CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yesterday you ripped us for the same comment lol. ”relax, there’s a storm signal. Weenies gon wild.” I'm just stating what it shows lol. I'm not saying to expect it. Lock in the Canadian though. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: there was a pretty dramatic improvement in the confluence ahead of the storm, but i’m sorry that you’re too dense to notice So many trolls on this forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 CMC is an absolute crusher. also looks good with antecedent confluence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Once metfan begins to post SLP millibars that's when the real excitement begins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Cmc would be good for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Better trends on the op so far. Let's see what the ensembles show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: there was a pretty dramatic improvement in the confluence ahead of the storm, but i’m sorry that you’re too dense to notice So many times I wanted to comment and react to his posts ( and I have before ), but I've stopped doing that. All the guy cares about is trying to make other people feel bad. He is like that bully who loves to break people down to mask is own unhappiness. It just goes to show you what kind of life he's is living. Let him bask in his own sunshine/darkness. Can't fix that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 7 minutes ago, qg_omega said: You are amazing You wasted one of your 5 posts on that? You hate to see it. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 GFS has a good amount of nrn stream energy, but confluence kicks out quick. Canadian keeps the confluence around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Winter is let back in the house for a night if it wants to cosplay the 12z Canadian. “You like it, eh” ”Yes, yes I do” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS has a good amount of nrn stream energy, but confluence kicks out quick. Canadian keeps the confluence around. GFS also digs the trough into Florida. Where's the southeast ridge all the experts were telling me was there when we need? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Has the Canuck ever delivered? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, DJln491 said: Has the Canuck ever delivered? Tried in 2011, but lost to the Bruins in 7-games 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS also digs the trough into Florida. Where's the southeast ridge all the experts were telling me was there when we need? It's there at 00z/13 but gone 12z/13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Strong high to the north on both gfs and Canadian. Not gonna be warm with that in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Tried in 2011, but lost to the Bruins in 7-games I walked right into that one. Great series btw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 I usually don't comment at this lead time, but the day 7/8 event is (currently) terrible odds for big snows outside Maine and far interior of NNE. Even with an early occlusion and favorable H5 low track (south of New England) and 1040 mb high in QC, end up with a big rainer for most. That's your CLEAR warning. You've basically seen the best result (output) of this setup for snow, and the ultimate outcome is still WARM. The confluence is +NAO based and therefore fleeting. Consistent red flags on this. So, if things tilt more progressive -- then what? An end to end soaker. Happy tracking. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 High pressure ... epic storm. No high pressure ... persistence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Tried in 2011, but lost to the Bruins in 7-games Doesn't matter who it is at the moment as the whole league is basically losing to them except one canuck team from ottawa............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Doesn't matter who it is at the moment as the whole league is basically losing to them except one canuck team from ottawa............. Always that one team Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 The comments being mentioned is verbatim of what these OP model runs are showing and not an outcome of what the results may be, So take them fwtw, A strong signal is there for a SECS, We will see if we get cooperation as we get closer sometime next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 10 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I usually don't comment at this lead time, but the day 7/8 event is (currently) terrible odds for big snows outside Maine and far interior of NNE. Even with a tucked solution and 1040 mb high in QC, end up with a big rainer for most. That's your CLEAR warning. You've basically seen the best result (output) of this setup for snow, and the ultimate outcome is still WARM. The confluence is +NAO based and therefore fleeting. Consistent red flags on this. So, if things tilt more progressive -- then what? An end to end soaker. Happy tracking. Even with tucked solution it rains? Most don’t want tucked storms anytime, usually that means mix or rain for SNE or ENE. The threat is thread the needle for everyone from the Mid-Atlantic to Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Just now, weatherwiz said: Always that one team The train rolls on, I think they'll sweep on this west swing too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Even with tucked solution it rains? Most don’t want tucked storms anytime, usually that means mix or rain for SNE or ENE. The threat is thread the needle for everyone from the Mid-Atlantic to Maine. It would be nice just to see snow fall and accumulate in January of all months. But one thing that seems certain, 1 inch or 1 ft, it all melts pretty quickly with the warmup that follows. Hopefully shuffling the deck for the second half of January.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Even with tucked solution it rains? Most don’t want tucked storms anytime, usually that means mix or rain for SNE or ENE. The threat is thread the needle for everyone from the Mid-Atlantic to Maine. You're right that it is confusing the way I wrote that. I edited it. But what I meant was a track with an early H5 occlusion that slides south of New England (generally favorable to snow) still ends up WARM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Even with tucked solution it rains? Most don’t want tucked storms anytime, usually that means mix or rain for SNE or ENE. The threat is thread the needle for everyone from the Mid-Atlantic to Maine. You know the old saying…”better to keep one’s mouth shut, and be thought a dummy, than open it and remove all doubt!” That applies to some here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 CMC is fun. I'd take support from the CMC over the GFS at this lead honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 hours ago, NW_of_GYX said: They're going to lose at least a month of their riding season the way it looks right now. I don't even know why the local clubs bother down here anymore. They are constantly losing access, putting in hours and hours of work for riding seasons that are lasting a month at best. The last club meeting I went to was 90% gray hair. The sport is dying down here. Still some hope for next weekend but no end in sight to AN temps. 2 hours ago, dryslot said: There's not many young people willing to join and contribute their time as they prefer riding off trail which is also pissing off land owners and they are closing off more trail access because of them, We had a 10 day period locally here for riding last year, I doubt we even see any this year, But the NW area where i do ride is not operational right now either but are out cleaning up the storm damage from 10 days ago. I honestly have no idea how Windham, Gray, Winterport, etc can justify having a snowmobile club anymore when like you guys said it barley lasts 3 weeks a season. We only groom on average 10 weeks and looks like it is gonna be more like 7 this year north of the 45. Did manage 60 miles prior to the New Years rain to try out the Lynx, 3rd worst start to the season for me since 2009. Hopefully it turns around, might try to get a few more miles tomorrow after our 4-6 inches yesterday, but at least I got my Quebec season pass worst case, but outside of Mt Valin there is hardly any riding up there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, MuddyWx said: CMC is fun. I'd take support from the CMC over the GFS at this lead honestly Wait wait…Pope says no matter what it’s rain..from beginning to end. But then again it’s the Pope…so take it with a grain of salt at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Man we just can’t be looking at another rainer to Mainer …can we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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