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January 2023 Obs/Discussion


Torch Tiger
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6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Would like to see a two or three day trend of this.

That was a nice start at least. First run where EPS made a significant move toward GEFS in the 11-15. 
 

That monster PNA ridge with split flow is a really nice look. Fingers crossed it happens. 

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7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was a nice start at least. First run where EPS made a significant move toward GEFS in the 11-15. 
 

That monster PNA ridge with split flow is a really nice look. Fingers crossed it happens. 

Nonetheless, it manages wintry chances and much cooler temperatures starting next weekend.

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To all the weenies being positive on they own
I know it's kinda rough and you're feelin' all alone
Snow’s long gone and it left you by ya lonesome
Ya still thank the Lord for cold rains, even if nobody else want 'em
'Cause I think it will snow again, in fact, I'm sure
And when it does, stand tall and prep for more

keep ya head up….

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16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

To all the weenies being positive on they own
I know it's kinda rough and you're feelin' all alone
Snow’s long gone and it left you by ya lonesome
Ya still thank the Lord for cold rains, even if nobody else want 'em
'Cause I think it will snow again, in fact, I'm sure
And when it does, stand tall and prep for more

keep ya head up….

I’m thinking of more Tupac quotes. :lol:

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13 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

Scooter is all in !  :damage:

I’d like to see a few more runs of EPS show this before getting too excited…and obviously the real key is how the geese behave in the next week. I’ll be watching the local parks carefully and you should too. 

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30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’d like to see a few more runs of EPS show this before getting too excited…and obviously the real key is how the geese behave in the next week. I’ll be watching the local parks carefully and you should too. 

I saw 2 raccoons , a deer, and a squirrel today dead on road sides. Big big snows coming 

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4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Good sign that means 00z will be epic inverse rule . 

Yeah it was close enough for 6 days out anyway. We got some improvements today on most guidance to keep that threat in the game….now we need to keep driving the football. Can’t really have any major setbacks. 
 

Would be nice to steal that event out of a crap pattern. Get some momentum heading into a more favorable regime. 

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29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS a bit too suppressed at 18z for next Friday. 

We're punching the clock probably until 60 .. 72 hours from now.   Every time that aft S/W comes off the Pacific attenuated over the previous run cycle, this happens.  The straight longitudinal flow across the span of the Pac Basin is clearly causing continuity issues with the handling of that crucial contribution to that mess along the EC - it's no certainty that denser/physically realized sampling of that would make a difference, but would lean toward more confidence once that starts nosing over the land.  

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