A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 pre-xmas cad storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Weenies should take a peak at the latest 15Z SREF for hope. Lots of sub 980 members while in Northern Indiana still lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: pre-xmas cad storm brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Not the greatest confidence but I'd go about 4-5" imby at this point. I feel like that is sort of a middle ground between scenarios that are worse and scenarios that are better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 9 minutes ago, Chicago916 said: Weenies should take a peak at the latest 15Z SREF for hope. Lots of sub 980 members while in Northern Indiana still lol I had faith in the SREF before but after this 12z suite it’s gone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Quick, someone post the new SREF 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 19 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Just some counterbalance to the negative nellying. It’s unreal. Posters just looking for the worst model run and saying “this is the one that’s true! Cancel everything” 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 OT but pretty cool snow squall in the Rapid City, SD area right now. Crazy reports. To this day one of the most memorable weather events I’ve experienced in Chicago was the snow squall in January 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 minute ago, King James said: It’s unreal. Posters just looking for the worst model run and saying “this is the one that’s true! Cancel everything” I get the downing to an extent, but it has become a bit excessive in some instances. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 My first Blizzard Warning in almost exactly 10 years. Excuse me while I weenie. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 minute ago, sbnwx85 said: My first Blizzard Warning in almost exactly 10 years. Excuse me while I weenie. Enjoy your storm! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 MKX has been forced to go with the dreaded "Winter storm watch to WWA" about-face for the actual snowfall portion of this event in their CWA, tonight through tomorrow. They mention still being concerned about potential for ground blizzard conditions later tomorrow into Friday but have held off the blizzard warning, even though they are up to our west in Iowa. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 8 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: My first Blizzard Warning in almost exactly 10 years. Excuse me while I weenie. I’m about 100 miles to your SW surrounded by cornfields. Will by following your updates to see how far off I ended up from the real goods 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 I’m about 100 miles to your SW surrounded by cornfields. Will by following your updates to see how far off I ended up from the real goods There's nothing between me and Denver except a barbed wire fence, and it fell down ten years ago. I hate wind.Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 hour ago, hardypalmguy said: florida stole your moisture. It's in the basement at Mar-a-Lago in a box marked "classified." 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Kaner88 said: Third straight run of outright halving QPF in Chicago from last night's 0z Euro... from 1.2" to 0.15" in just 36 hours. Not a great performance by model guidance across the board with this storm. Who broke the major global models (esp. the EURO) and when, why and how? They're getting worse with each "upgrade." 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Who broke the major global models (esp. the EURO) and when, why and how? They're getting worse with each "upgrade." I think it was @Stebowho joked last winter that the models are digesting too much data these days and even a “bird fart” is changing the outcome. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Who broke the major global models (esp. the EURO) and when, why and how? They're getting worse with each "upgrade." “A long, long, time ago, I can still remember when the Euro, used to make me smile. And I knew if it had its chance, it could make the forum dance. And maybe we’d be happy, for a while.” 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Subtle change, but the 18z RAP is a tad west with everything compared to the 15z run. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 got it just where we want it 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Have a feeling we're about to get "that" NAM run for Chicago. Based on the SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chicago916 said: Have a feeling we're about to get "that" NAM run for Chicago. Based on the SREF. SREF plume for SBN just went up to 20 inches by Saturday morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chicago916 said: Have a feeling we're about to get "that" NAM run for Chicago. Based on the SREF. Probably. I’ll bite, I’m riding the NAM from hour 78 to it’s death. Let’s go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Ughh.. I really wish I could have back the time I spent on this storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Hrrr looks a bit wetter/slower with the front… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 49 minutes ago, AppsRunner said: Quick, someone post the new SREF Idk why but it looks like it’s the ARW members vs the NMB members, where the former is much more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, mimillman said: Idk why but it looks like it’s the ARW members vs the NMB members, where the former is much more amped. That's not particularly surprising. The ARW cores have that tendency vs NMM. We see it a lot in Colorado. I wouldn't put much faith into it anyways since it's the SREF but it sure is fun to look at sometimes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 SREF or die 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Harry Perry said: SREF or die Damn, makes me wanna view your plumes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, Harry Perry said: SREF or die lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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