LibertyBell Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The list was latest first measurable snowfall. You’re thinking of the longest stretch without measurable snow. Oh sorry I saw the 320 in there and thought that was number 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Oh sorry I saw the 320 in there and thought that was number 1. JFK and Central Park share the 332-day record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Liberty Bell and anyone else interested in pre-1869 NYC weather, some indication of weather patterns could be gained from reading the daily meteorological journal of Alexis Caswell in Providence RI (it extends from about 1831 to 1860). He was more or less one of the main founders of American meteorology through the Smithsonian Institution who have preserved his journals. You can read a bit about him at wikipedia, I noted that he was born on today's date in 1799 and died in January of 1877. I attempted to post a link to the weather journal. For some reason the software here will not accept the link (possibly because there's a google.ca domain?) ... anyway, try going through the wikipedia article as the link there works for me (it's at the bottom of the text identified as Smithsonian blah blah ...) I intended to set it at Jan 1857 because that month had some severe cold that was accompanied by strong northwest winds, Toronto fell a bit lower than his -14 F reading (to -22 F) but I would imagine NYC was in that ball park too. Also his three daily readings do not necessarily capture extremes and sometimes he made notes of those in the marginal comments. This is the link I have, perhaps if you block copy it and try it directly, it might work. http://www.books.google.ca/books?id=oYY_AAAAcAAJ&pg=PA143&source=gbs_toc_r&cad=3#v=onepage&q&f=false Possibly a U.S. based wikipedia user will get a different link to the journal. If anyone succeeds in opening it could you post the link that works? This link works for me as supplied but not as copied. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 0z RDPS bumped north again, looks like some type of potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, vegan_edible said: 0z RDPS bumped north again, looks like some type of potential Yea outside of the 18z run south tick it’s been pretty consistently showing something. At this point it’s under 72 hours so either the RGEM or the other models gotta cave soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 9 minutes ago, vegan_edible said: 0z RDPS bumped north again, looks like some type of potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsonvoid1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 can we get lucky? we need snow . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Cmc went south unfortunately. Gfs has nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsonvoid1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Cmc went south unfortunately. Gfs has nothingwe're toast cold and dry this weekend story of my life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Cmc went south unfortunately. Gfs has nothing At this point I wasn't getting excited over 2 inches anyway. Snow still OTG up in ME though, but only about 5 inches or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, wilsonvoid1 said: we're toast cold and dry this weekend story of my life . Less cold. Low teens now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsonvoid1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Less cold. Low teens nowgood no frozen pipes who wants that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 19 minutes ago, wilsonvoid1 said: good no frozen pipes who wants that . Plumbers 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Cmc south, not over as one of the waves could trend but we may get blanked this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 New York City's snow season futility rankings through January 29th: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Morning thoughts… Today will be partly to mostly cloudy and very mild. High temperatures will reach the upper 40s and lower 50s in most areas. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 51° Newark: 53° Philadelphia: 55° Cooler air will return tomorrow. A short Arctic blast is likely toward the end of the week. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 39.7°; 15-Year: 39.9° Newark: 30-Year: 40.2°; 15-Year: 40.6° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 41.5°; 15-Year: 41.7° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 With the overnight guidance showing a slightly slower arrival of the cooler air tomorrow, the probability that NYC will see its warmest January on record has increased. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 The last 2 days of January are averaging 44degs.(39/49) or +10. Month to date is 43.4[+9.7]. January should end at 43.4[+9.7]. First Place. Reached 52 here yesterday at 4pm. Today: 48-50, wind w., m. cloudy, 37 tomorrow AM. LR Models agree the next 30-45 days will be BN everywhere in N.A. except Florida and/or the E.C. 43*(76%RH) here at 6am. 42* at 7am. 44* at 9am. 45* at 10am. 48* at 11am. 49* at Noon. 50* at 12:30pm. 54* at 3pm. Reached 55* at 3:30pm. 48* at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Of course we broke the record for warmest January! It is simple math and was obvious for a while now. like a suspenseful drum roll over last week! It is already 44F in CPK. Next record will be the 0.0. That will happen too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 MJO phase 6 by the 13th. Getting to 8 before the end of the season will likely be the determining factor as to whether or not we get at least 1 snow period this season (of course we could always get a fluke like Feb. 18, Jan 12, March 98 etc etc.). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 2 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Courtesy of RTD. I like that they put together a write up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 This has really been the perfect storm for breaking records in NYC. First the snow record, just about everyone got a little snow in December but not Central Park, probably because of the heat island. Then the cold, which like turning on a switch, arrives just as January ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsonvoid1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 MJO phase 6 by the 13th. Getting to 8 before the end of the season will likely be the determining factor as to whether or not we get at least 1 snow period this season (of course we could always get a fluke like Feb. 18, Jan 12, March 98 etc etc.).can it snow on phase 6? i know 8 is cold and snow but what about 6 Anthony?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, wilsonvoid1 said: can it snow on phase 6? i know 8 is cold and snow but what about 6 Anthony? . It can snow in any phase, it just a lot harder in 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, lee59 said: This has really been the perfect storm for breaking records in NYC. First the snow record, just about everyone got a little snow in December but not Central Park, probably because of the heat island. Then the cold, which like turning on a switch, arrives just as January ends. It came down to messing up a good setup in December. Ultimately, the northern stream low took over and became historically strong, which then stripped the 3rd low of moisture and suppressed it. That 3rd low had a TON of potential!! Had the 2nd storm been weaker we would not be talking about the record now. Take December 2000 for instance, one storm hit us and could easily have missed to the SE. We were bound to strike out at some point. In a typical la Nina, your window is early and sometimes late. Now we wait to see if we get to phase 8 in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsonvoid1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 It can snow in any phase, it just a lot harder in 6.statistically, what phases is the snowiest to least snowiest?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Just now, wilsonvoid1 said: statistically, what phases is the snowiest to least snowiest? . I don't have the actual stats but Don might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsonvoid1 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 statistically, what phases is the snowiest to least snowiest?.looks like phase 1, and phase 8 are pretty favorably. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 This sums up the winter and the 80s. Frigid warm up quick and rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 42 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: This sums up the winter and the 80s. Frigid warm up quick and rain this endless warmth is nothing like the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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