CIK62 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 What are we waiting for anyway? Every day will be AN this month thru the 25th. In 1932 only the last day of the month was BN. Gonna happen again? Last BN day was Dec. 27th. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 56 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: More likely, blocking returns as it statistically does following a neg. AO in December and we are rainy and chilly with temps 45 to 50. We are not lucky enough to get 60 and sunny consistently. It may wait for March though. Those seem to be snowier than February in a la nina pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: More likely, blocking returns as it statistically does following a neg. AO in December and we are rainy and chilly with temps 45 to 50. We are not lucky enough to get 60 and sunny consistently. Ya just in time to make for a *cold, damp spring, right? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 That ECMWF run would be hilarious it it was true, DC, Philly and parts of the Delmarva getting accums before central park. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 That ECMWF run would be hilarious it it was true, DC, Philly and parts of the Delmarva getting accums before central park.Don’t worry, I have a feeling that backside CCB band is going to end up in New England. Usually those types of setups favor New England 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: That ECMWF run would be hilarious it it was true, DC, Philly and parts of the Delmarva getting accums before central park. A solid 6 days away but at least something to watch with some interest. Just not much else to hang our collective hats on these days. Odds low especially along and southeast of I95 especially outside of New England. Something to at least have some interest in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 11 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Don’t worry, I have a feeling that backside CCB band is going to end up in New England. Usually those types of setups favor New England Not surprising that's what you think 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 2 hours ago, vegan_edible said: ecmwf 00z shows some snow on the tail end saturday night/sunday. just one model but gives me some type of hope. lets see what the 12z has to offer The 12z Euro has moved this band much farther west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 % went from 10 to 0. I am insulted. Yep, Went West. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Eduardo said: Ya just in time to make for a *cold, damp spring, right? i will enjoy a colder spring then a warm winter who wants 90's in april and may 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Winter 2022-2023 is poised to become just the 8th winter on record where Central Park had seen no measurable snowfall through January 9th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Not surprising that's what you thinkSince November, how many of these have actually worked out to give the metro area snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Franklin0529 said: Not surprising that's what you think Clockwork 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 10 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Since November, how many of these have actually worked out to give the metro area snow? 0. But that dont mean this one won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Don’t worry, I have a feeling that backside CCB band is going to end up in New England. Usually those types of setups favor New England Agree. Track if you want but this will end the same way they have all ended…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Ya just in time to make for a *cold, damp spring, right? You want a prediction about the weather? It’s going to be cold, it’s going to be dark, and it’s going to last you for the rest of your lives.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 god id love to see one significant snowfall this season. i mean we realistically cant make it april without ONE right...? right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 16 minutes ago, vegan_edible said: god id love to see one significant snowfall this season. i mean we realistically cant make it april without ONE right...? right? There's been plenty of winters without a significant snowfall (6"+ in a single event). In regards to no measureable snow, it's unlikely that we get completely shut out. It's only January 9th. It would take incredibly bad luck for that to happen but it's possible. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 The late January pattern change doesn't appear to be getting pushed back yet on the models. Does anyone think that the relatively Nino-like attributes of the current pattern make a typical (i.e. bad) Nina February less likely? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 There's been plenty of winters without a significant snowfall (6"+ in a single event). In regards to no measureable snow, it's unlikely that we get completely shut out. It's only January 9th. It would take incredibly bad luck for that to happen but it's possible. Just my hunch this year is that if it happens (pitch a shutout in Central Park), it’s more random luck rather than AGW. Just as in snowier years are more random variables, so “good” luck.Yes, of course AGW impacts it, but it’s likely just random chance.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Euro weeklies brings back winter 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 32 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro weeklies brings back winter Cutter, cold, cutter, cold 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 1 hour ago, North and West said: You want a prediction about the weather? It’s going to be cold, it’s going to be dark, and it’s going to last you for the rest of your lives. . Many on this board might be too young to know that quote. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 13 minutes ago, Rjay said: Cutter, cold, cutter, cold Are you and Allsnow brothers ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Are you and Allsnow brothers ? Why, for looking at what a model is showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 23 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Why, for looking at what a model is showing? Yes for calling me a weenie for what the weeklies are showing. You must be new here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Cutter, cold, cutter, coldSo much for that massive SSW in early February. Nothing to stop a climo Niña month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Just now, snowman19 said: So much for that massive SSW in early February. Nothing to stop a climo Niña month So you think this bad pattern will continue ? LOL 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Just now, snowman19 said: So much for that massive SSW in early February. Nothing to stop a climo Niña month We might not get measurable snow in nyc this winter. I’m openly rooting for it now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 19 minutes ago, Allsnow said: We might not get measurable snow in nyc this winter. I’m openly rooting for it now There's always spring 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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