Dec 27th Miller B nor’easter threat

[George001]

I know the models aren’t showing hits yet, but the 500s tell a different story. This look is REALLY close to something big for the shortwave diving down for the 27th threat after the big cutter. The western ridge axis is still quite far west, but it’s not offshore anymore. The NAO isn’t super negative but it is still negative which argues against a progressive solution (why I’m not buying the wave spacing issues, I’m thinking the northern energy will be much slower to enter the country). If that ridge pokes up a bit more and links up with the decaying block, I bet we will start seeing big solutions on the models. It’s really not far from doing so, it only needs a couple minor adjustments. This is a legitimate big dog Miller B nor’easter threat. That northern stream energy is quite powerful, and the teleconnections are in a transitory state. 

[NorEastermass128]

This thread…

[George001]

Canadian has the storm a couple days later

[MJO812]

Yep gfs and cmc robust 

[SnoSki14]

And you jinxed it

[Snowcrazed71]

Are there any maps showing this? 

I heard this from another weather forum as well.

[Torch Tiger]

gfs ensembles like the 29th? ish  more.  A signal has been there, we'll see. 

[UnitedWx]

Too early... just use the December thread for now

[512high]

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

gfs ensembles like the 29th? ish  more.  A signal has been there, we'll see. 

You are correct, I think Scott  and Tip mentioned that time frame give or take, however, I thought after XMAS it was mild again going into New Years.

[Baroclinic Zone]

[Damage In Tolland]

What in the sam hell is this?

[MJO812]

We track next week

[CoastalWx]

Beer?

[dendrite]

lol

[ROOSTA]

OH NO. 
No surprise a D10 storm. There is always a DAY 10 storm. 
Let the chaos settle, get it to D5 and maybe thread-it. 

[UnitedWx]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Beer?

More like MDMA

[EastonSN+]

Too far off the coast but 500 mile shifts are nothing these days.

[Cold Miser]

At least we have this type of comedy to help ease the pain of the next few weeks.

...Keep 'em coming, George.  I like your style.  Don't let anyone try and bring you down.

[Go Kart Mozart]

What, the Blizzard tag isn't appropriate?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Is George on psychedelics 

[MJO812]

Cmc trying to cook up something for next week

[Spanks45]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc trying to cook up something for next week

Not being a weenie, but right about now would be the time that something does sneak up in the mid range while we are all writing the end of winter novels....

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

Not being a weenie, but right about now would be the time that something does sneak up in the mid range while we are all writing the end of winter novels....

With the tellies going the other way , there is usually a storm.

[Hazey]

The kid might score and if he does, official thread starter for the remainder of winter.

[UnitedWx]

13 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc trying to cook up something for next week

What else is new. But yeah.. i guess it's all we got for a while

[dryslot]

I'm starting to compile at list of who SHOULD NOT be allowed to start threads and time frames.

[ORH_wxman]

Both GGEM and GFS kind of interesting.

[WinterWolf]

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Both GGEM and GFS kind of interesting.

I thought we were told to close the shades for at least two weeks….

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

I thought we were told to close the shades for at least two weeks….

"Kind of" to me entails either nuisance crap, or slim odds of something significant. Shades still shut...

[George001]

16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I thought we were told to close the shades for at least two weeks….

I get the frustration, I’m frustrated too. It sucks that Fridays storm is going to cut, but it is what it is. We got a lot of posters having big melts, myself included. There’s nothing wrong with expressing frustration, but there’s still 3 and a half months of winter left! Is this threat a slam dunk? No, but it’s a legitimate threat with a high ceiling. We track, then yes, it looks like a mild stretch is coming. However, we can get big snows in bad patterns especially in January, so the shades remain open.