North and West Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 I was 3 years old for that one lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, jm1220 said: CC has this band as mostly snow but temps are in the upper 30s. Might start as R/S mix but the tale will be how heavy it can get so it can cool the temps down. Light snow at 34-35 won’t stick. Ground is very warm for the time of year too.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Sleet and graupel in Sloatsburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pequest Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Pretty sad but I think this is the most snow we've had all season out here in Warren County. Brutal.... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 The differences between the NAM and RGEM for Wednesday are laughable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, Pequest said: Pretty sad but I think this is the most snow we've had all season out here in Warren County. Brutal.... It's a winter wonderland compared to further east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Had .60" rainfall since this all began yesterday afternoon. Started as IP-/S- with no visible accumulations. Melted on contact. Currently S- with trace amounts on deck, snowboard and mulched surfaces. Temperature 32.5 degrees. Maybe a tenth or two before all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Nam trended more favorably for Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milleand Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Snowing pretty hard in Parsippany, NJ. Was white rain for about an hour and now the flakes have increased in size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Nam trended more favorably for Wednesday. Big difference between the 3k and 12k NAM snow maps on TT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Nam trended more favorably for Wednesday. It will go to shit by Tuesday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt8204 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 On 1/20/2023 at 2:35 PM, EastonSN+ said: Yup. 3 good years (2 great one average) and 7 complete dumpster fires. I remember one day in the early 90s in Feb was so freaking warm some kids had short sleeves. I do not miss that decade. Same here. My craziest memory is watching the Nagano Winter Olympics in 1998 while it was about 70 degrees in February. There was a freaking thunderstorm one night while I was watching the ice hockey tournament. Unbelievable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 21 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Big difference between the 3k and 12k NAM snow maps on TT. All about where that initial overrunning wave goes and if it comes in like a wall or showery/broken up. If we’re hit with that like the NAM shows and Euro to an extent we could get a surprise. If it waits until it’s too warm or overrunning shoots over us to the north we won’t get much of anything before the washout. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 White rain here in the bronx..visibilities dropped also. Should be changing to all snow very soon here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 5 minutes ago, jm1220 said: All about where that initial overrunning wave goes and if it comes in like a wall or showery/broken up. If we’re hit with that like the NAM shows and Euro to an extent we could get a surprise. If it waits until it’s too warm or overrunning shoots over us to the north we won’t get much of anything before the washout. What did the 6z euro show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 All about where that initial overrunning wave goes and if it comes in like a wall or showery/broken up. If we’re hit with that like the NAM shows and Euro to an extent we could get a surprise. If it waits until it’s too warm or overrunning shoots over us to the north we won’t get much of anything before the washout. Not saying they’re right but the RGEM and CMC have been consistent for days now that it’s a non event. They haven’t budged. Pretty crazy differences for this close to the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 40 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The differences between the NAM and RGEM for Wednesday are laughable RGEM has been an excellent model, so it's hard for me to get interested in wednesday as long as RGEM doesn't want anything to do with it. NAM is such a crazy model and has been terrible, so I'm assuming it's going way overboard for wednesday. Even the 3km NAM doesn't look anything like the regular NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 It'll only snow Wednesday if there's WAA overrunning ahead of it. Otherwise it's a wash Personally think early Feb has better odds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 12 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: What did the 6z euro show? I don’t have access to the 6z but the 0z Euro looked more NAM like with the overrunning. CMC is a disaster because it holds it back until it’s too warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: RGEM has been an excellent model, so it's hard for me to get interested in wednesday as long as RGEM doesn't want anything to do with it. NAM is such a crazy model and has been terrible, so I'm assuming it's going way overboard for wednesday. Even the 3km NAM doesn't look anything like the regular NAM. The rgem can be warm at times. Like today. It's snowing already here in Lower Westchester and the rgem up to 12z today had me as all rain. Maybe it will be right for Wednesday but it is wrong today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 12z GFS gives us about an inch of snow before the rain. It's going to have to snow heavily to give us an inch or so of snow though. Light to moderate won't cut it with temps above freezing and a warm ground. Even if RGEM is wrong about holding it back and no snow, I still wouldn't be surprised if it's just some wet snow falling that doesn't accumulate and the NYC record gets broken. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, binbisso said: The rgem can be warm at times. Like today. It's snowing already here in Lower Westchester and the rgem up to 12z today had me as all rain. Maybe it will be right for Wednesday but it is wrong today RGEM and CMC have a warm/amped bias. If they're the only models showing an event as all rain, you shouldn't be too worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, binbisso said: The rgem can be warm at times. Like today. It's snowing already here in Lower Westchester and the rgem up to 12z today had me as all rain. Maybe it will be right for Wednesday but it is wrong today RGEM was much closer to reality than NAM for today in the longer range though. Early NAM runs had this area getting a snowstorm while RGEM was all rain. RGEM ended up being right about it being all rain here. I don't see anyone getting the several inches of snow today that the early NAM runs had. NAM was WAY off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: 12z GFS gives us about an inch of snow before the rain. It's going to have to snow heavily to give us an inch or so of snow though. Light to moderate won't cut it with temps above freezing and a warm ground. Even if RGEM is wrong about holding it back and no snow, I still wouldn't be surprised if it's just some wet snow falling that doesn't accumulate and the NYC record gets broken. Does it really matter if the record gets broken or not at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 39 degrees here and Radarscope showing snow...yea no 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Does it really matter if the record gets broken or not at this point? Of course it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 FWIW CMC was a bit colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Of course it does I mean, does our view change if CPK measures 0.1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Of course it does To me it does. It would somehow make the lack of snowfall worthwhile. Pyrrhic victory if you will. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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