Hoosier Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 00z NAM deepens more quickly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 22, 2022 Author Share Posted December 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Fwiw, not a single 21z SREF member is below 5" here. I'll take it. Easy toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Call looking $$$ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: Easy toss. God amongst models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Temps are going to be around 10 when the snow starts falling here tonight34 in MKE. Warm front torching. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Jesus Steve. I’ll take Michigan winters pretty much over any other location in the Midwest. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, hardypalmguy said: 34 in MKE. Warm front torching. it's like you're personally willing that front northward with your palms 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 22, 2022 Author Share Posted December 22, 2022 1 minute ago, madwx said: it's like your personally willing that front northward with your palms shriveled, frozen palms in another day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 00z NAM looks to be an upgrade especially for s MI. The low stays on the Michigan side of L Huron through the deepening process. I don't know if it does any good for Chicago, but it may mean that some forecast amounts for MI are low. I think this evolution is going to create sustained S+ bands across much of lower MI and amounts of 20-25 inches could occur in a few places. Will go for 22.5" at GRR, 15.0" LAN, 6.0" DTW, 12.5" MBS and 17.5" APN, possibly 18-25" TVC and MKG over the full duration of the storm. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 it's like you're personally willing that front northward with your palmsI have magic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 9 minutes ago, Hoosier said: 00z NAM deepens more quickly. HRRR and 3k too. Granted, we’re not talking extreme changes, but a little improvement is very appreciated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 10 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Easy toss. As tossworthy as your final call for ORD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Morning Euro had a Wind Bomb for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: 00z NAM looks to be an upgrade especially for s MI. The low stays on the Michigan side of L Huron through the deepening process. I don't know if it does any good for Chicago, but it may mean that some forecast amounts for MI are low. I think this evolution is going to create sustained S+ bands across much of lower MI and amounts of 20-25 inches could occur in a few places. Will go for 22.5" at GRR, 15.0" LAN, 6.0" DTW, 12.5" MBS and 17.5" APN, possibly 18-25" TVC and MKG over the full duration of the storm. Gonna need another hand for those rare 12” events in Lansing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cartier God Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 got thursday and friday off work, wish i could stay in lansing for the event but we’ll see how detroit fares. i’d be happy to get 6” out of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 22, 2022 Author Share Posted December 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: As tossworthy as your final call for ORD? as someone else would say, call looking $$$. guess who will be there/here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Just now, mimillman said: Gonna need another hand for those rare 12” events in Lansing Easy under on Lansing. Probably mix there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Just now, Chicago WX said: HRRR and 3k too. Granted, we’re not talking extreme changes, but a little improvement is very appreciated. Right. It matters more for anybody on the fringes of the better snows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 18 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Lmao. Actually we ARE talking about the start to this winter. That's exactly what was said to the new york city person who moved to Port huron. "Sorry for the slow start". Then suddenly we segway OT. There's a LOT more to weather than a big dog. And back to the original comment. Columbus hasn't had a 6"+ storm since 2015. Detroit has had about a dozen. We are about to get our 3rd Christmas snowstorm since 2017. Poor us. Lolol we gotta change your name to turdpolisherfreak. 2 -3 inches isn't a snowstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 6 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: you're out in denver now, eh? should connect with @Thundersnow12. he's at kden. Yep, and now I only know how to forecast NW flow jet bands and upslope. 5 hours ago, Thundersnow12 said: Pass But now who will tell me my TAFs are bad? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 I like the 3-6” call for LOT CWA. I think biggest congrats are in order for the GRR crew. It is rare to see your office, who routinely sounds grumpier than me in their AFDs, hype up an event. And it seems warranted. Also good to see Ohio get it on the action given they’ve ACTUALLY had bad luck past few winters 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 The wheels are really falling off now!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 10 minutes ago, dmc76 said: Jesus Steve. I’ll take Michigan winters pretty much over any other location in the Midwest. Better off taking the lions over our winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: as someone else would say, call looking $$$. guess who will be there/here. Ah, now it all makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: I like the 3-6” call for LOT CWA. I think biggest congrats are in order for the GRR crew. It is rare to see your office, who routinely sounds grumpier than me in their AFDs, hype up an event. And it seems warranted. Also good to see Ohio get it on the action given they’ve ACTUALLY had bad luck past few winters We still have the triple threat of unforecasted warm tongue, sleet with surface temps of 12 degrees, and a fat 50 mile wide dry slot that are inevitable and Columbus gets them with every storm. This is why CMH hasn't measured >/= 6" from a single event since 2015. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Just now, Powerball said: The wheels are really falling off now!!! We're they ever on with this threat? Pretty pointless starting a thread more than 72 hrs out nowadays. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 22, 2022 Author Share Posted December 22, 2022 Just now, Stevo6899 said: We're they ever on with this threat? Pretty pointless starting a thread more than 72 hrs out nowadays. a thread in which you participated in. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 22, 2022 Author Share Posted December 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, AppsRunner said: Yep, and now I only know how to forecast NW flow jet bands and upslope. But now who will tell me my TAFs are bad? you could have transferred to LOT, and i could have provided that kind of harassment. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Everyone seems cranky in here. 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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