40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 There is going to be hell to pay this month, and while it may not be paid in (insert weenie)'s backyard, someone will pay it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Everybody stuck watching reruns of “Attack Of the Niña” while hoping we finally get to watch “Revenge of the Weenie.” Definitely the better movie IMO. I especially like the battle between Anafrontal Snowwalker and Nosnowbi Juan Niñobi. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Volcanic Winter said: Everybody stuck watching reruns of “Attack Of the Niña” while hoping we finally get to watch “Revenge of the Weenie.” Definitely the better movie IMO. I especially like the battle between Anafrontal Snowwalker and Nosnowbi Juan. One thing is certain, I'm tired of watching the battle between the Anal Avengers and Cosmic Dildos at the Methuen AMC. Damn movie is half a decade... 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There is going to be hell to pay this month, and while it may not be paid in (insert weenie)'s backyard, someone will pay it. Careful Ray….1717, Qg and the like, will be in to scold and tell us nothing has changed, nor will it/or is it changing, and January is 3/4 gone..even though it’s still 12/30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 this is a bizarre setup, but it might actually work. here, you have amplification of Rockies ridging due to another system strengthening offshore. then, lots of confluence is forced by the TPV swinging over SE Canada, which leads to a cold banana high weird setup, believe me, but there are actually pieces here 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Careful Ray….1717, Qg and the like, will be in to scold and tell us nothing has changed, nor will it/or is it changing, and January is 3/4 gone..even though it’s still 12/30. Truth be told, its ill-advised for me to word anything that strongly at this juncture, but this is a hobby for me and I feel like I have supported all of my postulations with ample research. So fu&* it- Going out on a large limb here and subject myself to the scorn of trolls if things don't break right....anyway, I feel like if January doesn't pan out, then this season's work is an abject failure for me, regardless. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Truth be told, its ill-advised for me to word anything that strongly at this juncture, but this is a hobby for me and I feel like I have supported all of my postulations with ample research. So fu&* it- Going out on a large limb here and subject myself to the scorn of trolls if things don't break right....anyway, I feel like if January doesn't pan out, then this season's work is an abject failure for me, regardless. No, no…I like when you postulate. Trolls are what they are…and they’re gonna troll no matter what. It’s good to put things/thoughts backed up by credible science out there…that’s what this place is for. Keep it up. Nice job! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 23 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So I take it this is a relatively good thing? It can be. No guarantees though. It’s a good way to “reshuffle” the hemispheric pattern though. It will help make coastals a little more favorable than a classic base state La Niña pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It can be. No guarantees though. It’s a good way to “reshuffle” the hemispheric pattern though. It will help make coastals a little more favorable than a classic base state La Niña pattern. Much safer and more responsible way to articulate things than I just did...agreed lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: One thing is certain, I'm tired of watching the battle between the Anal Avengers and Cosmic Dildos at the Methuen AMC. Damn movie is half a decade... Sounds like something shown back in the 70s on Kneeland St. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Careful Ray….1717, Qg and the like, will be in to scold and tell us nothing has changed, nor will it/or is it changing, and January is 3/4 gone..even though it’s still 12/30. I am not sure why you have such a problem with dissenting points of view.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I am not sure why you have such a problem with dissenting points of view.... It’s a pro snow forum . I’m sure thou if you guys met at a gtg things would be cool (as long as your generally somewhat friendly ) . Wolfie is a good guy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: One thing is certain, I'm tired of watching the battle between the Anal Avengers and Cosmic Dildos at the Methuen AMC. Damn movie is half a decade... 30% tickets off before 4 PM at the AMC in Methuen.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s a pro snow forum . gee really?...I never would have guessed.. 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: gee really?...I never would have guessed.. Its nothing personal...just like nails on a chalkboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its nothing personal...just like nails on a chalkboard. ..so everyone should agree??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ..so everyone should agree??? Is there a meme to sum up this situation? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ..so everyone should agree??? Not what I said....but if you don't think that some of that argument is born of trolling, then you are delusional. They are as much a part of the problem as the cold antagonists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Is there a meme to sum up this situation? There are many memes that can be posted for what has been a non winter to this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: There are many memes that can be posted for what has been a non winter to this point. Yea, my back yard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not what I said.... so then it is ok with you to post dissenting points of view? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 so much for our late week snow on the GFS. Back to yardwwork. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, my back yard. give me 10 minutes to drive there and I'll snap some pics... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Just now, moneypitmike said: so muh for our late week snow on the GFS. Back to yardwwork. I raked the yard yesterday to clean up the small twigs and branches that had fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: so then it is ok with you to post dissenting points of view? Yes, but there are some trolls amongst us...not you. That is just a nusiance. It goes both ways...the guys like George take a lot of shit, too... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There is going to be hell to pay this month, and while it may not be paid in (insert weenie)'s backyard, someone will pay it. What does this mean? Specifics? This is fortune teller level detail here. C'mon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: What does this mean? Specifics? This is fortune teller level detail here. C'mon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Just now, jbenedet said: What does this mean? Specifics? This is fortune teller level detail here. C'mon. I was plenty specific enough: January 2023 Outlook January Analogs:1971, 1976, 1985, 1986,1996 2011, 2014, 2021, 2022 January is like to be consistent with climatology in that it will be the most consistently fierce month in that there is likely to be "storms and rumor of storms", to quote an old and wise weather weenie. It was mentioned that opportunities for a coupling of EPO/PNA style blocking with NAO blocking would be scarce this season, but if it is to occur, it will be this month, as evidenced by the January 2023 forecast H5 composite: The recovery of the PNA from the RNA month of December is also evident in the ECMWF forecast: Note the opportunity for cross polar flow and what will at times be frigid conditions. This will also be a month of great flux, which will likely couple with well above average N hemispheric SSTs and a surplus of water vapor owed to the submarine eruption of Hunga Tonga last January help to facilitate a large scale and perhaps generation storm opportunity. This event will be the signature storm of the season, and will have the potential to cripple travel over a widespread area for a time in a window between approximately January 6th-20th This is the month that the mid Atlantic likely receives the bulk of its seasonal snowfall. January will be the inverse of December in that it will be biased more wintery earlier, but blocking should relinquish its grip and it should modify with flooding threats possible during a major thaw. January 2023 Forecast Temp Anomalies: 1951-2010: 1991-2020: January 2023 Forecast Precip Anomalies: 1951-2010: 1991-2020: It would not be a surprise if precipitation was underestimated especially during the month of January in the analog composites, but also even during the season in general given the unique circumstances surrounding Hunga Tonga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There is going to be hell to pay this month, and while it may not be paid in (insert weenie)'s backyard, someone will pay it. Congrats Buffalo? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 It's really funny to me people looking out 10 days plus using NWP, when the fundamental underpinning to NWP is CHAOS THEORY. What that means is, if you get a detailed forecast right, out 10 days+, it was a result of luck, and not any skill. And so the next time you attempt to use the same methodology (it worked last time!), and we get a completely different result, you're flummoxed. Worse, still, you're not gaining skill either. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now