512high Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Deep winter! Ya, this sucks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Deep winter! We ski 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 People were concerned the buffalo bomb was gonna hurt ski resorts , and in the end ..some gained slightly. This 6 day stretch on the other hand .I haven’t personally looked but ..man they are gonna need to push the snow guns hard starting Thursday (eve?) and pray that things turn somewhat decent (I would think ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 2 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Lawns looking good The lawns are greener now than what they were in July and August. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 50 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yah. Looking too warm right now. Yeah I’m with the Pope on this one, it could be something but the pattern doesn’t support anything big. Thermals are marginal at best, so even if it does snow it would be a heavy wet low ratio snow. The low isn’t all that strong either, we need the pacific to improve for bigger threats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, George001 said: Yeah I’m with the Pope on this one, it could be something but the pattern doesn’t support anything big. Thermals are marginal at best, so even if it does snow it would be a heavy wet low ratio snow. The low isn’t all that strong either, we need the pacific to improve for bigger threats. Bold statement for a pattern that has even been established by the 5th-7th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Some of this needs to go to the panic thread, not be in the pattern thread. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Here comes the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Here comes the GFS It's close to a phase there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Gfs has a system on the 6’th , this run it looks mild for the coast with snow a bit inland . Nothing that strong but decent . If it was stronger I assume it would be colder . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 This weather blows Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Pastebomb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 1-2 degrees from being 6-12” for a lot of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Canadian not interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 1-2 degrees from being 6-12” for a lot of us Might as well be a million miles away 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 So we decided to keep our ski trip in a few weeks. Brother was up at cranmore today. said the conditions are absolutely pathetic for Jan 1. Hoping they score over the next 2+ weeks 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Canadian not interested Good, that model blows. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Canadian not interested Close though. Seems like it invests a little too much in the lead wave. But even that one looks icy over interior SNE N of pike and snowy for CNE/NNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 "Pattern then gets messy and uncertain for Wed night thru Fri as models want to show sfc troughing or low pressure into the offshore waters with mid-level trough moving slowly offshore as well. As cooler thermal profiles will be advecting southward, potential for rain to wet snow is possible depending on time of day, but it`s not a pattern that would necessarily generate much accumulation. Beyond Wed night into Fri, kept a broad brushed Chance PoP before trending drier for the weekend." Definitely a thread the needle look for now. GFS was better, but still too close to being a mostly rain event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Close though. Seems like it invests a little too much in the lead wave. But even that one looks icy over interior SNE N of pike and snowy for CNE/NNE Five days out makes it “feel” more realistic. We’ll see if we get other ops (cough: EURO) on board for more favorable cyclogenesis. It has been close on that model too. We’re in the game. Even an advisory event would be a win given the broader pattern coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: So we decided to keep our ski trip in a few weeks. Brother was up at cranmore today. said the conditions are absolutely pathetic for Jan 1. Hoping they score over the next 2+ weeks Cranmore has to be a disaster , the base is prolly apply sauce that being said , if it’s not decent in a couple weeks for your location , I would assume the New England ski resorts would be in a world of hurt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Uncle on a bender again at 12z 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 This had better not turn into another one that looks good for areas just inland and ends up being congrats Berks to Interior Maine again. Cannot take another one 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Not personally too concerned about marginality after ~ 12z Thursday. Not even a little. Sorry. With the main baroclinic axis/boundary aligned S of LI by then, and a 1035 mb high pressure sprawling and well-established N ... with exertion S-E, and DPs in the upper teens as far S as interior S Maine by 18z that day? Forget it. It is vastly more likely given those synoptic inputs ...assuming the actually set in with the general cinema of this particular GFS run, would easily flop marginal into the colder side. Both in 2-meter, but there's quite likely to be 925 to 850 mb layer "barrier jet" anyway. But that's the thing...it's not really barrier to anything - as in holding warming back. The mid level wind max/DPVA are both S of LGA-BOS line, while a strong +PP/ high pressure N exerts. That should be all that's needed to be said. Models are not likely to get that at this range and/or do so with questionable accuracy at best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 "bender" ...what does that mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: "bender" ...what does that mean? I assume it means wild storm solution after a night out of crazy uncle New Year’s Eve drinking . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: This had better not turn into another one that looks good for areas just inland and ends up being congrats Berks to Interior Maine again. Cannot take another one Nah I doubt it. High position is totally different so it won’t be this weird coastal front back over Fitchburg like in the 12/16 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: I assume it means wild storm solution after a night out of crazy uncle New Year’s Eve drinking . Yeah…relatively speaking. In an absolute sense it wasn’t all that crazy. It was just a more defined coastal with a CCB over New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah…relatively speaking. In an absolute sense it wasn’t all that crazy. It was just a more defined coastal with a CCB over New England. Let’s trend it toward a mini nuke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 3 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think the difference In the western ridge position was something Scott picked up on By mid December clearly and he consistently cited the tropical forcing saying that this was an up and in look . Meaning he saw enough and he has the knowledge to Realize the look was not favoring the coast, Bob as well . I.E he used the tropical forcing to deduce Where the ridging was likely to set up (Or why it wouldn’t trend favorable) Now this wasn’t deduced as clearly early month , but as we entered the favorable stormy period , it was by scooter . So while the pattern looked potentially amazing in the future by early December it didn’t by mid month and never was that great for the CP . I cited back in November that it would be an up and in look for December, but I just didn't expect next to nothing within 50mi of the coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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