notoriously horrible at. During significant snowfalls they usually come in low, and under one inch events which they sometimes don’t even bother with. Because of the Significance of getting a 10th of an inch of snow to end the streak I would hope they would be more conscious Wednesday should anything fall. It’s funny… airlines on the verge of going out of business, always have the best on-time rate. Believe me, if it falls, they will measure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 hour ago, mannynyc said: The GEFS has trended north, with most ensembles showing a period of snow on Wednesday. Temperatures would likely be cool enough to break our snowless streak in Central Park. None of the OP runs of any model have anything on Wed currently. I get something could still develop but I'm not feeling too optimistic about anything on Wed given we are two days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Euro has sub zero temps for Saturday morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Ride a boat and see some snow on Saturday https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&rh=2023013012&fh=120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2023013012&fh=120&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= Jeeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 50 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: None of the OP runs of any model have anything on Wed currently. I get something could still develop but I'm not feeling too optimistic about anything on Wed given we are two days out. The Euro still wants no part of it really...it would be quite the epic fail at this range even for it to miss a 1 inch snow event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Records Highs: EWR: 66 (2013. 2006) NYC: 64 (2006) LGA: 63 (2006) Lows: EWR: 3 (1935) NYC: 2 (1873) LGA: 4 (1948) Historical: 1987 - A winter storm brought more heavy snow to the North Atlantic Coast Region, with 13.6 inches reported at Hiram ME. January proved to be the snowiest of record for much of Massachusetts. Worcester MA reported an all-time monthly record of 46.8 inches of snow. (National Weather Summary) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Provided Central Park decides to measure. Something they are notoriously horrible at. During significant snowfalls they usually come in low, and under one inch events which they sometimes don’t even bother with. Because of the Significance of getting a 10th of an inch of snow to end the streak I would hope they would be more conscious Wednesday should anything fall. One of the things many forgot this year is NYC likely did get measurable snow that day in December where EWR/LGA reported it, so this is somewhat of a bogus record 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Provided Central Park decides to measure. Something they are notoriously horrible at. During significant snowfalls they usually come in low, and under one inch events which they sometimes don’t even bother with. Because of the Significance of getting a 10th of an inch of snow to end the streak I would hope they would be more conscious Wednesday should anything fall. Honestly that record is so close now might as well get it. Although I am VERY suspicious of that 332 day record 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 33 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: One of the things many forgot this year is NYC likely did get measurable snow that day in December where EWR/LGA reported it, so this is somewhat of a bogus record The 332 day record is probably even more bogus JFK measured a T in December and here on the south shore I think it was closer to 0.5 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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