STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, Allsnow said: Disappointing can kick on the ensembles overnight https://m.imdb.com/title/tt0107048/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Disappointing can kick on the ensembles overnight Stop looking at the ensembles past 300 hours I'm trying not to look at anything past 200 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 With the exception of losing a really warm day (which is always nice) GYX is optimistic re the return of winter. Ya wonder how much that Thursday low will bring. But either way, there should be a frozen coating for snow to begin to lie on at some point in the not too distant future post Friday. For the temperature and resultant precipitation forecast, primarily colder guidance, especially the high res NAM was used. There is still likely some room to bring temperatures down further in future forecast packages for Tuesday as all of the guidance trends in the cool direction. Outside of the mountain valleys it`s unlikely that any areas would stay below freezing for more than a few hours once the precip begins, but temps are likely to sit between 33-36 degrees much of the day afterwards, with the highs for the day likely occuring in the late afternoon and evening hours. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Based on a multi model consensus it appears like winter returns to much of the forecast area as cold air sags southward out of Canada and allows for overrunning precipitation from time to time Tuesday night into Friday. While temperatures warm appreciable aloft Tuesday night (up to +11c at 850MB in the southern zones), weak SFC low pressure looks to form in the Gulf of Maine as well which should keep any sort of warm front from zooming northward through our forecast area. While highs around 60 are still possible for southern NH on Wednesday, the rest of the region should see highs falling into the 40s and 30s as cold air bleeds in from the north as per many of the 00z deterministic models. Have blended several of these models in with the NBM which I believe is still too warm for Wednesday. With overrunning precipitation expected on Wednesday and cold air undercutting the warm air aloft, we should see some frozen or freezing precipitation falling in the mountains by the end of the day with some freezing rain accretion likely. The forcing for ascent wanes Wednesday night but warm and moist SW flow above a cooling boundary layer should still offer light precipitation, a mix of snow and freezing rain as far south as portions of central NH and southernmost ME by 12z Thursday. Therefore a slippery morning commute Thursday is quite possible. Light frozen or freezing precipitation continues Thursday as another low pressure system develops just off the coast with cold air now firmly entrenched at the SFC most areas of the forecast area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 9 minutes ago, Sled said: Winter in New England. Do you wear gloves to stay warm, or take them off so you can actually grab things and work? I have not worn a winter coat or gloves since last winter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 13 hours ago, dendrite said: 324hr 51 member ens mean so I wouldn’t worry too much about divergent jet regions with that image. It was an academic question. I was looking for an answer from a real met. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: I have not worn a winter coat or gloves since last winter... I did on Christmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Stop looking at the ensembles past 300 hours I'm trying not to look at anything past 200 hours. Epicosity 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, MJO812 said: I did on Christmas Eve. There has been no need to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: It was an academic question. I was looking for an answer from a real met. ?!? Really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 12 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: nice to not see any major or long-lasting arctic air intrusions for a while! Great winter so far. Once you embrace a warm, snowless winter it becomes very pleasant. It's the acceptance phase Love not having to wake up to frigid temperatures and not wear any coats/gloves, etc or deal with any icing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: There has been no need to. Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Once you embrace a warm, snowless winter it becomes very pleasant. Love not having to wake up to frigid temperatures and not wear any coats/gloves, etc or deal with any icing I miss the winters of consistently cold brutal air. La Nina can suck an egg 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, MJO812 said: I miss the winters of consistently cold brutal air. La Nina can suck an egg I think next year will be a lot better. Low bar but we should get out of the Nina rut 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Epicosity How’s that pacific looking , at least it’s not a pig at that point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Buffalo's snowpack is almost gone https://buffalowebcam.com/live-webcams/buffalo-ny-elmwood-ave-mr-pizza That was fast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Epicosity Patience 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Congrats Sort of like being congratulated for winning an award handed out by henry and bloom lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: How’s that pacific looking That’s actually not a bad look overall. Esp for interior and NNE. It’s pretty active. I wouldn’t want to be on coast or further south though. Can’t sustain ridging up by Yukon so arctic cold will be limited. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 11 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I have not worn a winter coat or gloves since last winter... Lol wind chills minus 10s Christmas and the Great man is out in tees and flip flops. What a hero 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Give it time to connect those blues lol. What a winter. Hopefully we can get a few events before it goes to crap again. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 9 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: There has been no need to. It was below average between 12/24 and 12/28. what does it take for you to wear a winter coat, below 10°? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Give it time to connect those blues lol. What a winter. Hopefully we can get a few events before it goes to crap again. PAC jet retracts and the dateline ridge forms which dumps the blues into CA. Yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: It was below average between 12/24 and 12/28. what does it take for you to wear a winter coat, below 10°? I do not feel the cold all that easily. I had a windbreaker and a hoodie on those days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Give it time to connect those blues lol. What a winter. Hopefully we can get a few events before it goes to crap again. Worst winter in history? Remember when we were all excited for the best pattern in years in December ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 holy cow with the narratives. its possible that it was cold last week, and winter has still sucked 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol wind chills minus 10s Christmas and the Great man is out in tees and flip flops. What a hero Flip flops are your "thing" not mine... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Epicosity not epic but could be workable up here. seems there will be scooter highs to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 25 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Over / under on Alta January snowfall ... 125" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Give it time to connect those blues lol. What a winter. Hopefully we can get a few events before it goes to crap again. Scooter .. are you worried? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Once you embrace a warm, snowless winter it becomes very pleasant. It's the acceptance phase Love not having to wake up to frigid temperatures and not wear any coats/gloves, etc or deal with any icing glad we don't live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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