CAPE Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said: Down to 33 now, looks like it is sticking near 404 between wye mills and denton Way more impressive than I thought it would be. Too bad the ground is sopping wet and the temps didn't crash quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: Way more impressive than I thought it would be. Too bad the ground is sopping wet and the temps didn't crash quicker. Hope you get an inch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 None of the meso models had this much sun today. I suspect this is helping mix down the winds more effectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, high risk said: The models have done a lot of aspects of this frontal passage well, but one struggle has been how quickly the temps drop behind the front, and that had huge implications for potential for the flash freeze. Even all of the 12Z models today show me in the low 20s by 11AM, but it's still 28 here. If you look at HRRR trends, it took a long time to catch on to the idea that the big drop would be delayed. Fully agree, and it is a very common occurrence around here. That said, there was so much rain that the ground is still “leaking”. I think at least the sidewalks will get real dicey once we get to 4-5pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 lol, it went from 47 to 33 here in the last 25mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Sun out, really clear blue skies to the west, temp down to 26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 31 and still coming down but brightening up. First flakes, flizzard, and coating. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Down to 16 degrees here and continuing to drop. Gusts over 40mph. Sunny. NW of Staunton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 LOL it's sunny and snowing, really showing up when looking south. Need to look for a rainbow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 40 at 9:30 30 at 11:30 ineffective sunshine watch in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Three states now with over 100,000 customers without power: NC, VA, TN 11 more states with over 50,000 customers without power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 14 minutes ago, high risk said: The models have done a lot of aspects of this frontal passage well, but one struggle has been how quickly the temps drop behind the front, and that had huge implications for potential for the flash freeze. Even all of the 12Z models today show me in the low 20s by 11AM, but it's still 28 here. If you look at HRRR trends, it took a long time to catch on to the idea that the big drop would be delayed. I'm down in the mid 20's but the flash freeze ain't happening. The sun has broken out and between that, the warm ground temps ahead of the front and all of the wind helping to dry things out, it's a no-go. I don't think I've ever seen a single flash freeze in my lifetime. Can't say that I mind. It's really not my thing. I was always just interested in the snow potential with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 14 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Building collapse in Wesminster at the Verizon store on Baltimore Blvd. Fire department confirming significant structural damage from wind. Carroll Fire Wire Command holding with two and one placing the ATR rescue in service Command advising they have a large portion of the building on top of a car significant damage to the building Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhatStorm Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 2 degrees, gust of 42, light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 The low visibility for a time was pretty impressive. The pond is covered to keep it from filling with leaves lol. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 1 hour ago, gymengineer said: 92,000+ customers without power in VA now and rapidly climbing. Curious which source you use? From the DOM web site, they currently have 77,700+ customers out. Albeit DOM does not provide service to all of VA. They had about 2K out as of 0800. For those who don't have it already, here's the link to the DOM outage map https://outagemap.dominionenergy.com/external/default.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 BGE showing 30K customer without power and rising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, high risk said: The models have done a lot of aspects of this frontal passage well, but one struggle has been how quickly the temps drop behind the front, and that had huge implications for potential for the flash freeze. Even all of the 12Z models today show me in the low 20s by 11AM, but it's still 28 here. If you look at HRRR trends, it took a long time to catch on to the idea that the big drop would be delayed. This is pretty close to what the models were splitting out for Garrett yesterday for this time. Ignore the wind readings as anemometer is broken. Legit upslope here, winter doesn’t get much deeper than this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 30.6, coating of snow now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, lpaschall said: Carroll Fire Wire Command holding with two and one placing the ATR rescue in service Command advising they have a large portion of the building on top of a car significant damage to the building 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Down to 18 here with winds at 30 and gusts to 50. Crazy outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, RDM said: Curious which source you use? From the DOM web site, they currently have 77,700+ customers out. Albeit DOM does not provide service to all of VA. They had about 2K out as of 0800. For those who don't have it already, here's the link to the DOM outage map https://outagemap.dominionenergy.com/external/default.html A lot of the media outlets post this one:https://poweroutage.us/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 11 minutes ago, RDM said: Curious which source you use? From the DOM web site, they currently have 77,700+ customers out. Albeit DOM does not provide service to all of VA. They had about 2K out as of 0800. For those who don't have it already, here's the link to the DOM outage map https://outagemap.dominionenergy.com/external/default.html https://poweroutage.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, RIC_WX said: This is pretty close to what the models were splitting out for Garrett yesterday for this time. Ignore the wind readings as anemometer is broken. Legit upslope here, winter doesn’t get much deeper than this. I should have clarified that the model struggles with the temperature drop were east of the mountains.... which makes sense. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, lpaschall said: How does this pass code? That's like a chimney, does not appear to have any structural support at all. It's all for looks but that surface area is like a sail. A 70mph gust is 20psf, for example. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 18 minutes ago, lpaschall said: BGE showing 30K customer without power and rising 30,001 now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Power back on here and no water in the basement. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 13 minutes ago, high risk said: I should have clarified that the model struggles with the temperature drop were east of the mountains.... which makes sense. Every model in history has overestimated the speed of cold air going through the mountains. It's just something that has to be manually corrected for. Not sure why they can't get those physics right. But overall this front seems to have been well-modeled from range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 4 hours ago, George BM said: Interested in what precip type @Round Hill WX and @midatlanticweather are getting with this line. I had a couple too many beers last night and slept right thru the line. Haha. Woke up to the wind just after it passed. We lost power for about 2 hours but back on now. Down to 19. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Check out the Mr. Pizza Cam in Buffalo... wow! https://buffalowebcam.com/live-webcams/buffalo-ny-elmwood-ave-mr-pizza 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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