CIK62 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 YES. MOM WILL BE HOME ALONE ALL NIGHT ........cause I'll be out with Bobby. Better Luck next Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Snow season futility rankings through January 24th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: Most other models give me (20 miles north of I84) between 1.5 and 3, not unreasonable. Nam does give me close to 4 which is probably too much. It's possible, depends how far east the overrunning makes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Snow season futility rankings through January 24th.As Crowded House once crooned, don’t dream it’s over.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 https://news.yahoo.com/frigid-cold-north-asia-sets-074859981.htmlJust an interesting story regarding cold.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: Snow season futility rankings through January 24th. One cold day - December 24 - is basically keeping us out of 2nd place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 0z HRRR says you basically have to be in the Catskills to see any appreciable snow. Could be quite a soaker for most of us though, models are showing 2"+ in some cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 NWS forecasting a low of 33 for the city tonight. It's 40 degrees now at 8:40pm with a mostly overcast sky. Don't think we cool down to 33. Maybe 37-38. Precip gets in mid-late morning. Temps will be rising by then. Still can snow but not holding my breath. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 0z NAM looks to be slightly south with snow. Still doesn’t snow in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gpsnavigator Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Several schools in North Jersey have already closed for tomorrow. Seems really premature given the marginal forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, gpsnavigator said: Several schools in North Jersey have already closed for tomorrow. Seems really premature given the marginal forecast. School district For my town sent out the robo call around 6pm notifying us that school is closed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 I think the RGEM is too warm but if its right it has NYC already in the 40s when precip starts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 18 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said: I think the RGEM is too warm but if its right it has NYC already in the 40s when precip starts. It's probably about right. Something like 41/26 with a 36F wet bulb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 White rain but better than nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, snywx said: School district For my town sent out the robo call around 6pm notifying us that school is closed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Fourth consecutive January at Central Park without a single digit reading. Last time something like that happened? 1989 - 1993. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I wish I could believe these models like the gfs and NAM. I really do but I can’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 hours ago, North and West said: As Crowded House once crooned, don’t dream it’s over. . Yes, but at the same time, when it's snowless for this long, something so strong could carry us away. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Like I said well know if we see snow by 1 pm. Every model that has snow seems to have precip in by 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Idk, nam and GFS both show good 700mb frontogenesis . This will probably come down to nowcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 32 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: Idk, nam and GFS both show good 700mb frontogenesis . This will probably come down to nowcasting. Totally agree. 20 miles is the difference. Someone in this thread is going to get surprised tomorrow with some nice front end snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Actually down to 27F right now beating my forecasted low already, I guess from radiative cooling. Feels refreshing and more like winter, I’ll try to savor it for a few before my torched rain tomorrow . Any other degenerate non sleepers up? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just north of the city is a weird battle ground for seeing some very minor accumulations before melt/washout. Especially areas with some elevation. Should be worth some interest seeing if it happens considering the winter we've had. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Hoping it trends favorably for you guys. I'll be west of the city at time of snowfall but not expecting to see anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 34/22 here in Jersey City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 The new HRRR basically starts it as rain from Rockland/Bergen/Westchester south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Nam and Fv3 hi res in good agreement about the midlvl fronto pushing through the area. To me, this suggests the snow comes in like a wall for someone vs showery. And I'm not throwing in the towel for 1/2" to 2" in and around the city. Though not likely , I do believe this has a higher than normal chance to deliver a surprise. Good luck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 To my untrained eye, the radar seems juiced, it looks like she wants to head due north to Michigan. Not sure I love that angle of trajectory for much, if any, snow in the area. Rooting for those fronto-maps, posted above, to pan out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 To my untrained eye, the radar seems juiced, it looks like she wants to head due north to Michigan. Not sure I love that angle of trajectory for much, if any, snow in the area. Rooting for those fronto-maps, posted above, to pan out! View anything the NAM shows with extreme skepticism. It did an absolutely horrendous job Monday, the HRRR and RGEM did the best 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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