aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Color me stupid but i have a feeling there are some changes to this thing still happening. Not necessarily saying anything positive for us but this mornings models seem to be a little different. Looks like Chicago is the new Mid Atlantic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 I have yet to see one of the short range models show snow behind the front. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I have yet to see one of the short range models shownsnow behind the front. That's because they don't have the resolution to see it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Color me stupid but i have a feeling there are some changes to this thing still happening. Not necessarily saying anything positive for us but this mornings models seem to be a little different. Looks like Chicago is the new Mid Atlantic The initial slug does look to be improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, mattie g said: That's because they don't have the resolution to see it. True, true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 What did the 6z euro show behind the front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 What did the 6z euro show behind the front?Nothing. Just colder than normal. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I have yet to see one of the short range models show snow behind the front. RGEM and NAM want nothing to do with it unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, CentralVaNATS said: Nothing. Just colder than normal. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: RGEM and NAM want nothing to do with it unfortunately. I could easily be wrong but I think that is the most likely outcome. I’d feel better if the euro started to show it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I could easily be wrong but I think that is the most likely outcome. I’d feel better if the euro started to show it. NAM at 72 shows some non accumulating thundersnow at IAD lol 0.09 0.04 534 533 -5.5 -17.1 998 100 TSSN 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: lol Pummeled 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 It's the Tony Pann coastal low!!! 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 The only real hope is on the front end for NW crew it looks like. Except CAPE’s local bullseye on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Is the 12z GFS broken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FamouslyHot Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 12z GFS is running 30 minutes late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 12z RGEM looks like it has a little snow for the metros after the front Friday. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z RGEM looks like it has a little snow for the metros after the front Friday. 850/925 mb winds would imply some kind of low topped squall line Friday midday, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 22 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: The only real hope is on the front end for NW crew it looks like. Except CAPE’s local bullseye on the backside. not sure i agree totally with this although there will be a dead zone in the middle somewhere as precip shuts off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 GFS gets a panel of snow for the initial wave into the WV-MD panhandle/western NOVA areas (thursday first wave. changes to rain for everyone) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: GFS gets a panel of snow for the initial wave into the WV-MD panhandle/western NOVA areas (thursday first wave. changes to rain for everyone) whew doggy that's alot of dry in between us and Illinois...wonder if those folks were expecting a big storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Gfs is a little faster with the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 GFS still saying snow for almost everyone after the arctic front 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFS still saying snow for almost everyone after the arctic front Would imply at least snow showers. Pretty impressive pressure falls too! Would imply some really windy conditions Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFS still saying snow for almost everyone after the arctic front Except Ji 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Not to beat a dead horse but those temp drops are insane. MBY - 45 at 7am, 14 at noon, single digits by 5pm with winds gusting 40+. Just need a roof blizzard to go along with it.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Would imply at least snow showers. Pretty impressive pressure falls too! Would imply some really windy conditions Friday. My goodness!! This run has northern MD in the low 50's at 7 a.m. and 15 degrees at 1 p.m. with snow falling. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFS still saying snow for almost everyone after the arctic front GFS is rather nuts...takes the main storm at the OH/MI border from 991mb at 06z Friday, to sub 960 mb in Quebec at 00z Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Not to beat a dead horse but those temp drops are insane. MBY - 45 at 7am, 14 at noon, single digits by 5pm with winds gusting 40+. Just need a roof blizzard to go along with it.... Actually…maybe yes on a -20F day if GFS is right on here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Actually…maybe yes on a -20F day if GFS is right on here Add some debris lake effect clouds and it's entirely possible BWI and IAD get a -20 depature day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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