chuckster2012 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Finally changed over to snow down here. Now they're only calling for 1-3". What a bust after hearing about this "big storm" for a week.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 I’m never wasting my time on this damn forum again! I kid, but damn it this seems to happen more often than not. Happy for the Michigan crew though. Enjoy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 We shall see when it gets to DTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imneversatisfied Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 30 minutes ago, TravisWx said: Started snowing here in Rogers City (35 miles north of Alpena) about 15 minutes ago. Lucky lol Its rain in alpena right now. I'm in the city about a mile or two inland from Lake Huron.Hopefully it changes over quick here. I love snow! Lol Regardless I'll be happy to have a white Christmas after how the past ones have been... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: We shall see when it gets to DTW Massive let down so far. I think I have an inch by eyeballing it The flakes were very large dendrites though, which was super nice and Christmas'y Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Taking bets on a dry slot for the DTW area? Excited for the transition here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 All Hi-Res models are seriously drying things out for SE MI. Could just be me, but lots of wholes. Globals aren't doing this. Curious? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 24 minutes ago, Harry Perry said: This is rather lack-luster so far, and the back end of the snow is approaching quickly. Will be interesting to see what transpires, but the 3-6” by 1am looks to be in dire jeopardy. Some of the stuff from the southwest will wrap around it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Well, congrats Chicago. Somehow we pulled off a white Christmas (barely/maybe?). It's a close one 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 23 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: We shall see when it gets to DTW Rain so far and a bunch of zzzz after 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Measure 1.8" at work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 44 minutes ago, chuckster2012 said: Finally changed over to snow down here. Now they're only calling for 1-3". What a bust after hearing about this "big storm" for a week.. Too many non-wx weenies, aka the rest of the millions wished this away not wanting holiday plans upset. Peeps have no sense of adventure anymore. Only us sickos want to see/experience the wrath of nature, lol 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: Too many non-wx weenies, aka the rest of the millions wished this away not wanting holiday plans upset. Peeps have no sense of adventure anymore. Only us sickos want to see/experience the wrath of nature, lol Exactly we have a masochist mentality 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Clear illustration why the west side of The Mitt is the best side of The Mitt. If you like snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Obviously, this is a full month earlier than '78 was - Strike 1 No moisture-laden S Low dragging high p-watts north with it - Strike 2 Like Christmas Eve 2014 potential, getting its act together too far north for anyone outside LES belts - Strike 3 We're out! Strike 4 if we had another is warm era's Dec fail record. If the LES comes through for NMI and The Yoop, this may exceed new snow totals from that one. Can kinda thank warm era lake temps for a boost on that front. From my task bar feed (still set as KRMY): Sigh 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 21 hours ago, Hoosier said: The hi-res/short range guidance is gradually catching on with quicker deepening farther south. How'd that work out for you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Latest thoughts from IWX: .Update...(Tonight) Issued at 900 PM EST Thu Dec 22 2022 GOES vapor shows intense mid level sw digging through se MO attm with bombing sfc cyclone near KTOL. Swath of heaviest snow had shifted east into wrn OH in association with intense fgen burst along sharp arctic front. Meanwhile post frontal locations were plummeting with nearly all of IL below zero now. Sat/radar trends show lake streamers now into nw zones and enhancing ongoing snow. Of note is additional tilting of upper trough and expect additional enhancement of wrn extent of snow shield from srn IL nwd into nw IN this evening. Thus given more favorable thermal profile with time expect another 1-2" of snow for most outside lake belt likely overnight. This will occur coincidental with further deepening of sfc cyclone toward lake Huron and yield steadily increasing west/nwrly winds with gusts pushing 40kts by daybreak. Thus conditions will deteriorate further overnight. Travel is strongly discouraged as life threatening cold and near blizzard conditions develop. Otherwise prior forecast remains in tip top shape with no changes needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Lol, that was '78 with bombing sfc cyclone near KTOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Latest thoughts from IWX: .Update...(Tonight) Issued at 900 PM EST Thu Dec 22 2022 GOES vapor shows intense mid level sw digging through se MO attm with bombing sfc cyclone near KTOL. Swath of heaviest snow had shifted east into wrn OH in association with intense fgen burst along sharp arctic front. Meanwhile post frontal locations were plummeting with nearly all of IL below zero now. Sat/radar trends show lake streamers now into nw zones and enhancing ongoing snow. Of note is additional tilting of upper trough and expect additional enhancement of wrn extent of snow shield from srn IL nwd into nw IN this evening. Thus given more favorable thermal profile with time expect another 1-2" of snow for most outside lake belt likely overnight. This will occur coincidental with further deepening of sfc cyclone toward lake Huron and yield steadily increasing west/nwrly winds with gusts pushing 40kts by daybreak. Thus conditions will deteriorate further overnight. Travel is strongly discouraged as life threatening cold and near blizzard conditions develop. Otherwise prior forecast remains in tip top shape with no changes needed. Happy for ya guy, ride it over there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Just now, RogueWaves said: Happy for ya guy, ride it over there! Toronto and GTA feel most of the forums pain. Unlikely to do much snow wise but hopefully winds make up for it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 blowing dirt 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomp2mp Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Still a rainstorm here in Waterford. Big ol' cold drops. Gonna wake up to a windy sheet of ice with a fondant of crust flakes 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Despite this thing falling apart all around me, I will see i've never seen my barometer drop like this as I sit directly underneath the bombing cyclone here in Toledo.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, Baum said: blowing dirt Sure is. Occasionally some snow mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Give it three hours and it will be almost something instead of basically nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imneversatisfied Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Rain here for the past hour in Alpena. 15 miles away inland theres already 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 If this results in an inch we'll be lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Nail in the coffin for the NW Ohio/SE Mich peeps...sorry. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Latest radar, 0z model guidance, and surface observations suggest that we are perhaps entering a perceived "lull" in the precipitation along the arctic front, especially across NW OH this evening as the upper-jet energy begins to arrive across the Lower OH Valley which will lead to explosive cyclogenesis late tonight into Friday. This may lead to lower snowfall totals and overall impacts across NW OH. However, we are currently watching an area of precipitation across SW OH that continues to strengthen, noted by multiple surface observations of moderate to heavy snow at times. This area of precipitation will work its way north and east into the region later tonight in conjunction with the strong, arctic front. This will be the area to watch for any significant impacts with regards to snowfall rates and/or blowing snow overnight and into the morning hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Fired up my new toy for the first time (friend moved to FL and I got his snowblower). Pretty nasty conditions out there with a lot of blowing snow. I have a hard time getting good measurements when it's windy so we'll see what nearby areas come in with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 16 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Nail in the coffin for the NW Ohio/SE Mich peeps...sorry. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Latest radar, 0z model guidance, and surface observations suggest that we are perhaps entering a perceived "lull" in the precipitation along the arctic front, especially across NW OH this evening as the upper-jet energy begins to arrive across the Lower OH Valley which will lead to explosive cyclogenesis late tonight into Friday. This may lead to lower snowfall totals and overall impacts across NW OH. However, we are currently watching an area of precipitation across SW OH that continues to strengthen, noted by multiple surface observations of moderate to heavy snow at times. This area of precipitation will work its way north and east into the region later tonight in conjunction with the strong, arctic front. This will be the area to watch for any significant impacts with regards to snowfall rates and/or blowing snow overnight and into the morning hours. yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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