Brian5671 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nothing like a multi day cutoff along the BM in mid Jan showering the region with…showers. Zero arctic cold air anywhere. Theme of the season outside of the xmas outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 28 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I start thinking like the rest of you, I won't be able to forecast. @brooklynwx99--a 24 yr old amateur flexin' his new red tag with model graphics we all can see--has been leading you all off a bridge. But like minded as you are, happily off you go. Aren't you like more than twice his age? How's you SE ridge doing? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Into Canada no less Speaking of Canada…the cmc would probably just end winter. All hope down dee fukin drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The same issues remain though, I think people are whistling past the graveyard yet again. The antecedent airmass is garbage and a lot of solutions, even ones that are well offshore, are showing a warm solution. Marine puke is once again going to be a huge problem; regardless of track. I would definitely cancel your trip to NNE. What days are you going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: climate be changing....might as well get used to it at this point. We will still get our record blizzard in the sea of warmth, but the sea of warmth for the most part is here to stay Nope! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 9 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Can see why no one mentioned the models...everything for the 14th looks worse, which is all I, and most, care about. Not that it matters right now, but outta work with covid and was hoping for late night model cinema. Hope it’s a quick and easy covid course for you, Ray! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 So is the elephant in the room the airmass Just sucks Even for mid January due to the pacific pattern unrelenting Cali trough Or nah . I.E are we threading the needle in SNE with temps again for 14’th or not really as I haven’t paid much attention to this as it’s been 10+ days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Mess with the Pope at your own peril... 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I would definitely cancel your trip to NNE. What days are you going? 19-22 North Conway. It’s too late to cancel now, so we are going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The same issues remain though, I think people are whistling past the graveyard yet again. The antecedent airmass is garbage and a lot of solutions, even ones that are well offshore, are showing a warm solution. Marine puke is once again going to be a huge problem; regardless of track. Cancel your trip..it’s over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 29 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: No way you have a degree 1 1 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Speaking of Canada…the cmc would probably just end winter. All hope down dee fukin drain. Whiff whiff, massive cutter with rains to Canada. Not sure you could end a winter that never got going though. Not even kidding, I’m not sure what some people are seeing in the long range. This has the classic feel of something that’s constantly 2-3 weeks away. No cold air to be found 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 You guys are brutal. It is an op run. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: You guys are brutal. It is an op run. there's no use. the panic has ensued 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Ya'll are gonna drive yourself nuts looking at OP runs 200 hours out....Euro has like -20C 850 temps over SNE at 200 hours last night and the entire system gets shoved out to sea. If the storm gets completely cut off from the rest of the polar jet, then yeah, you're gonna have a springtime look to it but I'd probably wait until we're a little closer to start your whine and cheese party all over again 5 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: You guys are brutal. It is an op run. Scott , I have paid zero attention to this do we have a vague idea of the airmass will be good , poor (more up and in) as just get under 10 days out edit : nevermind will just answered it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Quick question though….what did the OP runs show 8 days ago, for the ones that may get 2-5” tomorrow? Hmmmm? TFlizz do you have an answer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The same issues remain though, I think people are whistling past the graveyard yet again. The antecedent airmass is garbage and a lot of solutions, even ones that are well offshore, are showing a warm solution. Marine puke is once again going to be a huge problem; regardless of track. It’s January in New England, we don’t need frigid temps to snow. OP runs are useless this far out, the important thing is the ensembles have a signal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Whiff whiff, massive cutter with rains to Canada. Not sure you could end a winter that never got going though. Not even kidding, I’m not sure what some people are seeing in the long range. This has the classic feel of something that’s constantly 2-3 weeks away. No cold air to be found You’re F’n neurotic…wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 The worst global model in the NHEM has rain in nine days. It's over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Scott , I have paid zero attention to this do we have a vague idea of the airmass will be good , poor (more up and in) as just get under 10 days out I think Will answered that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: there's no use. the panic has ensued My god it’s sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I think Will answered that one. The airmass around that time is good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yesterday it had a foot of sleet for you and me, 1888 style. Just another crazy solution at 8 days out. Of course. Not sweating any details on op or even ens. Just keep it stormy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ya'll are gonna drive yourself nuts looking at OP runs 200 hours out....Euro has like -20C 850 temps over SNE at 200 hours last night and the entire system gets shoved out to sea. If the storm gets completely cut off from the rest of the polar jet, then yeah, you're gonna have a springtime look to it but I'd probably wait until we're a little closer to start your whine and cheese party all over again Ya yesterday it was 1888 style. Last night cold confluence drove it out to sea. Today it’s a warm Rainer. But we’re whistling past the graveyard when we say it’s an OP run 8 days out. Sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: The airmass around that time is good. Thank you…as we thought. But TFlizz said it’s puke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: You’re F’n neurotic…wow. Lol, got eem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Of course. Not sweating any details on op or even ens. Just keep it stormy. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Don't have ENS out that far yet but this look verbatim...given where we are in time frame...I'll take this all day. Favorable position of the ridge axis, trough digging into the southeast with shortwave energy about to round the base and go negatively tilted towards the Southeast coast. Can't ask for more than that. Who gives a **** what the SLP maps or snowfall maps show 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Bills Hamlin seems “neurologically intact and appears to have made great improvement “ 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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