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December 22-23, 2022: Warm Rain to Arctic Chill


WxUSAF
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7 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Leaving at 5am tomorrow morning to get a jump on the weather.  Hoping to get the tent up before the cold air slams through which looks to be around 11am-12pm.  WSW says wind chills of -35F, it's gonna be an epic campout.  One of our game cams transmitted a pic this morning that looked like maybe 4" on the ground already.  We're going to try for three nights.  Really it depends on how well the dog can handle it.  

You're a very brave man. Please put me in your will before you pitch your tent. 

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7 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Leaving at 5am tomorrow morning to get a jump on the weather.  Hoping to get the tent up before the cold air slams through which looks to be around 11am-12pm.  WSW says wind chills of -35F, it's gonna be an epic campout.  One of our game cams transmitted a pic this morning that looked like maybe 4" on the ground already.  We're going to try for three nights.  Really it depends on how well the dog can handle it.  

Have you informed your next of kin?  Seriously….

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8 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said:

You’re CAMPING in this weather? Wow.

To be fair we have about $10k worth of extreme cold weather mountaineering equipment.  Descended mount rainier at -20F ambient with thunder snow and lightning BELOW us on the way down.  This is downright luxury compared to that lol.  Unlike mountaineering...in this case if it gets too gnarly we can just get in the truck and drive home.  The current non-mountaineering benchmark we had was 4 days/3 nights snowshoe backpacking at the Dolly Sods where the temp never got above zero the entire trip.  This ain't our first rodeo.  

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5 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

What? Yes it is. 95% of the time, our snowstorm is their snowstorm and vice versa and our temps are within a couple degrees of one another. Sometimes, they partially hit on Miller B's that whiff us because they develop too late but it's essentially the same. Even NYC is pretty similar outside of the Miller B's or the rare west to east storm that moves north of us but south of them and they get some snow. New England is a different story.

PHL is 50 miles north of Baltimore and that can make a difference in snowstorms. I would say it's similar, yeah, but not the same. The argument is largely semantic though, arguably no two places have the same climate. I just can't stand to say that they are the same when they get snowstorms that we don't. 

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2 minutes ago, IronTy said:

To be fair we have about $10k worth of extreme cold weather mountaineering equipment.  Descended mount rainier at -20F ambient with thunder snow and lightning BELOW us on the way down.  This is downright luxury compared to that lol.  Unlike mountaineering...in this case if it gets too gnarly we can just get in the truck and drive home.  The current non-mountaineering benchmark we had was 4 days/3 nights snowshoe backpacking at the Dolly Sods where the temp never got above zero the entire trip.  This ain't our first rodeo.  

Awesome! Should be a blast then. Have fun!

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52 minutes ago, 87storms said:

Cold stuff incoming tomorrow.  Below 0 temps all throughout the Plains and into the Midwest behind the front.

Yea that front is legit. It's rare to experience temp drops like this east of the Mississippi so it's going to be neat to see. Hopefully we can mange an inch of snow with this flip. Might help us really bottom out.

26 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Leaving at 5am tomorrow morning to get a jump on the weather.  Hoping to get the tent up before the cold air slams through which looks to be around 11am-12pm.  WSW says wind chills of -35F, it's gonna be an epic campout.  One of our game cams transmitted a pic this morning that looked like maybe 4" on the ground already.  We're going to try for three nights.  Really it depends on how well the dog can handle it.  

That's seriously amazing. That's some John Muir level of outdoorsmanship. 

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4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Yea that front is legit. It's rare to experience temp drops like this east of the Mississippi so it's going to be neat to see. Hopefully we can mange an inch of snow with this flip. Might help us really bottom out.

That's seriously amazing. That's some John Muir level of outdoorsmanship. 

Benson has his long underwear ready too.  

Screenshot_20221222-124731_copy_540x1170.png

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7 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said:

from the last few runs of HRRR, the trends i'm seeing are more robust backend precip. new hrrr at the top, old hrrr at the bottom1671789600-OvYQan1O6ms.png1671789600-UThJeTkrsNE.png

That likely diminshes a bit though as it comes east of the mountains and the low is continuing to pull way N of us. The wildcard for sure though as far as flash freeze is how much precipitation does occur along and with this front

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12 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

That likely diminshes a bit though as it comes east of the mountains and the low is continuing to pull way N of us. The wildcard for sure though as far as flash freeze is how much precipitation does occur along and with this front

yeah it definitely will diminish a bit, but the parameters around our area support a squall. whether that be rain or snow, we'll see but models have been pointing out a pretty hefty line of rain and snow around here and checking soundings, some of the soundings support thundersnow around here

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1 hour ago, IronTy said:

Leaving at 5am tomorrow morning to get a jump on the weather.  Hoping to get the tent up before the cold air slams through which looks to be around 11am-12pm.  WSW says wind chills of -35F, it's gonna be an epic campout.  One of our game cams transmitted a pic this morning that looked like maybe 4" on the ground already.  We're going to try for three nights.  Really it depends on how well the dog can handle it.  

Pretty hardcore, man.  Enjoy !  I have camped in -25°F temps, but the wind you’ll be dealing with is beyond my experience.

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Just now, H2O said:

Sorry.  I will let the guy from PHL tell me how it impacts him up there so I know what to expect here.

It's no different from someone posting from Deep Creek or West Virginia, that said I have no problem with anyone posting in good faith from other sub forums. As long as they post respectfully and add to the conversation then what is the matter if they live right outside our specific sub forum boundaries? 

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Yikes... a little windy out west 

 

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC

1250 PM EST Thu Dec 22 2022

 

MDZ001-501-502-VAZ503-504-WVZ501>506-230200-

/O.CON.KLWX.HW.W.0003.221223T0900Z-221224T1100Z/

Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-

Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Western Grant-Eastern Grant-

Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-

Eastern Pendleton-

Including the cities of Mountain Lake Park, Oakland, Grantsville,

Frostburg, Cumberland, Hightown, Monterey, Bayard, Mount Storm,

Petersburg, Elk Garden, Antioch, Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville,

Russelldale, Headsville, Fort Ashby, Riverton, Brandywine,

Franklin, Oak Flat, Ruddle, and Sugar Grove

1250 PM EST Thu Dec 22 2022

 

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM

EST SATURDAY...

 

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph.

 

* WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, western Virginia and

  eastern West Virginia.

 

* WHEN...From 4 AM Friday to 6 AM EST Saturday.

 

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.

  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be

  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Bitterly cold wind chills will be ongoing

  during the time of this high wind event. It is essential to

  make preparations now for extreme cold conditions with the

  potential for loss of power.

 

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